griteater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Should get a good storm here, my early guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 And just like that the Para NAM joins the GFS. LOL. Surprise surprise. This should make Cheeze happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLTwx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Doesn't Burger know that it's only 1030pm in Amsterdam...cmon man, you brought back some mojo.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 The RGEM appeared to get wetter in NRN GA on the crappy black and white maps so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Temps are pretty much the same, slightly colder in MS at 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, griteater said: GFS out to 15 - looks like it has maybe a little more stream separation (slight), cold looks fine, heights look fine in Ohio Valley, wave looks fine in 4 corners A hair slower at 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 A tiny bit slower at 24. Lets reel it in fellas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The RGEM appeared to get wetter in NRN GA on the crappy black and white maps so far Much wetter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Touchet Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 RGEM back in business for Bham? Is it good this far out? Will the NW trend stop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Hts rising more ahead of the wave at 30.. may be a bit further NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, LovingGulfLows said: Athens is rain at hour 36, then transitions to all snow by hour 39 based on 18z NAM. Based on radar sim. it's pretty heavy as well so it's unlikely there will be much sleet in the transition from rain to snow. Actually athens is one of the areas i'm talking about here..especially north/northeast of athens...where it's colder aloft. It's best not to go by the radar simulation for precip types..there are all sorts of flaws with that.... Soundings are a lot better way of forecasting precip types. The ewl is deeper in athens than atlanta on the nam...below is the 33 hour nam.. but it's still so close a 1c difference aloft can change everything. Also keep in mind there is a very sharp gradient temp wise aloft as you head north so places like commerce or even nicholson could be seeing heavy sleet, or even snow, while athens is rain or sleet. Throw in the fact rates could determine types too... It's almost impossible to say with any certainty right now and it's more or less going to be a nowcasting thing. Date: 33 hour NAM valid 3Z SAT 7 JAN 17 Station: 33.95,-83.32 Latitude: 33.95 Longitude: -83.32 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 0 1000 157 SFC 993 217 2.3 1.5 94 0.8 1.9 26 6 276.0 276.7 275.5 287.6 4.28 2 950 569 -0.4 -0.7 98 0.3 -0.5 48 18 276.8 277.4 275.2 287.3 3.83 3 900 1001 -1.1 -1.4 98 0.3 -1.2 77 17 280.4 281.0 277.2 291.1 3.84 4 850 1458 0.4 0.1 98 0.3 0.3 238 8 286.6 287.4 281.1 299.5 4.54 5 800 1947 2.5 2.2 98 0.3 2.3 218 28 293.8 294.8 285.4 310.1 5.60 6 750 2468 0.5 0.1 97 0.4 0.3 238 33 297.1 298.1 286.2 312.4 5.14 7 700 3020 -1.6 -2.0 97 0.4 -1.8 250 44 300.7 301.6 287.1 315.0 4.73 8 650 3609 -3.7 -4.0 98 0.3 -3.8 246 57 304.8 305.6 288.2 318.2 4.38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Precip is lighter across N MS and Bama. At 33-36, good snow in CTL to RDU, N Upstate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 5 minutes ago, MotoWeatherman said: And just like that the Para NAM joins the GFS. LOL. Surprise surprise. This should make Cheeze happy. Wow that's a great look! Is the Para NAM better than the regular NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Never mind.. not as heavy for NW NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 At 39, good snow in upstate to Raleigh, Hickory, Triad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 At 42, good snow in comma head in upstate, N SC, CLT, Hickory, Triad, Raleigh, NW of Greenville, NC, SE VA gets hit well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 18z GFS looks to have slid the rain/snow line SE a tad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, GaStorm said: Wow that's a great look! Is the Para NAM better than the regular NAM? Don't really know honestly. I really haven't paid much attention to it until a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 At 45, good comma head snow in N SC to Triad, RDU, to SE VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Good run, pretty similar to 12Z, little less in WNC but solid for 85 corridor and East Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 GFS just a hair weaker, same track though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Wow 18z GFS shifted the snowfall local max back over me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Looks to me like ATL has snow for 9-12 hours, but not as heavy as to the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 temps ever so slightly improved, snow line a bit more s at 42. wallops rdu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, Cary_Snow95 said: 18z GFS looks to have slid the rain/snow line SE a tad While the NAM moved it north apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 I was surprised there wasn't a little more in N Bama and MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Much better run for RDU this time around. If you loop the last three runs the freezing line slides SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 11 minutes ago, CLTwx said: Doesn't Burger know that it's only 1030pm in Amsterdam...cmon man, you brought back some mojo.. currently on a tram on my way home...18z looks great btw for CLT but RDU jackpots! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 The nam literally has the low 75 miles NW of the GFS..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skbl17 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 GFS isn't that bad for the south ATL metro (still a decent 2-5"), but I'm not liking the upswing in ice accumulation over the last few GFS runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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