griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 1 minute ago, NCSNOW said: Rolled over from sleep. Keep details coming. Appreciate pbp Nice. At 63, 850 0 deg is Charlotte to Shreveport. Light snow streaking from OK thru AR and TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Unfortunately, it takes just the right dynamical and atmospheric evolution to enable the manifestation of a MECS in the SE. Although it's most probable that this won't achieve that distinction...meaning some posters in this subforum are likely to be disappointed (ex. the best runs for eastern-most areas are far worse for those in the central and western areas and vice-versa), it's still too early to rule out that possibility, definitively, nor should one do so. By the 00z runs tomorrow night, alot more data will have been ingested into the models, and we should see a much better consensus. In the meantime, we can hope the proper atmospheric pieces fall into place, so to speak, and we can subsequently bare witness to a "major" event for the majority of us. Regardless of the inevitable result, I am rooting for each one of the members within this subforum to see at least some accumulation! Good night, all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 It's definitely improved at 500mb, but it still wants to be a late bloomer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timothy Clyde Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Looks rainy for a lot down south, heavy rains do come with winter storms. need the heavier stuff further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 At 81, good snow now from upstate to Raleigh and to the NW some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timothy Clyde Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Not going to cut it. Fail for NC/VA border areas if you want a lot (6+). looks more 3-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 The VA peninsula got 8-10 inches of snow February 2015. I'm hoping to get that soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Better precip field in NC this run. Going to be a good event from N side of Charlotte to north side of Raleigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Raleigh is tainting like crazy would be sleet/snow mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mckinnonwg Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 5 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: still going NW then or is it a little SE of the last run? It came just a hair to the SE a bit I apologize...I was looking at the wrong hour It did tick to the SE after all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Looks like just NE of Raleigh is jackpot 10-15 bullseye there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Looks like cold air is a real struggle on the Euro. I really hope the temperature profile does NOT verify on the Euro or it's lights out for many in the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 SV has 4-6 for a lot of NC except New Bern to just west of Wilmington...also 4-6 in N SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timothy Clyde Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Good hit for East Tennessee whoever asked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 So the Euro caved to the GFS and UKMet in that run in terms of now having the stream separation...which is a good thing for getting a good storm. It was a very nice pass of the 500mb wave...even goes slightly neg tilt thru the Carolinas. It matches up well I think with HickoryWx's ideas earlier. He's had a lot of good posts over the yrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 I am hearing conflicting opinions about that run for North GA. Most people said it was bad but I just saw a snow map and it shows 2" ? Maybe that's not snow and it's mostly ice ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Man I wasn't expecting temps to be an issue though. Thought it would be cold suppressing moisture but that storm was a little better but the cold air is leaving something to desire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 The SV snow maps aren't as detailed and smooth as WxBell, so I hope I didn't offend anyone with the totals. This shows more in N SC. Looking at the temps, they crash from W to E as the storm moves through so it's picking up on some snow falling in N SC as the storm progresses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 I'm in the Bullseye of the Euro again. It's 12+ again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Where's Big Frosty? I'm trending toward you big boy! Hang in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Pretty good run, just hoping for some higher ratios and maybe a little orographic enhancement. Of course it would be better if that precip sheild would get going a little sooner... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 6 minutes ago, griteater said: The SV snow maps aren't as detailed and smooth as WxBell, so I hope I didn't offend anyone with the totals. This shows more in N SC. Looking at the temps, they crash from W to E as the storm moves through so it's picking up on some snow falling in N SC as the storm progresses So GFS has 4-6 for ATL and Euro has nothing. It's the opposite for Raleigh. CLT looks good on both. And this starts in 72 hours. Model wars... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, SimeonNC said: Okay, sorry to be a downer but now the Euro has me worried about this trending too far NW. You'll go to your grave worrying about that living in CLT...and rightly so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 7 minutes ago, packbacker said: So GFS has 4-6 for ATL and Euro has nothing. It's the opposite for Raleigh. CLT looks good on both. And this starts in 72 hours. Model wars... I think the GFS is in trouble now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 9 minutes ago, SimeonNC said: Okay, sorry to be a downer but now the Euro has me worried about this trending too far NW. I'm getting a little nervous too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, griteater said: Do you have the 15:1 map by chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 I will be curious to see how much EPS support this operational Euro solution gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Here you go guys, the 15:1 ratio map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 THis is accurate since Wake county has 9 in the north and 2 in the south lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.