dendrite Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 1 minute ago, MetHerb said: Interesting. I didn't know that they were modelling that. Is that something new? Not new. Almost every parameter goes into model equations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Just now, dendrite said: Not new. Almost every parameter goes into model equations. GOOD FOR SH IT Euro at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 JB is crowing about a strat warming that will bring winter back for late January and February. Does he have a clue in this regard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 12 minutes ago, MetHerb said: Interesting. I didn't know that they were modelling that. Is that something new? NOHRSC does it for Cocorahs stations, here is mine going bye bye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 24 minutes ago, MetHerb said: Good lord...it's bad enough we have people calling temperature readings fake it's another to post actual fake readings and call them comparable to other readings. Is the media still giving this clown coverage? Yeah...not to beat a dead horse in this Jan pattern thread, but his COOP site with shielding had -5F this morning...a far cry from his "valley" temp of -20F. That's colder than anything in N VT and N NH this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Snow surface radiation flux is almost as exciting as my 6" soil temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Snow surface radiation flux is almost as exciting as my 6" soil temp. We geek Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: Not new. Almost every parameter goes into model equations. lol....I know it gets factored in, just didn't know that they were specifically modelling depth. I guess it makes sense come to think of it. 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: NOHRSC does it for Cocorahs stations, here is mine going bye bye I knew that NOHRSC modeled snowdepth, just not the GFS. Enjoy the snow while you have it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Just now, MetHerb said: lol....I know it gets factored in, just didn't know that they were specifically modelling depth. I guess it makes sense come to think of it. I knew that NOHRSC modeled snowdepth, just not the GFS. Enjoy the snow while you have it! Euro as usual is much better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Snow surface radiation flux is almost as exciting as my 6" soil temp. I miss my ground temp sensor. Something happened to mine last year and I haven't replaced it. I did a standard 4" reading and 8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Kevin should go to Missouri models have an epic Ice storm progged with 2 to 3 inches of qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Kevin should go to Missouri models have an epic Ice storm progged with 2 to 3 inches of qpf What's the point, it's just going to melt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Kevin should go to Missouri models have an epic Ice storm progged with 2 to 3 inches of qpf Hoping that translates to CT this weekend. Doesn't seem like a snow set up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 56 minutes ago, dendrite said: Nah. That's really the model progged snow depth. If you look at the analysis it has a low resolution of the current pack. if that is what the models use to project, then they are going to miss thermal graadients, low level cold, etc. yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Days 11-15 look like something out of hell. Reminds me of last December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Days 11-15 look like something out of hell. Reminds me of last December Uggs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Uggs This far out to have it show numbers that warm at climo coldest time of year means 5 days of 50+ potential. Hopefully that PNA rise gets the trough back east around the 25th. Until then we wash and shine vehicles and find other hobbies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Well heck, that looks better than 38 and boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 3rd day in a row with highs in the teens 16, 18, 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Seems like the extended is a pretty classic nina 1-2-3 progression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 12 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Well heck, that looks better than 38 and boring. Definitely not Dec 15, don't know if he remembers and today's EPS starts improving day 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 There's def change on the EPS at the end...it might be rushed, might not be, but we'll prob get another favorable period late month or early Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There's def change on the EPS at the end...it might be rushed, might not be, but we'll prob get another favorable period late month or early Feb. looks like Dec mid month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There's def change on the EPS at the end...it might be rushed, might not be, but we'll prob get another favorable period late month or early Feb. What does it show at the end of the EPS?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 1 minute ago, leo1000 said: What does it show at the end of the EPS?. Starting to lose the death vortex over AK and a little more PNA ridging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 It's starts to look like nino with srn stream action too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 33 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Uggs I know the larger syrup producers up north have started tapping but when I see 40s every day like that, I'm wondering if I need to tap early again. I should have last year but waited. I made out OK but if I had tapped last year in January, I could have picked up a few extra weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: It's starts to look like nino with srn stream action too. That would be good news I take it if it's weak El Nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 17 minutes ago, MetHerb said: I know the larger syrup producers up north have started tapping but when I see 40s every day like that, I'm wondering if I need to tap early again. I should have last year but waited. I made out OK but if I had tapped last year in January, I could have picked up a few extra weeks. you probably have an ORH climate though and its only 40's for a 2 hr period each day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Weeklies go wild for end of January and into early February with a huge PNA/EPO ridge and monstrous Aleutian low...very El Nino-ish. But of course, we know the caveats involved with the weeklies at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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