CaryWx Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Jon, when the 18z gfs op run gets out to that ~240 range can you give us your comparison take? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 2 minutes ago, Jon said: The "big dogs" are up tick this run, 4-5 big dogs for NC (7-10"+), only 1-2 on the 0z EPS I believe. I need to move to Roxboro!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 30 minutes ago, packbacker said: Day 10 sure looks cutterific but also EPS is hinting at a more suppressed solution on day 12-13. Question is how much cold air will be available, as of now it doesn't look like a lot. Below you can compare the day 12 setup with past solid NC winter storms with a strong bearing ridge. The ensembles have been shifting that towards Russia more which obviously isn't as good. I'm impressed Pack, you've done your homework! We would need this image below to look more like your image above with more negative anomalies over the great lakes and into the northeast in order to keep the wave in the Great Basin suppressed more to the south. Looking for / counting on south trends in the models is hard work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: I need to move to Rochester !! Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Hr192 on the 18z GFS is kind of wow worthy. Much stronger and farther south PV lobe over the great lakes into the NE states and SE Canada. 850 0 deg from Myrtle Beach to OK City. 1036mb sfc high over Iowa, storm wave over the 4 corners Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 We've gone from canceling the rest of this winter and all of next winter to tracking a new storm in all of 1 day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 2 minutes ago, griteater said: We've gone from canceling the rest of this winter and all of next winter to tracking a new storm in all of 1 day You just gotta love it Grit!!! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 3 minutes ago, griteater said: Hr192 on the 18z GFS is kind of wow worthy. Much stronger and farther south PV lobe over the great lakes into the NE states and SE Canada. 850 0 deg from Myrtle Beach to OK City. 1036mb sfc high over Iowa, storm wave over the 4 corners Not bad...big height supressing low in Maine with big PNA ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Nice setup on gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 3 minutes ago, griteater said: We've gone from canceling the rest of this winter and all of next winter to tracking a new storm in all of 1 day This winter is dead to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Good lord... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 1 minute ago, packbacker said: This winter is dead to me. Wait till you see the tonight's runs, You'll be revived Pack!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Retreating high over the NE with a GL low, but a big winter storm for parts of N GA / TN / W and C NC....big storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 1 minute ago, BIG FROSTY said: Wait till you see the tonight's runs, You'll be revived Pack!!! LOL...I am sucker for a 18z GFS snowmap. Triple phaser potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Holy hell... this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 1 minute ago, griteater said: Retreating high over the NE with a GL low, but a big winter storm for parts of N GA / TN / W and C NC....big storm lol, you can only laugh. Go home 18z gfs, you're drunk. A mean drunk too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Alright 18z GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 3 minutes ago, packbacker said: LOL...I am sucker for a 18z GFS snowmap. Triple phaser potential. Leave it to the 18z gfs to throw out a weenie run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 1 minute ago, packbacker said: Alright 18z GFS... The trough would keep it suppressed, that's always a good start. Weenie map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 1 minute ago, JoshM said: The trough would keep it suppressed, that's always a good start. The apocalyptic low over Maine with the gorilla bearing block with the PNA ridge would give a chance. Need all three, the 50/50 is probably most important IMO... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Looks like serious ICE from that double-knot 7 LP in my redneck of the woods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Don't look at the freezing rain map!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Just now, packfan98 said: Don't look at the freezing rain map!!! Ya... kiss all your trees and utility poles goodbye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 1 hour ago, CaryWx said: Jon, when the 18z gfs op run gets out to that ~240 range can you give us your comparison take? Thanks I don't think I need to now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Great day at those sleet totals. 18z GFS on a rough drunk for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Just now, Jon said: I don't think I need to now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Canadian is a pinch different at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 27, 2017 Share Posted January 27, 2017 Holy crap! GFS and EURO both in agreement of a winter storm 9-10 days out? What could go wrong?! Where's Stone Cold to start the thread?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.