PB GFI Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 56 minutes ago, bluewave said: That high sliding across from the north continues to look like one of the strongest we have seen in recent years with models maxing out near 1050 mb. Following that, the ensembles show a very rapid EPO reversal with warmth taking over most of North America. But the EPS show that raging Alaskan vortex to only be a transient feature as you can see signs of the 11-15 moving toward the weeklies post January 25th. Very extreme 500 mb wavelength fluctuations coming the rest of this month. Can`t disagree with any of this . Lets see what / how much energy runs into that HP . We seem to be capitalizing inside these small periods . This weekend looks like there`s another chance before temps spike again . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 10 minutes ago, tim said: ...westhampton (kfok)..5am.. +9* ..7am..-9* winds went calm. I'm sure this has been discussed before but can someone explain why KFOK can be be such a cold spot during winter? Seems that it is levels above others in the area for both cold and rapid cooling when the conditions are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Some of these lows in SE VA and NE NC are very impressive: KRIC: 0 KPTB (Petersburg/Dinwiddie VA): -8F KLKU (Louisa, VA): 3F KPVG (Chesapeake): 9F KSFQ (Suffolk, VA): 3F KFKN (Franklin, VA): -2F KEMV (Emporia, VA): -6F KECG (Elizabeth City, NC): 11F KPVG (Greenville, NC): 3F (this was actually late yesterday) KIXA (Roanoke Rapids, NC): 5F Can't find any stations below 0 in NC but still looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Just now, pazzo83 said: Some of these lows in SE VA and NE NC are very impressive: KRIC: 0 KPTB (Petersburg/Dinwiddie VA): -8F KLKU (Louisa, VA): 3F KPVG (Chesapeake): 9F KSFQ (Suffolk, VA): 3F KFKN (Franklin, VA): -2F KEMV (Emporia, VA): -6F KECG (Elizabeth City, NC): 11F KPVG (Greenville, NC): 3F (this was actually late yesterday) KIXA (Roanoke Rapids, NC): 5F Can't find any stations below 0 in NC but still looking. Richmond broke its daily record low temperature. The old record was 1°, which was set on 1/9/1940. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said: Richmond broke its daily record low temperature. The old record was 1°, which was set on 1/9/1940. Their 6hr min is listed as -0F, so I wonder if they technically did dip slightly below 0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 1 minute ago, pazzo83 said: Their 6hr min is listed as -0F, so I wonder if they technically did dip slightly below 0. That's a good question. It might well have been a few tenths of a degree below 0°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, PB GFI said: Can`t disagree with any of this . Lets see what / how much energy runs into that HP . We seem to be capitalizing inside these small periods . This weekend looks like there`s another chance before temps spike again . Agree. The the great Pacific blocking pattern has powered us to above normal seasonal snowfall to date despite the lack of extended cold. Places like JFK are already a bit more than half way to reaching seasonal average snowfall by January 10th. Just goes to show how even when the Atlantic blocking disappoints, the Pacific is there to pick up the slack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Could be some freezing rain and sleet around late tomorrow night for the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Got to -1F back where I grew up in VA (KSHD), but that's pretty run-of-the-mill. CHO and EZF (Fredericksburg) got down to 7F which is pretty chilly for them. DCA and NYC (16 and 14 respectively) are the embarrassments of the corridor. We barely got colder than the Outer Banks overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 13 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: I'm sure this has been discussed before but can someone explain why KFOK can be be such a cold spot during winter? Seems that it is levels above others in the area for both cold and rapid cooling when the conditions are right. Location in the pine barrens. No urban heat. Flat, with sandy soil. Last night throw in deep snow cover and lack of wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 31 minutes ago, mriceyman said: Can anyone point me in the ignore button direction for this clown ^ I don't blame ya...while signed in click on your user name at top and you'll see ignored users...add your favorites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Location in the pine barrens. No urban heat. Flat, with sandy soil. Last night throw in deep snow cover and lack of wind. Ahh yes, the sandy soil and flatness are big differentiators. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 9, 2017 Author Share Posted January 9, 2017 32 minutes ago, Snow88 said: I have on : 2 pairs of socks Long Johns under my pants 3 shirts Facemask Gloves Hat Hand warmers I will be standing outside for 16 hours Why is the cfs your favorite model? The same brother except I'll be our in it for 10 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 2 hours ago, Isotherm said: 0.5F here. Awesome. We decoupled. You can see how that didn't happen here...Winds were just strong enough to prevent optimal cooling... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Well at least NYC's season low won't be in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 15 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Location in the pine barrens. No urban heat. Flat, with sandy soil. Last night throw in deep snow cover and lack of wind. This is from BNL, but you can see how shallow the cold is on these idea radiational cooling nights. The 50 m temp was basically the NYC low this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: Well at least NYC's season low won't be in December. It will be interesting to see if NYC can reach single digits this winter for the 3rd consecutive winter. The last time that happened was winters 2002-03 through 2004-05. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 16 minutes ago, bluewave said: This is from BNL, but you can see how shallow the cold is on these idea radiational cooling nights. The 50 m temp was basically the NYC low this morning. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 33 minutes ago, bluewave said: Agree. The the great Pacific blocking pattern has powered us to above normal seasonal snowfall to date despite the lack of extended cold. Places like JFK are already a bit more than half way to reaching seasonal average snowfall by January 10th. Just goes to show how even when the Atlantic blocking disappoints, the Pacific is there to pick up the slack. My next period starts around here . ( 25th ish ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Wearing thermals today as well. And sweater over dress shirt and tie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Just now, PB GFI said: My next period starts around here . ( 25th ish ) What do you see on this frame? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 14 minutes ago, Morris said: What do you see on this frame? It would start sometime after the 25th IMO . Those higher heights are rolling N back over the top and pressures are building in Canada . The trough begins to develop underneath and should find itself in the S/E and M/A starting the last week ish of Jan as we enter Feb . Not sure how long or strong yet . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, PB GFI said: It would start sometime after the 25th IMO . Those higher heights are rolling N back over the top and pressures are building in Canada . The trough begins to develop underneath and should find itself in the S/E and M/A starting the last week ish of Jan as we enter Feb . Not sure how long or strong yet . For what its worth Bastardi targeted that period and believes we can ride it through Feb. Trust him as far as I can throw him but it's an indicator and a couple of other major mets targeting same period. What are you thinking for this Sat. PB? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Morning low of 8 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Who's down for a trip to the West Coast? Feet of snow forecast there over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 21 minutes ago, nyblizz44 said: For what its worth Bastardi targeted that period and believes we can ride it through Feb. Trust him as far as I can throw him but it's an indicator and a couple of other major mets targeting same period. What are you thinking for this Sat. PB? He is usually too strong for too long . I think this is a winter of 10 and 15 day periods , for him to say Feb into March is not something I will touch . This weekend will have a very March feel to it . 60 possible ( where there deep snow cover , those point and click numbers will bust high ) on Friday and 2 days later Snow and Ice could show up . I want to see how much energy come out of the Panhandle before I take a good stab at it . That is an anomalous High and would stand firm if something ran into at the right time . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 1 hour ago, PB GFI said: My next period starts around here . ( 25th ish ) It's pretty cool when you see the EPS 11-15 going to the what the recent weekly runs have been showing that after January 25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 1 minute ago, bluewave said: It's pretty cool when you see the EPS 11-15 going to the recent weekly runs showing that after January 25th. Yeh man, it`s been a while . I know you have liked the post 25th period/ PNA spike . Let`s hope this continues to show up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 2 hours ago, dmillz25 said: The same brother except I'll be our in it for 10 hours I was outside for 14 hours Saturday during the snow. I wear my snowboard pants, high rubber water proof boots with thick socks, heavy jacket with fleece under, hat and face cover and thick snow board mittens. I was toasty and my coworkers freezing. It's all about how you dress. If I could afford one I would get a Canada goose jacket (the ones with the fur hood and red patch on the arm) if you work or live In Manhattan they are everywhere. im liking the late January-February period as well. One for strict snow climatology but two following the trend of the last few winters. In our new emerging climate that's the time of year that seems to love our area for snow. This isn't speculation or a left/right issue it's fact Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 1 hour ago, PB GFI said: Yeh man, it`s been a while . I know you have liked the post 25th period/ PNA spike . Let`s hope this continues to show up. Be nice to get a +pna with -epo. We have been lucky in ways with the negative combo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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