NorthGaWinter Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 How did the nam finish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 1:52 AM, mckinnonwg said: Ditto...but he stated he was going with a EURO lean as well as others and they have the storm moving fast. If he leaned towards the GFS, it would be on us. Expand He left himself room to make changes. At least the GFS is mostly snow (a little sleet). Hopefully, that scenario will play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:01 AM, NorthGaWinter said: How did the nam finish? Expand Its only out to 30 hours...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 1:52 AM, mckinnonwg said: Ditto...but he stated he was going with a EURO lean as well as others and they have the storm moving fast. If he leaned towards the GFS, it would be on us. Expand He left himself room to make changes. At least the GFS is mostly snow (a little sleet). Hopefully, that scenario will play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:00 AM, fritschy said: I wish the storm would slow down and take its time, that would help a lot. Expand We got rain for 3 straight days and when we have a chance for something wintry we can't get more than a few hours. Anyone happen to know the mechanics of this last system, why it was so long and strung out and why we don't see those for winter events? What would need to happen to see a 48 hour snow event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:07 AM, Iceagewhereartthou said: We got rain for 3 straight days and when we have a chance for something wintry we can't get more than a few hours. Anyone happen to know the mechanics of this last system, why it was so long and strung out and why we don't see those for winter events? What would need to happen to see a 48 hour snow event? Expand Good questions for a non-busy time. We have lots of those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 NAM is aibt better than 18z. the arctic jet is having more influence, but it's the sloppiest partial phase i have ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 NAM a tad faster through 36. Pretty close to the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farleydawg79 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Seems colder at 42 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 It's more amped up than the 18Z at 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Low about 30-50 miles N of Jacksonville past hour 48. Freezing line along I-85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Surface features look better but hard to see what at 500mb is causing it -- s/w not very impressive; neither is the troughing particularly sharp or favorably titled. It's almost like surface features are catching up to improvements at 5h in previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:22 AM, Snowless in Carrollton said: Jacksonville, FL ? Expand Sorry, forgot there are two. Yes, Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Hammering the Smokies at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Mountains are getting hammered at 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Definitely a better run for wnc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:27 AM, franklin NCwx said: Definitely a better run for wnc Expand What about the rest of us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:27 AM, franklin NCwx said: Definitely a better run for wnc Expand Te18 z run had almost 0 snow for the mountains!! Nice run to run consistency Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farleydawg79 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Man...only if the temps were lower at this point...seems earlier Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:23 AM, beanskip said: Surface features look better but hard to see what at 500b is causing it -- s/w not very impressive; neither is the troughing particularly sharp or favorably titled. It's almost like surface features are catching up to improvements at 5h in previous runs. Expand It's a little sharper. A small step toward my new fav model the Icon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:29 AM, SN_Lover said: NAM is about 100-150 miles NW of the GFS at hour 57. Expand In my case I will take all the northwest trend movement among models I can given my case haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Definitely a better run for wnc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:29 AM, SN_Lover said: NAM is about 100-150 miles NW of the GFS at hour 57. Expand So S GA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 NAM took a baby step to the GFS but has the vort too weak IMO. Looks way too dry everywhere Friday night compared to basically all other guidance- or a lot of people will be disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:31 AM, mackerel_sky said: So S GA? Expand Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:28 AM, lilj4425 said: What about the rest of us? Expand Much better run for upstate sc as well. It is still the nam but earlier it was basically a dusting to an inch. Now its close to 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 One thing I've struggled understanding is the lack of high to the north during this system. Our big snows (in NC) usually don't come from a high out near the rockies... That leads me to believe central NC sees more rain/mix before transitioning to snow. I just think the cold air is going to be delayed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:31 AM, Cheeznado said: NAM took a baby step to the GFS but has the vort too weak IMO. Looks way too dry everywhere Friday night compared to basically all other guidance- or a lot of people will be disappointed. Expand Looks fine for NC and upstate SC....bad for everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 On 1/5/2017 at 2:31 AM, Cheeznado said: NAM took a baby step to the GFS but has the vort too weak IMO. Looks way too dry everywhere Friday night compared to basically all other guidance- or a lot of people will be disappointed. Expand It looks more like what you'd expect it to by hr. 63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 NAM is so bad with QPF -- this run shows a stronger surface LP tucked closer to NC coast (compared to 18z run) but ... LESS precip thrown back over NC/SC west of I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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