bluewave Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 How often do we see a 60 degree temperature departure gradient across the US like the ensembles have this week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, CIK62 said: CFS looks worse than ever. Just 3 BN days in the next 30, and they are the next 3. That's right, no below normal days all the way to Feb. 07, and did not look like it was about to change at that time either. it must be a tough having to write about the same thing over and over again. Sad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 QBO is killing chances at any extended blocking. What is it +14 now? I stopped looking. It was like checking a bad stock Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: FYI, there's a rather ugly AO forecast this morning. Unfortunately, it may be in line with December's outcome. 11/15 cases following a December average of +1.000 or above had a January average > 0. Models are so inconsistent...really having problems. We will have to depend more on the pacific, it's more than the ao. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 39 minutes ago, CIK62 said: CFS looks worse than ever. Just 3 BN days in the next 30, and they are the next 3. That's right, no below normal days all the way to Feb. 07, and did not look like it was about to change at that time either. Such a horrible model. I don't trust any model more than 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 6 hours ago, doncat said: A refreshing 13 degrees this morning with 6 inches of snow on the ground. 11F here this morning. Hoping we an decouple tonight to utilize this fresh snow cover for impressive radiational cooling. If we can achieve calm winds, 0F is within reach in suburbia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Isotherm said: 11F here this morning. Hoping we an decouple tonight to utilize this fresh snow cover for impressive radiational cooling. If we can achieve calm winds, 0F is within reach in suburbia. 850s are like -20C so some places should get near 0F. 12F is the forecast low here in the Bronx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, Isotherm said: 11F here this morning. Hoping we an decouple tonight to utilize this fresh snow cover for impressive radiational cooling. If we can achieve calm winds, 0F is within reach in suburbia. A place like Tom's river would have a better shot than Sussex with a lot more snow cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Absolutely devastating ice storm on the Euro for Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, central Illinois, and up through the Ohio River Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 21 minutes ago, mimillman said: Absolutely devastating ice storm on the Euro for Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, central Illinois, and up through the Ohio River Valley We have to watch the high to our north to see if it stays in place when the precip comes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 lol HRRR takes the city down to 2 tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Morris said: lol HRRR takes the city down to 2 tonight. We'd need to be in the low teens right now for that to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Beautiful winter weekend. Doesn't get much better then this. 23 and nice snow pack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Seasonal snowfall so far 2017 Knyc 9.5 Kjfk 12.6 klga 11.3 Kewr 10.8 kbdr 12.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 All is well with the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, mimillman said: All is well with the world. Truth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Beautiful winter weekend. Doesn't get much better then this. 23 and nice snow pack Agreed. Likely to be the best four day stretch of the month imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Snowshack said: Agreed. Likely to be the best four day stretch of the month imo. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 I am just enjoying this one and only real snowstorm that you could actually classify as a snowstorm. That is the only one of the winter it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 1 minute ago, leo1000 said: I just enjoyed this snowstorm we had here probably will be the last one of this pathetic winter. Nah I think we'll do well in February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 9 hours ago, PB GFI said: Yeh the 2 small cuts in the warmth are prob Tues / Wed , maybe N ? because of the snow cover and then again Sunday Monday as the high cuts accross with the chance of something wintry for someone . So what looked like a 10 day long uninterrupted torch could have 4 days carved out of it. Thats always the risk with -EPO/-WPO patterns that and inject HP into the pattern . The EPO goes pos on the 13th and the lag of HP is usually 5 days or so. So the front 5 days of the period are cold and the chance to steal another 4 days out of that warm 10 day period as multiple chances of snow occured in the 15 would be a nice steal . I'm really interested in the possible MLK weekend snow event. The Euro probably shows the potential that is involved. Even the GFS has it right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Current temp down to 18 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 23 here. Temp has been pretty steady for the past hour or so, it was colder this time yesterday, so it'll be interesting to see how low we go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: I'm really interested in the possible MLK weekend snow event. The Euro probably shows the potential that is involved. Even the GFS has it right now. Don , it really is a timing issue . I guess we want the entire piece to come out like the Canadian did last night. The Euro and the 12z PARA bring a little more out now . If it comes in pieces the firsr piece gets shredded and by the time second piece ejects the H escapes and it cuts . Its really a well timed thread the needle event that would be nice to pull off in between what will warm in front and behind. First there is some WAA Tuesday that should have snow and ice with it into the LHV and NNJ before it goes over to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Despite no fresh snow cover here its quite chilly out. Down to 8° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mriceyman Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 10 hours ago, leo1000 said: I am just enjoying this one and only real snowstorm that you could actually classify as a snowstorm. That is the only one of the winter it looks like. Lol .. according to my calculations we are over 2 weeks ahead of the last 2 winters in regards to snowfall. It looks like this is the only storm? Did your crystal ball tell you that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Temp now down to 10 here, very cold morning out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Currently 4 in Armonk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 ...-3* @ KFOK...i'm @ -0.7*..coldest morning yet.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 Wind stayed up all night here so didn't drop as low as could have...currently 11 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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