TullyHeel Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:39 AM, LovingGulfLows said: If you have to hug the GFS at this point in time, you're probably in a lot of trouble. Expand NAM was pretty close to the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:40 AM, packbacker said: He really put himself out on a limb there. Expand I finally like something you said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redteamllc Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Good luck NC!......it's not happening in Ga.....(ENE of Atl. Anyhow)Sent from my SM-N920T using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:38 AM, wake4est said: The line on the CC is rapidly moving SE from Durham to Wake County in the last 15 min. Expand yeah that thing is flying south east..cold air is really coming in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:40 AM, Brick Tamland said: NAM was pretty close to the same thing. Expand Whatever the RGEM model is showing, take that to the bank. That has been almost by far the most accurate model for near-term precip types. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:39 AM, Cold Rain said: They will. Expand It shouldn't be that hard...they just need to report seeing a trace of snow. We won't get that. But...we will absolutely destroy them in the cold rain department... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:39 AM, mackerel_sky said: LO damn L! Every model has my house at 9-10", yet it's raining and 36 and has been rain with a few pellets for last 4 hours!! Garbage in ,garbage out Expand Where is it snowing then? Good grief, it's got to be snowing somewhere in the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:42 AM, packbacker said: It shouldn't be that hard...they just need to report seeing a trace of snow. We won't get that. But...we will absolutely destroy them in the cold rain department... Expand Well, according to this page, cold rain is a winter weather precipitation type. http://climate.ncsu.edu/climate/winter_wx/Precipitation_types.php EDIT: Oops, I thought this was the Sanitarium. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shahroz98 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 A washout with this one. Reminds me of this in GA with the I-85/I-985 special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 The 4K NAM looked pretty horrible for the Triangle on the AmWx model center. It has 2-4" of snow and 1-2" of sleet for Chapel Hill and almost no snow for Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Brick, It's the models not the Mets! The models 48hrs ago showed a completely different picture. It was only when the High Res. and SR models came in that we started to see this reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:43 AM, packbacker said: Where is it snowing then? Good grief, it's got to be snowing somewhere in the SE. Expand absolutely ripping fatties in Burlington/Gibsonville. Roads already covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Noticing on the continental water vapor, the ull is really digging still out near Memphis, and there is an amazing push of cold arctic air mass diving south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 it has been absolutely pouring rain at my house for the past 2 hours almost. no sleet at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYweatherguy Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:41 AM, redteamllc said: Good luck NC!......it's not happening in Ga.....(ENE of Atl. Anyhow) Sent from my SM-N920T using Tapatalk Expand I live in Buford as well. It snowed heavily for about 20 minutes and it has been rain ever since. Very disappointing because the Sugar Hill/Cumming area is getting hammered. Missed out by about 10 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:43 AM, packbacker said: Where is it snowing then? Good grief, it's got to be snowing somewhere in the SE. Expand I have about 3 inches, 24 degrees and still snowing, So, it's snowing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:46 AM, btownheel said: absolutely ripping fatties in Burlington/Gibsonville. Roads already covered. Expand Hope we can pull a Gio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWeSU Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:33 AM, PackGrad05 said: Fishel just said he "doesn't see any way that Raleigh stays all rain." However, he "can't rule out that all Raleigh gets is a dusting" Expand Surface temp is dropping fairly rapidly. If Raleigh only gets a dusting of snow/sleet then that would be one hell of an ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roque0716 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Snowing good in Winston Salem. Close to an inch on the ground give it take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 If Raleigh is at risk then it is looking grim for Wilson. Man I have been looking forward to playing in the snow with my daughter all week. See is two and a half and has been asking for snow since August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:45 AM, CaryWx said: Brick, It's the models not the Mets! The models 48hrs ago showed a completely different picture. It was only when the High Res. and SR models came in that we started to see this reality. Expand Oh, I know. That is what they have to rely on. But now even the NAM was still showing a good hit here. Guess we will see. Just saying that if it doesn't turn out to be much of anything that it really is sad we can't depend on the models more this day and age. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StewMan07 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 32.9 here just south of downtown Charlotte. Sleeting hard, but another warm nose bust..... seen this too many times Same old same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:51 AM, Brick Tamland said: Oh, I know. That is what they have to rely on. But now even the NAM was still showing a good hit here. Guess we will see. Just saying that if it doesn't turn out to be much of anything that it really is sad we can't depend on the models more this day and age. Expand No matter how great technology gets we'll never be able to predict storms like these with great accuracy. Mother nature is beyond all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ST21 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:47 AM, NYweatherguy said: I live in Buford as well. It snowed heavily for about 20 minutes and it has been rain ever since. Very disappointing because the Sugar Hill/Cumming area is getting hammered. Missed out by about 10 miles. Expand Cumming is not getting hammered. At least where I am. We got 30 minutes of great snow, and now it's been sleet with a little snow every now and then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 We're sitting real pretty with snowflakes here in G-town FINALLY started falling between 30mins and an hour ago, and some are real large in size, too! Mixed with some sleet but would imagine it'll all become snow quite soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2z hrrr slightly more robust I think, but holds the line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rawlee Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 WRAL just threw in the hat: "In the immediate Triangle area, there's rain, there's snow, there's sleet, but for most of Wake County (precipitation) is the form of light rain," said WRAL meteorologist Mike Maze. "Farther south, all of it is rain, and I think for the majority of the night, this may end up being rain. It may not be until day break that some of the colder air transitions that into something frozen." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 3:48 AM, NCWeSU said: Surface temp is dropping fairly rapidly. If Raleigh only gets a dusting of snow/sleet then that would be one hell of an ice storm. Expand They just said 2 inches for Raleigh on WRAL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 cc line right on top of me, mod sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 wow, heaviest snow so far EDIT: some minimal sleet mixing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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