GaStorm Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:10 PM, Cheeznado said: This is the 6th run in a row that has Atlanta at least 4". Biggest change is that earlier we were more on the northern fringe of the heaviest snow, now right in the middle. Expand Sure hope you can get in on the action this time. It's been a while since the city has seen anything. I think 3 years correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:12 PM, GaStorm said: Sure hope you can get in on the action this time. It's been a while since the city has seen anything. I think 3 years correct? Expand 2014 "snow/ice jam" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 GGEM did tick a hair NW once crossing the panhandle. Why is it so much warmer then the GFS for the GA/SC folks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 CMC looks like a late bloomer, colder version of Euro....would be good for shaggy and downeastnc land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Haven't seen h5, but my guess from looking at the sfc is that the CMC has finally caught on to the stream separation concept now present in the other modeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:15 PM, griteater said: CMC looks like a late bloomer, colder version of Euro....would be good for shaggy and downeastnc land Expand CMC gets snow to our area Friday afternoon...48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:14 PM, Cheeznado said: 2014 "snow/ice jam" Expand Yeah that's what I thought. Strange how our storms have been good every 3 years. Last good storm before then was 2011. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sakau2007 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 I'll cash in that GFS right now. 3 inches for me. With absolutely zero margin for error, as 30 miles north and south get virtually nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:17 PM, packbacker said: CMC gets snow to our area Friday afternoon...48 hours. Expand Precip waits to burst into the cold air until N SC and E 1/2 of NC....kind of skips ATL, just light there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 But will the GEFS agree with the OP? The ensembles arr still very key at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:19 PM, griteater said: Precip waits to burst into the cold air until N SC and E 1/2 of NC....kind of skips ATL, just light there Expand You done worried about NW trend? A slight shift east we are whiffed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mckinnonwg Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Wow the CMC has only weakened on the last 3 runs for West Georgia Area. NAM has increased GFS has been consistent EURO brought it back into play But the CMC doesn't want to join the fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:20 PM, packbacker said: You done worried about NW trend? A slight shift east we are whiffed. Expand You should never be done worried about a NW trend until the storm is over. That joker ain't no joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Here is the clown map of the CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:20 PM, mckinnonwg said: Wow the CMC has only weakened on the last 3 runs for West Georgia Area. NAM has increased GFS has been consistent EURO brought it back into play But the CMC doesn't want to join the fun. Expand The good news for you is its generally the worst model of that bunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:01 PM, SteveVa said: GFS shows no signs of NW trend. Keeps it plenty cold with the bullseye 100-150 miles to my south. At this point I'd much rather be north of the bullseye than south. Expand I don't think the low itself moved NW, but the precip shield certainly did. Maybe about 50 miles or so. CLT now in the 4-5" range. I'd call that a huge win at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:07 PM, wncsnow said: The GFS is still trending a little more NW with snowfall if you look at the past 3 runs. For example the 6z gave GSO around an inch, now the 12Z is closer to 2 inches. Mountains are getting more too Expand Yes there is an upstick in a NW trend with snowfall. This has been a trend over the past 3 to 4 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 CMC snow map looks like it moved closer to the GFS solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 nc folks will like this one...the dwd-icon drops 0.50 to 0.75 for a pretty big area with almost an inch liquid in the mountains. looks cold enough aloft at least for much of north ga and sc too. \ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 wnc snow totals keep going up and up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just curious, where are you guys looking at the UK and CMC this early? My sources do not update for another 1/2 hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mckinnonwg Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:24 PM, J.C. said: CMC snow map looks like it moved closer to the GFS solution. Expand I think it moved away. The GFS has been consistent through ATL on the last four runs and the CMC has only decreased it's action over the area. It might be different for your spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mckinnonwg Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:24 PM, Cheeznado said: Just curious, where are you guys looking at the UK and CMC this early? My sources do not update for another 1/2 hour. Expand WeatherBell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coldrain Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:01 PM, SteveVa said: GFS shows no signs of NW trend. Keeps it plenty cold with the bullseye 100-150 miles to my south. At this point I'd much rather be north of the bullseye than south. Expand Most definitely. It's always a nail biter here in SEVA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 DWD Icon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:24 PM, Cheeznado said: Just curious, where are you guys looking at the UK and CMC this early? My sources do not update for another 1/2 hour. Expand CMC on Tropical Tidbits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:20 PM, packbacker said: You done worried about NW trend? A slight shift east we are whiffed. Expand To your question, no. On the second part, I have pretty high confidence now that we'll get precip from CLT to RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:24 PM, Lookout said: nc folks will like this one...the dwd-icon drops 0.50 to 0.75 for a pretty big area with almost an inch liquid in the mountains. looks cold enough aloft at least for much of north ga and sc too. Expand 3 Talk about lift as it comes up from the SW.. WOW that is a major increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:26 PM, Cheeznado said: DWD Icon? Expand http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=dwd_icon&stn=PNMPR&hh=000&map=na&stn2=PNMPR&run2=00&mod2=cmc_anal&hh2=000&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=en&yyyy=2016&mm=12&dd=10&mode=archives&stn2_type=anal&run=00&date_type=dateo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/4/2017 at 4:24 PM, Lookout said: nc folks will like this one...the dwd-icon drops 0.50 to 0.75 for a pretty big area with almost an inch liquid in the mountains. looks cold enough aloft at least for much of north ga and sc too. Expand Lookout, What model is this? This has been the best look for this area yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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