LovingGulfLows Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:11 AM, shahroz98 said: 33 degrees and Rained out in Lawrenceville, Ga. I'd be lucky to get an inch. NWS shows 2 to 3 which sadly seems unlikely Expand Remember the days we were all saying that those in the Atlanta - Athens - Gainesville triangle would be the prime spot for high snow totals... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:11 AM, wake4est said: NAM is huge Expand POST IT!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:07 AM, griteater said: Maximum Wet Bulb Temperature thru the atmosphere....sleet vs. snow is lining up close to that 0 deg line Expand The zero line cuts my county and Im in the wrong side but Mod snow with super large fat bottom girl flakes are rolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:00 AM, Cold Rain said: You model hawks keep us up today with favorable raps and hrrs trends and nam snow maps and such, please! Expand Yeah, I need to see some 850 temps and 925 maps! Some good news for whatever is causing all this rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Alchemist Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 1:58 AM, strongwxnc said: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2017/md0023.html Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Expand I can attest to that up here in saluda NC.... Been snowing about an hour, and have 1 1/2 inches on top of the inch I got this afternoon... hasn't snowed this hard up hear since Dec. 2010... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 NAM has 1.75 to 2 inches of QPF for Raleigh area from 7pm today to 7pm Saturday. Down below 32 now, so that should be all frozen for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Here you go you circus animals! This is the 12K NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Heh, RNK is saying 1-3" IMBY in Blacksburg (up from 1" in the morning forecast cycle). 0z RAP and HRRR say something closer to 4-6" (5" on 10:1 0.5" liquid), SREF went ham at 21z and says something closer to 9". I didn't really prepare for anything. Mescoscale discussion with me smack in the 1" hourly rates means maybe RNK is most likely to bust here. That gradient is going to be tight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:15 AM, The Alchemist said: I can attest to that up here in saluda NC.... Been snowing about an hour, and have 1 1/2 inches on top of the inch I got this afternoon... hasn't snowed this hard up hear since Dec. 2010... Expand Same here. Just rolling outside. However, 2010 brought tons of small flakes that added up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoreyandFrosty Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Anyone got a current 850 map? I want to see how far it is from Atlanta. I cannot believe how stubborn this warm nose has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Grab at those straws! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:14 AM, Gastonwxman said: That's what I'm hoping for here in my area. Been through 3 rounds of pure raging sleet all day with no flakes of snow to show despite having such being reported all around my area except to my south...It's a bit annoying when it snows in nearly every other direction but not where you live lol. Snow should get going here pretty soon between now and midnight, at least... Expand your description matches mby this afternoon perfectly lol...although i actually had some plain rain too. the snow sort of seemed to move in an arc around here and then finally came roaring in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:17 AM, RaleighWx said: NAM has 1.75 to 2 inches of QPF for Raleigh area from 7pm today to 7pm Saturday. Down below 32 now, so that should be all frozen for me. Expand What is taking so long for the boundary to cool down here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:18 AM, Cold Rain said: Here you go you circus animals! This is the 12K NAM. Expand Why do we keep looking at this farce! its had me anywhere from 7-9", every run! I've had only rain and 0 850s are like 50 miles to my north! Ground truth is that model sucks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:17 AM, RaleighWx said: NAM has 1.75 to 2 inches of QPF for Raleigh area from 7pm today to 7pm Saturday. Down below 32 now, so that should be all frozen for me. Expand Thanks Alan. Has the temp profile changed on the Nam...moved further south at all? Or are we just looking at an increase in moisture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Wow..is that snow line extending down further south in South Carolina? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Most ridiculous RAP run I have ever seen in this area. 29" 1z RAP: EDIT: I'm not suggesting this will happen in any way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:21 AM, mackerel_sky said: Why do we keep looking at this farce! its had me anywhere from 7-9", every run! I've had only rain and 0 850s are like 50 miles to my north! Ground truth is that model sucks! Expand Actually the 0 degree 850 line is about right over you and 925 is well below 0. I think surface temps are killing you guys down there as well as up here in the bottom 2/3's of Mecklenburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:21 AM, mackerel_sky said: Why do we keep looking at this farce! its had me anywhere from 7-9", every run! I've had only rain and 0 850s are like 50 miles to my north! Ground truth is that model sucks! Expand You would think it would be better as we get closer to the storm. Here is the 4K NAM snow map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:18 AM, Cold Rain said: Here you go you circus animals! This is the 12K NAM. Expand we are gonna get rocked! i hope.. scary how close this is to the GFS posted earlier. GFS was on to something by sticking to it's guns. if it verifies the GFS won this event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Did the NAM ingest some new data before the latest run? Edit:. It looks like the axis of heaviest precip shifted east some?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shahroz98 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:14 AM, LovingGulfLows said: Remember the days we were all saying that those in the Atlanta - Athens - Gainesville triangle would be the prime spot for high snow totals... Expand Hopefully, there will be another opportunity for snow in atlanta Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:26 AM, shahroz98 said: Hopefully, there will be another opportunity for snow in atlanta Expand I doubt it...usually we get one time a winter to score something. I'm already prepared to wait another year for the next legitimate opportunity to arise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Nine inches of snow? I think the NAM is drunk. LOL. I would be lucky to get half that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Anytime a changeover from rain to snow is required, it takes FOREVER. Seems to always take longer than models indicate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:26 AM, SouthWake33 said: Did the NAM ingest some new data before the latest run? Expand Probably is lactose intolerant. Here's the Paranormal NAM for good measure: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 1/7/2017 at 2:25 AM, Cold Rain said: You would think it would be better as we get closer to the storm. Here is the 4K NAM snow map: Expand Its like its stuck. Repeating itself. Didn't we decide last year that you have to start by cutting the NAM totals in half? That might be pretty close by tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rawlee Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Go home NAM, you're drunk again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 I'm not gonna call no names but a Met with Initals JB said He thought models would correct west for several days!! then that NAM run last night he said he could believe it. Some on here laugh and said he sucked. Well guess what they shifted west...................... Guess he didn't suck all that bad with this storm. huh!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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