packbacker Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Would prefer to have the GFS in my corner then the CMC...hardly use the CMC as it seems so inconsistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER said: Well it does show some snow in my area but not much. GFS shows a lot. ECMWF shows a small amount. Odd how different the models still are. I don't have a ptype map yet but it looks like the CMC would be ZR at the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Any precip amounts from the ukie yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, packbacker said: Would prefer to have the GFS in my corner then the CMC...hardly use the CMC as it seems so inconsistent. I'd rather have the Euro and Ukie, which we seem to have for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just now, Queencitywx said: I don't have a ptype map yet but it looks like the CMC would be ZR at the coast. That would be a typical storm around here lol. See the snow in central NC and western NC. We get the ice lol. I am hoping for a redux of 1973 or 1989. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just now, Queencitywx said: I'd rather have the Euro and Ukie, which we seem to have for now. Euro, UK, and Canadian are better for here than the GFS, too. Maybe we're going to see the NW trend with the GFS like it does often a couple of days before the event unfolds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just now, Queencitywx said: I'd rather have the Euro and Ukie, which we seem to have for now. Euro has been a bloody mess for several runs in a row...no consistency. We are at 72-84 hours when all this happens, it kind of needs to back it up today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 11 minutes ago, LovingGulfLows said: Looks like it was in Feb 1973. http://www.macon.com/news/local/article30117315.html I made a write up on that storm a while back http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/Feb1973/Feb1973.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: I'd rather have the Euro and Ukie, which we seem to have for now. Oh absolutely -- GFS showing a big hit 4 days out is the kiss of death! (And Happy New Year to you -- will be rooting for y'all from the panhandle!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
palmettoweather Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 I made a write up on that storm a while backhttp://raleighwx.americanwx.com/Feb1973/Feb1973.htmlNeat write-up Raleigh, thanks for sharing! That storm still holds the 24 hour snowfall record in SC.Sent from my SM-G920I using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just saw the 06z JMA... lord have mercy that would be a mega-hit!! Also a big shift to a stronger storm compared to it's 0z run. (It only goes out to 84hrs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 6 minutes ago, packbacker said: Euro has been a bloody mess for several runs in a row...no consistency. We are at 72-84 hours when all this happens, it kind of needs to back it up today. Pack really! The euro has been rock steady for the past couple of days until last night. The gfs was show 1 to 2 feet of snow in many areas this same time yesterday and now it is showing zilch for some places. That's not being consistent by no means pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Havnt seen anybody mentioning temps. We still plenty good if the NW trend commences? What are 850s and 2m's like, ATL to RAH corridor, Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 No wonder the CMC looked a little stronger...that low is starting to fiddle around with the low over the lakes more then it's 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 12z CMC freezing rain, sleet, and snow accumulations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 wow...lot of people NW of here will like the UK...better map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, packbacker said: No wonder the CMC looked a little stronger...that low is starting to fiddle around with the low over the lakes more then it's 0z run. if that trend continues, by how big of an increase in snowfall are we talking about here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, packbacker said: wow...lot of people NW of here will like the UK...better map I don't know that I could draw a better map, unless it was already at 983 and cut off or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, packbacker said: wow...lot of people NW of here will like the UK...better map Miller A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, packbacker said: No wonder the CMC looked a little stronger...that low is starting to fiddle around with the low over the lakes more then it's 0z run. Like we all discussed last night. Thats where the lottery $ is for Big Dog. UKIE rock steady again. Thats what we need Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 if we want to talk consistency, the UK has been the most consistent with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just me, but I think the sharpness of the wave, and how far south it tracks across the SE is the key element in dictating the amplification and moisture plume of this system. The wave over the Great Lakes is too far away to phase IMO....though it could impact the MA and NE in terms of how far north the system gets and how intense it is up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Pack really! The euro has been rock steady for the past couple of days until last night. The gfs was show 1 to 2 feet of snow in many areas this same time yesterday and now it is showing zilch for some places. That's not being consistent by no means pack.I agree, I was about to comment on his post with exactly what you said. Euro has had ONE run out of the norm and that was 00z, its last run, the more the GFS runs the less consistent it gets with the exception of 6z and 12z today which were very similar. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: if that trend continues, by how big of an increase in snowfall are we talking about here? The Canadian is all rain for Orangeburg and most of the midlands and pee dee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Im riding the Ukie all the way on this. Its been a step ahead of all guidance the whole time weve been tracking this at 5H with the cold push when all other guidance waivered and is insistent on this phase when our energy from low #2 gets in the GOM. GFS can't phase these 2 streams because it has to much spacing, seperation with Low# 2 when its in the GOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 5 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Like we all discussed last night. Thats where the lottery $ is for Big Dog. UKIE rock steady again. Thats what we need Yes it has. More stready than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 4 minutes ago, AirNelson39 said: I agree, I was about to comment on his post with exactly what you said. Euro has had ONE run out of the norm and that was 00z, its last run, the more the GFS runs the less consistent it gets with the exception of 6z and 12z today which were very similar. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk I think Sunday night it was showing a rainstorm in the SE and snow north. To me it's been the most inconsistent out of all the top models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TiltedStorm Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just a general questions. Why doesn't local mets talk more about the UKMET. It's all about the GFS and Euro. Always wondered why. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 The UK would be a great Miller A. Will be interesting to see if Euro is the same, or if the GFS is on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, Met1985 said: I think Sunday night it was showing a rainstorm in the SE and snow north. To me it's been the most inconsistent out of all the top models. I second this. Technically the euro swapped places with the gfs which means the gfs sniffed out a good NC snow first.. gfs has a suppression bias in this timeframe so no surprise it's suppressed. Look for it to tick back NW throughout the next several runs. To me GFS has had a great handle on this storm... euro not so much it tried to sell the suppressed looks for days while gfs insisted on a snowy look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.