GaStorm Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, LovingGulfLows said: Wouldn't be surprised if the "Golden Axis" sets up along a band from Atlanta to Athens to lower Upstate to Charlotte to RDU. I remember a storm in March several years back that gave Atlanta more snow than the northern burbs which was unusual. This may be that type of storm but could easily trend north a bit which still would be good for the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: I'm aware its not terribly unusual in classic snow setups for ATL to be to far north. Oh it's definitely happened before...wasn't there one snowstorm that hit Macon with like 15 inches of snow where Atlanta barely got like 2-4 inches? Even in the Feb 2010 storm, areas to the South got more snow. I just don't believe the storm will track that far south. Atlanta at least based on the GFS has some wiggle room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wild Weather Monger Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, LovingGulfLows said: Wouldn't be surprised if the "Golden Axis" sets up along a band from Atlanta to Athens to lower Upstate to Charlotte to RDU. Now why would that be LOL. I'm puling for the same! Really like where we sit ATM. Just keep the s/w a tad stronger than modeled, and we're golden here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just now, LovingGulfLows said: Oh it's definitely happened before...wasn't there one snowstorm that hit Macon with like 15 inches of snow where Atlanta barely got like 2-4 inches? Even in the Feb 2010 storm, areas to the South got more snow. I just don't believe the storm will track that far south. Atlanta at least based on the GFS has some wiggle room. Yeah people have posted about it here before. I was also in ATL in 91 or 92 when the airport got about 4-6 but the north side of town saw nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Canadian appears to have a surface low near New Orleans by hour 78. Let's see what that does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 8 minutes ago, beanskip said: Number of times in the years I've been on this board (and the old Wright Weather days) when the GFS showed a suppressed system that ended up trending north: Lots. Number of times in the years I've been on this board when the GFS showed a system too warm/north and it trended south: Never. People: this is where you want to be if you live in ATL/GSP/CLT/RDU. happy new year! couldn't be more right, skip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 I imagine the timing is so close between the UK/CMC/GFS is really tight. It could be a complete whiff to heavy snows up into GSP and western NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, LovingGulfLows said: Oh it's definitely happened before...wasn't there one snowstorm that hit Macon with like 15 inches of snow where Atlanta barely got like 2-4 inches? Even in the Feb 2010 storm, areas to the South got more snow. I just don't believe the storm will track that far south. Atlanta at least based on the GFS has some wiggle room. Feb 78? Or around then CAE crusher?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Post a map Here you go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 8 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Happen to have any images? Or qpf production UKMet at 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 9 minutes ago, beanskip said: Number of times in the years I've been on this board (and the old Wright Weather days) when the GFS showed a suppressed system that ended up trending north: Lots. Number of times in the years I've been on this board when the GFS showed a system too warm/north and it trended south: Never. People: this is where you want to be if you live in ATL/GSP/CLT/RDU. Yeah, I know what you are saying. Just a little disheartening seeing the good hits going further south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 I thought the CMC looked somewhat similar to last night's Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, packbacker said: Here you go... Looks good for your area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
malak05 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 I'm still thinking for SE with the Gulf setup qpf could make enhanced moisture returns better then even models are currently showing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 4 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Feb 78? Or around then CAE crusher?? Looks like it was in Feb 1973. http://www.macon.com/news/local/article30117315.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, griteater said: UKMet at 96 That's roughly all 3 globals have held overnight...though we need the intermediate panels of the UK to really confirm. Getting some consensus. Not sure what would be worse to be sitting where we are or if all three were more NW considering were 84 hours before this starting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, LovingGulfLows said: There was also the bowling ball ULL in March 2009 where the South and east sides of the city got plastered and the northsides largely got blanked, but that's a fairly rare and unique situation. The lack of a major block this time around may allow this to tick north inside 60-72. I would not be surprised if we see models continue a slight dip south through the next 36 hours before small north adjustments happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
palmettoweather Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 It would be interesting to track for the future the NW forecast jog of these systems. It would be helpful to know how much possible movement one could expect at a certain forecast hour. It would be interesting to record the model output of the SLP at certain hours by model and the actual verified position. If someone could point me out a good place to find this data of model outputs and actual locations, I could keep a GIS file of systems. I will say that if we don't get much snow in the Upstate/WNC, it would be awesome for some further South brethren in the Midlands and Lowcountry to jackpot, as well as the E NC and GA crew! Sent from my SM-G920I using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Atlanta would be shut down early next week if we get 4" or even 2"- very cold air follows, lows in the teens and highs not above 32 until Tuesday? Ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 CMC is warning criteria for CLT, RDU, GSO. The sweet spot is super narrow though, roughly 30 miles wide at most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 UKMet bombs it with northern stream interaction and brings it up off the NE coast.....GFS is out to sea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 GEM snowfall...really close to 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, Cheeznado said: Atlanta would be shut down early next week if we get 4" or even 2"- very cold air follows, lows in the teens and highs not above 32 until Tuesday? Ouch. As long as the sun comes out during the day which it looks like it would, should get melting. Its the late night and early mornings that would be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Any maps of precip types on CMC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 CMC snowfall clown maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odell.moton Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 GEM snowfall...really close to 0z.Huh that's awfully north I thoughts it's been trending south Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 7 minutes ago, griteater said: UKMet at 96 UKMET is a big hit ATL to RDU looking at the trough axis. It's showing a phase so it'll move N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 GFS has significantly weakened the kicker in the past few runs (which is in the Bearing Sea right now), hence the pacific SW's inability to overcome the hostile environment and succumb to the first SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just now, odell.moton said: Huh that's awfully north I thoughts it's been trending south Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Well it does show some snow in my area but not much. GFS shows a lot. ECMWF shows a small amount. Odd how different the models still are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, odell.moton said: Huh that's awfully north I thoughts it's been trending south Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk The GFS has...well the past 3 GFS runs have been relatively consistent. The CMC and UK have been consistent for 2 runs now...will see about the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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