Cary_Snow95 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 LOL how ironic would it be if Euro changes camps with the GFS. I think i would lose my sanity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 CMC comes back and so does....the UK. UK is a crush job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 CMC coming in looks to still have the same wave riding the arctic front setup, but it has more precip this run with low running from N FL to off Carolina coast...snow roughly from S MS thru Atlanta and NE of there into NC. Not as cold or as far south as GFS in the Carolinas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:20 AM, Cary_Snow95 said: LOL how ironic would it be if Euro changes camps with the GFS. I think i would lose my sanity Expand Acrually I would feel a lot better. That would fit their biases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:21 AM, griteater said: CMC coming in looks to still have the same wave riding the arctic front setup, but it has more precip this run with low running from N FL to off Carolina coast...snow roughly from S MS thru Atlanta and NE of there into NC. Not as cold or as far south as GFS in the Carolinas Expand Does the GEM have a warm bias, or am I making that up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Canadian is showing 5-8" from roughly Spartanburg to Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:22 AM, Wow said: Acrually I would feel a lot better. That would fit their biases. Expand How far north and west is the precip shield on CMC and UK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:23 AM, Cold Rain said: Does the GEM have a warm bias, or am I making that up? Expand It has a weird warm bias in non CAD events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:22 AM, Cary_Snow95 said: Just imagine if the GFS had held serve. This forum wouldve erupted Expand LOL...I know, even if GFS held a little but it looks like a complete collapse to the euro for the most part. Uk at 120. I should say the UK was a crush job...from the SLP track it would look pretty good below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 18z para gfs is a hit for much of nc w/ the thurs wave, gonna be a good one here in the next few frames with the weekend storm too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:23 AM, Queencitywx said: Canadian is showing 5-8" from roughly Spartanburg to Raleigh. Expand Actually that's about what I expected from this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AshevilleCityWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 WPC highest snow/ice probs are for NC mountains, east TN, and far north-east GA. I like this idea. They know their stuff that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:15 AM, Queencitywx said: This is just fine by me right now. It won't stay where it is. Expand On 1/3/2017 at 4:17 AM, Cold Rain said: Yep, exactly what I want to see this far out. Even if all we end up with is flurries, it beats the pants off of a raging SER. Expand Fully agree guys, we can't ask for much more at this stage really....keep the system there and ignite it with those warm gulf SSTs. We'll be fighting warm noses and boundary layer warmth in a few days if we don't watch it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Secondary big winner that run is Birmingham to Atlanta on the GEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 CMC snow totals, much better run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 18z GFS parallel coming in and keeps a stronger wave in tact. Should be a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:24 AM, DopplerWx said: 18z para gfs is a hit for much of nc w/ the thurs wave, gonna be a good one here in the next few frames with the weekend storm too. Expand 18z para is stronger then it's 12z run...this is a run the MA would like, negative tilt should wrap up and bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:24 AM, Queencitywx said: It has a weird warm bias in non CAD events. Expand Aahhh ok. Thanks man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:24 AM, packbacker said: LOL...I know, even if GFS held a little but it looks like a complete collapse to the euro for the most part. Uk at 120. I should say the UK was a crush job...from the SLP track it would look pretty good below. Expand Some late phasing bringing the low north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:25 AM, AshevilleCityWx said: WPC highest snow/ice probs are for NC mountains, east TN, and far north-east GA. I like this idea. They know their stuff that's for sure. Expand Well, A lot will have to change for those to be the highest areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Pack that UKMet run looks straight up negative tilt....crush job indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:24 AM, packbacker said: LOL...I know, even if GFS held a little but it looks like a complete collapse to the euro for the most part. Uk at 120. I should say the UK was a crush job...from the SLP track it would look pretty good below. Expand The ukmet might get the endorsement of king after this weekend. Well see how it all shakes out, but man its been consistent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:25 AM, AshevilleCityWx said: WPC highest snow/ice probs are for NC mountains, east TN, and far north-east GA. I like this idea. They know their stuff that's for sure. Expand Not seeing those areas as the best possible areas for this event. Southern and eastern areas are favored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:29 AM, cg2916 said: What's the prime timeframe for the NW trend typically? Expand I never feel good in the SE until we get inside 48 hours to go time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Okay with the GFS. Might be setting up for the NW trend. UK, Canadian, and para GFS all coming in better now, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 18z para GFS that just came out looks a lot like today's 12z GFS. North Georgia crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broken024 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Why does 18z para* come out when 0z models do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:32 AM, jrips27 said: 18z para that just came out looks a lot like today's 12z GFS. North Georgia crushed. Expand Yeah it totally crushes N/NE GA, NW SC and NE NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 4:31 AM, griteater said: I never feel good in the SE until we get inside 48 hours to go time Expand After that February 2015 storm, I don't feel good until I see it falling and laying. Id love to see precip maps on the ukie. Canadian does have UKIE meteograms, I think, somewhere on the GEM website. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 JMA doesn't appear weak at 72... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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