MichaelJ Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, FallsLake said: It also shows more than 1.75 qpf for the Triangle. Doesn't matter what winter precip type you get it would be horrible. Very true but it does show us staying all snow. If you guys get heavy snow with Ice, you will have huge problems! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 What's the outlook for ATL and inside I-285? Based on what I've seen, it doesn't look very promising that we'll get below freezing until late this evening, like 9 or 10pm... The radar is drying up a bit also (it's been dry for almost 2 hours, different from what the radar has shown). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Raymond MS (west of Jackson) ASOS says 30F and light rain. Shouldn't the ASOS know that is freezing rain? Jackson has light sleet. Meridian Naval Air Station, MS KNMM 062040Z AUTO 01009KT 10SM UP SCT012 OVC017 00/M03 A3010 RMK AO2 UPB08E15B31FZRAE02SNB02E08 P0000 T00001033 $ Unknown precip (maybe sleet.) Unknown precip began 20:08 ended 20:15 began 20:31. Freezing rain ended 20:02. snow began 20:02, ended 20:08. I guess they've seen it all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 The radar looks awful west of here. Am I missing something? Is it supposed to fill in later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbiegull Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 So I am in Rocky Mount, looks like i went from 8 inches of snow to 3 inches of ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: The radar looks awful west of here. Am I missing something? Is it supposed to fill in later? Yes it will.... GSP just sent out a tweet about it too. All this we are getting now is not even the "storm" yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kc4wsd Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 If this is the wrong thread, I apologize in advance . . .Light precipitation, appears to be sleet and snow, in Graham / Burlington, NC area. I-40 and NC 49.I'm headed toward Greensboro.Sent from my SM-N920V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Amos83 said: Yes it will.... GSP just sent out a tweet about it too. All this we are getting now is not even the "storm" yet Yep, this finger of precip was talked about in the Mtn forum a couple days ago. Not unusual to see it happen before the main storm cranks up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GVFD_1930 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Bring on the ice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, Amos83 said: Yes it will.... GSP just sent out a tweet about it too. All this we are getting now is not even the "storm" yet Good find Amos. The icing on the cake here. Enough the get the lower levels set. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 RAH must have a wordy AFD. Can't wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 9 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: The radar looks awful west of here. Am I missing something? Is it supposed to fill in later? Yes....no bust calls as an event is unfolding...that's one of the board rules Click on this here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ashhh_2007 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 What's the outlook for the Lee county (Sanford) area? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, GVFD_1930 said: Bring on the ice! RAH stated they were going to upgrade your county to a warning because of the ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, CentralNC said: RAH must have a wordy AFD. Can't wait. Think they put it out early at 11AM, but I could be wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, ashhh_2007 said: What's the outlook for the Lee county (Sanford) area? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Rain and sleet and some ZR. Maybe some snow towards the end of the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, griteater said: Think they put it out early at 11AM, but I could be wrong They did update their winter storm warning statement. Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 417 PM EST FRI JAN 6 2017 ...SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... NCZ007>011-021>028-038>041-071015- /O.CON.KRAH.WS.W.0001.170107T0000Z-170108T0000Z/ PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE- ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM- WAKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUSHY FORK...CONCORD...ROXBORO...SURL... OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...DABNEY...HENDERSON...NORLINA... WISE...AFTON...WARRENTON...LAKE GASTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS... PFAFFTOWN...STANLEYVILLE...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... LAKE TOWNSEND...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...CHAPEL HILL... CARRBORO...BETHESDA...DURHAM...RESEARCH TRIANGLE...PILOT... INGLESIDE...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASHVILLE...AVENTON... RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON... THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ULAH...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...HASTY... SILER CITY...BYNUM...MONCURE...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY 417 PM EST FRI JAN 6 2017 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * LOCATION...THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN PIEDMONT INCLUDING THE TRIAD AND TRIANGLE. * HAZARDS...SNOW AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW AND UP TO ONE INCH OF SLEET. * TIMING...A SNOW OR A WINTRY MIX WILL OVERSPREAD THE WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW IS EXPECTED BY 6 PM IN THE TRIAD AND BY 8 PM IN THE TRIANGLE. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 85 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 1 INCLUDING PORTIONS OF WAKE...FRANKLIN...NASH...AND EDGECOMBE COUNTIES...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MIX WITH OR TRANSITION TO SLEET EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION BACK TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY VARY WIDELY IN THIS REGION...FROM 3-4 INCHES IN SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF WAKE...NASH...WILSON AND EDGECOMBE COUNTIES WHERE SLEET WILL FALL FOR A LONGER DURATION OF TIME TO 5-8 INCHES IN NORTHERN PORTIONS WHERE THE TRANSITION TO SLEET WILL BE BRIEF. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ALL SNOW ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR...INCLUDING THE TRIAD AND VIRGINIA BORDER COUNTIES WHERE SNOWFALL RATES MAY REACH OR EXCEED 2 INCHES PER HOUR AND TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY EXCEED 8 INCHES IN SOME LOCATIONS. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON AREA ROADS WILL BECOME EXTREMELY DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 85. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. MANY ROADS WILL BE IMPASSIBLE OVERNIGHT AND DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. TRAVEL IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...SLOW DOWN...LEAVE PLENTY OF FOLLOWING DISTANCE... AND EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION...PARTICULARLY AT INTERSECTIONS AND ON HIGHWAY ONRAMPS AND OFFRAMPS WHERE ACCIDENTS ARE MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GVFD_1930 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 8 minutes ago, FallsLake said: RAH stated they were going to upgrade your county to a warning because of the ice. I have scratched my head all day as to why no concern has been put on the ZR. Sleet is one thing, ZR is a whole different beast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 hour ago, SnowNiner said: HRRR just takes every other model accumulation map and shifts it 50 miles NW. Seems like this is a quick hitter too. Maybe 8 hours of snow? Been thinking all along that this is a 'moderate' level storm Niner, not a big boy....we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I know it's nowcasting time, but quite something to see the 18z GFS initialize the 500 mb trough even sharper than 12z at 6 hours and keep sharpening it vs. 12z in the next frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Sitting at 33F... It would be nice if we could get some cooling once the system starts to ramp up again, and then maybe my area will fall below freezing before 8pm. Maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, beanskip said: I know it's nowcasting time, but quite something to see the 18z GFS initialize the 500 mb trough even sharper than 12z at 6 hours and keep sharpening it vs. 12z in the next frame. any shifts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 23 minutes ago, Amos83 said: Yes it will.... GSP just sent out a tweet about it too. All this we are getting now is not even the "storm" yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 The Radar is Looking Healthy west of RDU..should reach the Triangle in about 45 mins..2 hours ahead of schedule. could get an hour or two extra of moderate snow before the main storm gets cranking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Mid to late evening? Like in a few hours? I thought the heaviest precip was certainly still progged overnight.For my location the assumption is post 7 PM.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 GFS shifted SE a touch. Cmon GFS you got this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 To my untrained eye, from the gfs, looks like CLT will be fighting mixing for quite a while. Edit: well, maybe not. One frame just stuck out. @6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 9 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said: any shifts? A little wetter for I-85/I-40 corridor -- little better on 2m temps in N.C. Good run for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shahroz98 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 How reliable is the NAM currently for snow totals ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Just now, Cary_Snow95 said: GFS shifted SE a touch. Cmon GFS you got this 18z RGEM shifted northwest a little (warmer) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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