franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Gfs stays consistent, another good run for wnc. Did the 18z rgem even run today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 The RGEM isn't the best with temperatures if memory serves. That is a HUGE transition zone that looks out of place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, griteater said: 18z RGEM shifted northwest a little (warmer) BOOOO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 A little wetter for I-85/I-40 corridor -- little better on 2m temps in N.C. Good run for most.Check and checkSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shahroz98 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 The 06z run of the GFS and 12z run of the NAM have similiar snow totals for my area. Should i expect what it says, more or less ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JQPublic Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 8 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said: The Radar is Looking Healthy west of RDU..should reach the Triangle in about 45 mins..2 hours ahead of schedule. could get an hour or two extra of moderate snow before the main storm gets cranking Still raining here. Not sure about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 The fact That the GFS hasn't reallyswayed too North west like some models gives me hope that the sleet/snow line will stay just south of wake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hollyspringsnc Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I notice on radar precipitation all the way back to Texas and Louisiana. Is this going to fill back in and progress through the SE? To my untrained eye, it doesn't appear to be receding too quickly.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, wxdawg10 said: The fact That the GFS hasn't reallyswayed too North west like some models gives me hope that the sleet/snow line will stay just south of wake I am hugging it until the very end. It is hell bent on keeping big totals near RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 17 minutes ago, griteater said: Been thinking all along that this is a 'moderate' level storm Niner, not a big boy....we shall see. yeah, I may have had those nice GFS and NAM runs get to my head. With that said my goal is still 6 inches NW of CLT. That's within your call I think so it has to be right! Moderate snow here now. Sleet turned quickly to snow. Good sign? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, wxdawg10 said: The fact That the GFS hasn't reallyswayed too North west like some models gives me hope that the sleet/snow line will stay just south of wake PREACH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 5 minutes ago, Cary_Snow95 said: GFS shifted SE a touch. Cmon GFS you got this Sure did. A little less qpf but puts more in the snow zone. **Wayne county would also now get over a half inch of freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Is it too early to say when the snow tomorrow morning will end in the ATL area? I'm just afraid it might end early at like 3 or 4am... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shahroz98 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Atlanta's snow totals on the GFS went from 7 inches to 3 inches. Alot of Freezing rain im assuming ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, SnowNiner said: yeah, I may have had those nice GFS and NAM runs get to my head. With that said my goal is still 6 inches NW of CLT. That's within your call I think so it has to be right! Moderate snow here now. Sleet turned quickly to snow. Good sign? I'd say seeing flakes during this late aftn timeframe early in the storm is a good sign....but the main thing is that the warming will come in aloft overnight, so that will be the challenge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Im really thinking I can eclipse 10 inches here in Danville with todays continued wetter and farther NW trends... hope I dont eat those words later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, FallsLake said: Sure did. A little less qpf but puts more in the snow zone. **Wayne county would also now get over a half inch of freezing rain. I've been meaning to ask...Does the Kuchera ratio attempt to balance out p types? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heroine.chic Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 It seems that temps in CLT won't drop below freezing until maybe 2am. Are we still optimistic on a good amount of accumulation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said: The fact That the GFS hasn't reallyswayed too North west like some models gives me hope that the sleet/snow line will stay just south of wake Yeah, it's been the same for three days now. Just have to be patient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, SouthWake33 said: I've been meaning to ask...Does the Kuchera ratio attempt to balance out p types? I think so. We would still get some sleet mixed in so it's accounting for those lower ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, SimeonNC said: I know GSP says not to be worried about the precip lull but I'm still really concerned, last year's storm was essentially ended prematurely imby due to a dry slot so I'm wary of any and all precip lulls now. There are never, ever any guarantees, but yall should take a look at that Euro animation I posted....it shows the precip blossoming this evening over GA/SC/NC. Every model shows that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, FallsLake said: I think so. We would still get some sleet mixed in so it's accounting for those lower ratios. I also noticed the RGEM has some blue surrounded by pink over Wake. Most likely just a resolution problem but still looks funny, maybe its just right on the border to flipping to all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, griteater said: There are never, ever any guarantees, but yall should take a look at that Euro animation I posted....it shows the precip blossoming this evening over GA/SC/NC. Every model shows that About what page or post number Grit? NWS says I get 4-6 you on board with that or you think more or less? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shahroz98 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 0o get nice snow for Atlanta as of now, we need a slight SE trend from now to the main event. New GFS run shows primarily a sleet/ice event for Lawrenceville,GA in my eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 As thr shortwave pivots through AR you can see the radar beginning to fill in in MS/AL/GA. This area will overspread NC later this evening. Precip is not a concern tonight in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rdwhynot Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Uh Oh... Spann said 'Thundersnow'! http://www.alabamawx.com/?p=110145 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Touchet Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 All I can tell you, is on the east side of Bham, nothing has happened yet. The little bit of ice we got is all but gone. Typical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, griteater said: There are never, ever any guarantees, but yall should take a look at that Euro animation I posted....it shows the precip blossoming this evening over GA/SC/NC. Every model shows that Not sure if composite or base reflectivity is better to use in this situation, but the returns are increasing across NW GA at this very moment on composite reflectivity radar. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=NCR&rid=FFC&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I know GSP says not to be worried about the precip lull but I'm still really concerned, last year's storm was essentially ended prematurely imby due to a dry slot so I'm wary of any and all precip lulls now. I would side with the GSP in this situation. If it is a cause for alarm they will note that the AFD or tweetSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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