StoneColdWeatherAustin Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 Surprised there has not been a thread started yet for possible wintry scenario between Thursday and Saturday of this week. Up until today, models were a little more aggressive, but even though they backed off a tad today, the that remained in the three main global models. Let's keep the fingers crossed! Sent from my VS990 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AshevilleCityWx Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 jinx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AshevilleCityWx Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Yea I reported him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Poor new guy, bout to feel the wrath of JBuns! Or Buckey! Go Ohio State! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StoneColdWeatherAustin Posted January 1, 2017 Author Share Posted January 1, 2017 Wasn't trying to jinx anything fellows. Was truly surprised there was not one started yet. Blame me if you need, but no harm was intended. Sent from my VS990 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thess Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Things get very superstitious round these parts. What I haven't told anyone yet is that winter in NC started going to crap when I started lurking here a few years ago. I moved here about ten years ago from FL and we'd already gotten to the Christmas snow of 2010 before I found out (later) that winter wasn't a guarantee here. So I started reading forums. And I broke winter. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 ....anyways. 0z runs are about to start Hopefully we all get a Miller A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StoneColdWeatherAustin Posted January 1, 2017 Author Share Posted January 1, 2017 Things get very superstitious round these parts. What I haven't told anyone yet is that winter in NC started going to crap when I started lurking here a few years ago. I moved here about ten years ago from FL and we'd already gotten to the Christmas snow of 2010 before I found out (later) that winter wasn't a guarantee here. So I started reading forums. And I broke winter. Sorry.My uncle lived his adulthood life in Chicago. After retirement, he moved to Oak Island. It was sometime back in the 80's. His first winter there, they got 17 inches dumped on them. I always hoped the snow just followed him here but ole mother nature smashed that theory very quickly!Sent from my VS990 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 It's definitely dead now. KOD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 1 hour ago, John Seivers said: Surprised there has not been a thread started yet for possible wintry scenario between Thursday and Saturday of this week. Up until today, models were a little more aggressive, but even though they backed off a tad today, the that remained in the three main global models. Let's keep the fingers crossed! Sent from my VS990 using Tapatalk We usually like to see a threat within 3 or 4 days before we start a thread. If it can find a way to trend worse it will. One thing you will learn living here, is that winter weather in the Carolinas is strange to say the least. We have cold air damming that can turn a rain event into a freezing rain disaster. We also have the lee side trough that can turn a nuisance snow event into a major winter storm. The mountains to our NW can have huge implications on storm track and cold air delivery. That's why folks are so superstitious about creating winter storm threads. We like to see the "whites of their eyes" first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StoneColdWeatherAustin Posted January 1, 2017 Author Share Posted January 1, 2017 We usually like to see a threat within 3 or 4 days before we start a thread. If it can find a way to trend worse it will. One thing you will learn living here, is that winter weather in the Carolinas is strange to say the least. We have cold air damming that can turn a rain event into a freezing rain disaster. We also have the lee side trough that can turn a nuisance snow event into a major winter storm. The mountains to our NW can have huge implications on storm track and cold air delivery. That's why folks are so superstitious about creating winter storm threads. We like to see the "whites of their eyes" first.I have been in the triad my entire life so I am well aware of the science it takes for us to get lucky. I usually don't start talking about it this early, so let's hope that it breaks the bad luck!Sent from my VS990 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 4 minutes ago, John Seivers said: I have been in the triad my entire life so I am well aware of the science it takes for us to get lucky. I usually don't start talking about it this early, so let's hope that it breaks the bad luck! Sent from my VS990 using Tapatalk In all fairness, you didn't have a location posted, you didn't give a solid reasoning for why you thought the threat would come to fruition, and you only have a few posts. I figured that you were new to this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StoneColdWeatherAustin Posted January 1, 2017 Author Share Posted January 1, 2017 14 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: In all fairness, you didn't have a location posted, you didn't give a solid reasoning for why you thought the threat would come to fruition, and you only have a few posts. I figured that you were new to this area. Hey....no worries and I thought my location was in there. I am always using tapa, so didn't realize it. I updated it for future references. I am definitely not a trained meteorologist, but I do study it anytime I can. Honestly, I am typically a "follower" of you guys. It is always great keeping up with the threads leading up to significant weather. I usually do not post much except for obs. Honestly, I am not sure what came over me to drop this thread on you all. Could be the kid in my 41 yr old body...or could be the boredom of watching this one sided playoff game at the moment ! Either way, no harm intended for you all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StoneColdWeatherAustin Posted January 1, 2017 Author Share Posted January 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, AshevilleCityWx said: Well keep it up and you are going to start getting burned badly. I wish threads were only started by red taggers and not the gen pop. You are a nobody. Just now, Cold Rain said: Wow, that's not very nice. It's ok. I obviously stepped on some little toes. I got tough skin for nobody haters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 2 minutes ago, AshevilleCityWx said: Neither is jinxing my snow. I take that very seriously. If he was at another table in a restaurant with me and I overhead him creating hype threads... Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 2 minutes ago, AshevilleCityWx said: Neither is jinxing my snow. I take that very seriously. If he was at another table in a restaurant with me and I overhead him creating hype threads... Starting a thread has no bearing on what will or won't happen. The weather will do what it's going to do whether we start a thread early or not. Calling someone a nobody is also out of line. The 00z runs tonight will be important but especially the 12z runs tomorrow once more of the shortwaves are sampled. There will be two waves it appears, one Friday morning and another Saturday into Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, AshevilleCityWx said: Neither is jinxing my snow. I take that very seriously. If he was at another table in a restaurant with me and I overhead him creating hype threads... I really hope you're not serious. I can start tossing out warnings real quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 After the last few post, I say let this thread roll... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 We don't control the weather. The weather controls us. Anyways. Looking at the NAM so close to phasing early on. I am getting a very December 2010 feeling for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 2 minutes ago, FallsLake said: After the last few post, I say let this thread roll... It's rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, SN_Lover said: We don't control the weather. The weather controls us. Anyways. Looking at the NAM so close to phasing early on. I am getting a very December 2010 feeling for some reason. Yeah, been thinking the same thing that last couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 3 minutes ago, Wow said: It's rolling. Rock on!! Way better than Brick starting one!! on to 0z runs and drinking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Lol, just the entertainment of the thread makes up for the party foul. No phasing please, and no Christmas 2010, highly overrated imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 2 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: Not cool man. Not cool at all. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Bout to be ban hammer time! You know how those Asheville folk are..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Rock on!! Way better than Brick starting one!! on to 0z runs and drinking! I started one on the other board yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StoneColdWeatherAustin Posted January 1, 2017 Author Share Posted January 1, 2017 Lol, just the entertainment of the thread makes up for the party foul. No phasing please, and no Christmas 2010, highly overrated imo.Hopefully I have helped to further enhance your New Year's! I promise no more party fouls in the future.Sent from my VS990 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDowell_Weather Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 Beginners luck is what ive always heard! Let's hope that's right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 6 minutes ago, SN_Lover said: We don't control the weather. The weather controls us. Ain't that the truth! Amazing the lack of sleep for some this upcoming week staying up for the ECMWF. And some awake automatically from deep sleep like clockwork at ECMWF time. Maybe we should ask for 3z and 15z runs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarheel17 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 This is my first post here, although I have been a lurker for a long while. May I further contribute to beginner's luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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