RubiksDestroyer Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Looks like the 18z didn't separate the southern stream energy quite as much. Still nowhere anywhere near the Euro at 66, but I don't think they're quite as good as the 12z and 06z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 NWS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Our forecast is either calling for less than 1 inch or up to 3-5 inches. I am hoping the latter is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 The cold air isn't pushing south quite as quickly this run, either. That may not matter in the end (especially if we get some good CAD/high pressures to our north), but still something to take into account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 It may just be me but the second wave does not look as impressive. Some snow breaking out in NC around hour 81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 On 1/2/2017 at 9:54 PM, PackGrad05 said: Greg Fishel is going with a rain/snow mix on Saturday. Said the american model went bonkers this morning but there isn't another model on the planet showing that.. That's all he said at this point. But we all know he leans with the euro. Expand Was there any reason to say that? You have no clue what he thinks. Keep it on topic and without your opinions about people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 The GFS is still much stronger with the second wave through 84 hours compared to the EC, so this run is still going to be different from the EC, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 The trough is not as sharp this run either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 On 1/2/2017 at 9:57 PM, Poimen said: The GFS is still much stronger with the second wave through 84 hours compared to the EC, so this run is still going to be different from the EC, I think. Expand Oh yeah for sure but I'm not sure it blows up as much as the 12z. Looks like this may come in more north also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Weaker 2nd wave means less ridging in the MS valley which equals colder aloft pretty much all places west of GA. Don't need strong system...just not one that gets squished. I think this run will still be very pleasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 The first wave is also slower so the high pressure is farther west as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 On 1/2/2017 at 10:02 PM, MotoWeatherman said: Weaker 2nd wave means less ridging in the MS valley which equals colder aloft pretty much all places west of GA. Don't need strong system...just not one that gets squished. I think this run will still be very pleasing. Expand Thanks Moto. Still a nice precipe field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 It should be a good hit. Most of us knew the 12z was overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 On 1/2/2017 at 10:02 PM, MotoWeatherman said: Weaker 2nd wave means less ridging in the MS valley which equals colder aloft pretty much all places west of GA. Don't need strong system...just not one that gets squished. I think this run will still be very pleasing. Expand Yeah, not as much energy but it will be a good storm for NC and the upper SE. Not as amped as 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 I think it's going to be further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Precip field should be more south than the 12z, hot spot may be RDU south instead of near the boarder. of course with lower totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 On 1/2/2017 at 10:04 PM, Wow said: I think it's going to be further south Expand it is. LP is 50mi S of New Orleans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 On 1/2/2017 at 10:04 PM, Wow said: I think it's going to be further south Expand Was just going to say it looks to come more south than 12z. Less amped means more southern solution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 I still like the expansion of the precip field on the 108 frame. Low near Brownsville or area of intense precip is still not that far off position wise as 12z was. Welp no bueno 114 frame significantly southeast of 12z position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 114hr heavy snow northern half of the gulf states, very suppressed but large system. THis whole forum will love this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 This could be very big for places like Atlanta and Birmingham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 DGEX is a nice hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 This run is a dream in my opinion. Weaker low gives more places further south the goods while the expansive precip shield to the north generates decent ratios due to the very cold air aloft. Win... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Atlanta looks to be more snow than ice this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 This is absolutely perfect for many many people. Less ice and just lots of pure snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 On 1/2/2017 at 10:02 PM, MotoWeatherman said: Weaker 2nd wave means less ridging in the MS valley which equals colder aloft pretty much all places west of GA. Don't need strong system...just not one that gets squished. I think this run will still be very pleasing. Expand yep...more snow/less sleet for ga this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 This this run will wind up making many here in this forum happy. Overall, stil fairly similar at 500mb as the system heads into TX/ OK. Should still be a nice SFC reflection from the northern Gulf then off the Carolina coast. Probably winds up slightly south/ therefore slightly colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Low pressure is about 75 miles further south in the gulf than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 On 1/2/2017 at 10:08 PM, MotoWeatherman said: This run is a dream in my opinion. Weaker low gives more places further south the goods while the expansive precip shield to the north generates decent ratios due to the very cold air aloft. Win... Expand Yep so far a great run. Lots of snow showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 On 1/2/2017 at 10:09 PM, MotoWeatherman said: This is absolutely perfect for many many people. Less ice and just lots of pure snow. Expand puffy dendrites for sure!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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