MichaelJ Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 20 minutes ago, Cary_Snow95 said: Which is odd, Delta on the other board thought the current slp looked south and weaker. Its a little elongated south of LA border What other board? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, snowinnc said: So if I'm reading things correctly it means we are stuck with sleet, correct? If or until it drops below freezing. yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Triad WSW bumped up to 6-9" now. Hmmm.....radar is filling in quickly! Yes and there is a tremendous amount of moisture coming up from the GOM...all the way back to Mexico city....very juicy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Just now, ncskywarn said: If or until it drops below freezing. yes Yes! Well, not for the sleet, but because I'm actually learning something! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Pretty cool living in Raleigh now and having real time data from RDU lol... That layer at 800mb is what i pointed out yesterday on the NAM bufkit skew-T. The warm sliver is just above 850mb's. Once we can mix that out, we'll turn to snow. From there it just depends on the SLP track as to if we mix back with sleet or not after midnight. THis is for RDU airport area on up to the franklin/granville county line. Southeast wake is going to have issues until the 850's crash tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderwolf Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Just now, snowinnc said: So if I'm reading things correctly it means we are stuck with sleet, correct? It depends on how thick the layer is. This article has more information on what kind of ptypes forecasters expect for given thicknesses. http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/trend/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, thunderwolf said: It depends on how thick the layer is. This article has more information on what kind of ptypes forecasters expect for given thicknesses. http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/trend/ That looks like something from my weather and climate class that I took in school...which I got a D in :/. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Radar looks like rdu getting some sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 SNIPPET FROM NWS-GSP: NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 8 PM, the brief lull in the precip is coming to an end, as additional precip continues to fill in along an axis from eastern Alabama through N Georgia and into western NC. This will overspread the remainder of the forecast area through the next couple of hours. Locations above about 1500`, and roughly along and north of an axis from Rutherfordton, to Lincolnton, to Salisbury in NC will be solidly snow, while after an initial bout of rain and perhaps sleet, a transition to snow is expected to occur down to near the I-85 corridor by midnight or so. South of there, considerable uncertainty lingers regarding the timing of a transition, as wet bulb temps from Anderson to Union to Chester SC are lingering near 40 degrees, and there is not expected to be a tremendous push of cold surface air into these areas over the next few hours. In fact we`re beginning to get concerned that those areas won`t see any significant near-surface cooling until the moisture begins to shift east of the area. We will wait for the event to unfold a little more (and await 00Z guidance) before making any radical changes to the forecast and products, but confidence that the warning will work out over the southern half of the Upstate and northeast GA is beginning to slip. Confidence is higher along the I-85 corridor, but considering the warm nose indicated on special 18Z Raob from KFFC, and the fact that sfc temps are going to need to drop another couple of degrees before the transition to snow occurs, am concerned that initially rain, followed perhaps by sleet, will cut into the snow accums in those areas. Meanwhile, forecast confidence remains high for locations north of the I-85 corridor. Expect there will be some banding overnight with frontogenetical forcing and slant-wise instability developing, so locally higher amounts than the 4-8 inches forecast in these areas will certainly be possible. FAAAAAHHHH-KKKK!!! REALLY? There is ALWAYS a screw job in this SNOW TRIANGLE OF DEATH lately!!! WTH??? I am located in the south of I-85 Corridor. SHEEEAT! GRRR. I feel for persons in Anderson, Chester and Union SC areas. UGH. I HOPE AND PRAY this warm nose erodes away, but the latest RAOB says otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Not doing much of anything here right now. Waiting for the good stuff is hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Radar is starting to really fill in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 hrrr continues to trend se w/ the snow line. good news. has me under heavy snow around 11ish. this is 1am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 By 1am tonight....Euro had GSO with 3.5", CLT with almost 5" and RDU with 3". I think we will see things get cranking soon for the folks in the western part of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StewMan07 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Hey Guys, long time observer, first time poster. I really appreciate all the information you guys provide and learning from you all! There appears to be a big warm nose all the way back to almost Lake Lure/ Rutherfordton that is causing problems for Charlotte with regards to snow fall. It's been sleeting for about 30-45 minutes, but no accumulation. I'm sitting at 35.9 degrees currently about 1 mile south of uptown. I've lived in the Piedmont of NC all my life and it seems the battle line for big snow is always right around Charlotte where South Charlotte gets rain and North Charlotte gets snow unless we have a monster that dumps on Atlanta and SC. It seems the cold air is really struggling to get ahead of the moisture here. Best of luck for all of you out there, and thanks again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenkins Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: hrrr continues to trend se w/ the snow line. good news. has me under heavy snow around 11ish. this is 1am Beat me to it. Slight but noticeable tick SE. Slightly better for CLT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: hrrr continues to trend se w/ the snow line. good news. has me under heavy snow around 11ish. this is 1am great news. if this verifies we're gonna get absolutely blanked for a good 8-10 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VARTV Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: hrrr continues to trend se w/ the snow line. good news. has me under heavy snow around 11ish. this is 1am Looking better for SE VA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderwolf Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Not sure how to take this, but that number over Wake County on the 0z HRRR goes from 5.9 to 9.1 in 1 hour 11-12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 SREF mean for Hickory is now up to 7.5 inches. HRRR is looking good too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Touchet Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 So if I'm reading things correctly it means we are stuck with sleet, correct?I can verify that. Radar has shown snow here, heavy at times since 6 pm. What is falling is that grauple stuff. Half melted snow. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Looks like we are heading for 2 inches of sleet. Yea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Touchet Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 So if I'm reading things correctly it means we are stuck with sleet, correct?I can verify that. Radar has shown snow here, heavy at times since 6 pm. What is falling is that grauple stuff. Half melted snow. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 I mean it. If that comes to pass Cary will be right on the stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 9 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: After midnight, we're gonna let it all hang out. Wasting a lot of precip...no model had me with pouring rain going on for over an hour now. Something isn't right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Good sleet storm currently in RDU. Pretty much mostly sleet now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, No snow for you said: Looks like we are heading for 2 inches of sleet. Yea. That's better than I'm going to see. We will not even get 1 sleet pellet where I am, much less any snow. We needed the cold air in place, or at least coming in on CAD. Coming across the mountains is not going to cut it here, despite what the models say. Still 40 here so I'm not even close to getting any sleet or snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, HKY_WX said: Good sleet storm currently in RDU. Pretty much mostly sleet now. should help cool down the warm layer i would hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Who's staying up for the GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rawlee Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 HRRR trying to save us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 17 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said: great news. if this verifies we're gonna get absolutely blanked for a good 8-10 hours agreed...will the rates be 1.5' per hr or more like 2'/hr.??? Edit: 1.5" per hr or 2"/hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.