FLweather Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 9 minutes ago, griteater said: I'm late to the party but Euro has a weak Miller A snow for Mack on Jan 2 So what we've bypassed the 28th threat? The 28th and after the 2nd threat looks nice for yall. Strong CAD to ATL with overrunning snow ice ip on the 28th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 3 minutes ago, FLweather said: So what we've bypassed the 28th threat? The 28th and after the 2nd threat looks nice for yall. Strong CAD to ATL with overrunning snow ice ip No I'm just busy today and was throwing in a comment on the Jan 2 storm. Big hit on Dec 28 with the strong damming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tazaroo Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 7 minutes ago, FLweather said: So what we've bypassed the 28th threat? The 28th and after the 2nd threat looks nice for yall. Strong CAD to ATL with overrunning snow ice ip on the 28th There's a separate thread for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, griteater said: No I'm just busy today and was throwing in a comment on the Jan 2 storm. Big hit on Dec 28 with the strong damming Busy as a bee myself. Having to do drive bys to see what's going on. You guys with clowns feel free to post. Sure I'm not the only one entertain and driving to and fro. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 9 minutes ago, griteater said: No I'm just busy today and was throwing in a comment on the Jan 2 storm. Big hit on Dec 28 with the strong damming Just messing with ya. Euro 12z shows temps at 850 and 925 predominantly snow. Waa may take over towards the end. Precip should be mainly snow and IP for majority of NC 7 minutes ago, tazaroo said: There's a separate thread for that. I'm aware of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 19 minutes ago, Wow said: Yeah the setup at 240 is lovely. Plenty of HP over the east with a stout wave rolling throught the SW. Jan 2 is actually a weak wave diving in from the NW for a weak Miller A, but yeah there is another bigger wave there in the SW that could yield another wintry storm on Jan 4-5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 It'll be nice to get a wintry event with temps possibly below freezing at or near the start! Last few storms have had temps start between 39-50! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 6 minutes ago, griteater said: Jan 2 is actually a weak wave diving in from the NW for a weak Miller A, but yeah there is another bigger wave there in the SW that could yield another wintry storm on Jan 4-5 Yes, there are multiple waves to watch closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: It'll be nice to get a wintry event with temps possibly below freezing at or near the start! Last few storms have had temps start between 39-50! Euro showing some love. In the form of freezing rain though. R/s looks trapped north of NC SC border. What's really interesting is how stout the Euro showing the CAD. The temperature map below is after 90% of the precip is gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Can someone list the link to create the new ECMWF Meteorgrams at Weather.US? i see the models but not the meteorgram format is it a separate paid option? Was wanting to look at Ryan’s new products Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 23 minutes ago, nchighcountrywx said: Can someone list the link to create the new ECMWF Meteorgrams at Weather.US? i see the models but not the meteorgram format is it a separate paid option? Was wanting to look at Ryan’s new products Try this, you can change the city and use the Ensemble forecast for 15 days, select snow depth option. https://weather.us/forecast/4487042-raleigh/ensemble/euro/snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Wow, the JMA is a more amplified version of the euro/gfs. Drops nearly 2 inches of QPF over the norther deep south into NC. Would be a large ice/snow situation. I like where we're sitting. Just need the GGEM and NAVGEM to amplify more for me to feel more confident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 38 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: It'll be nice to get a wintry event with temps possibly below freezing at or near the start! Last few storms have had temps start between 39-50! Yes... No problems for neither one of us, as long as the precip cooperates. Nice balmy Friday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 I've been at the golf course all day. How are round 1 and 2 ensembles looking for upstate SC? Thanks guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CADEffect Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 20 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: Wow, the JMA is a more amplified version of the euro/gfs. Drops nearly 2 inches of QPF over the norther deep south into NC. Would be a large ice/snow situation. I like where we're sitting. Just need the GGEM and NAVGEM to amplify more for me to feel more confident. Where can I get the JMA data from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Euro/GFS/CMC ensemble means all have a Miller A snow for Jan 3-4. GFS is the coldest and most suppressed of the 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Just now, CADEffect said: Where can I get the JMA data from? Tropical Tidbits has it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 EURO, GFS, and CMC have me in an ice storm... crap! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 3 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: EURO, GFS, and CMC have me in an ice storm... crap! RIP fam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 33 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: Wow, the JMA is a more amplified version of the euro/gfs. Drops nearly 2 inches of QPF over the norther deep south into NC. Would be a large ice/snow situation. I like where we're sitting. Just need the GGEM and NAVGEM to amplify more for me to feel more confident. Are you sitting in Raleigh or Hickory? Just curious to which one you think will do better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 3 minutes ago, packfan98 said: Are you sitting in Raleigh or Hickory? Just curious to which one you think will do better. Both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 12z Euro Ens Mean for CLT has high temps in the 30's 8 of 9 days from Dec 28 to Jan 5. 7 of the 9 days have a high of 36 or less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Hypothetical gun to head...odds that the Triad sees an inch of snow in next 2 weeks? 6 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, CARDC79 said: Hypothetical gun to head...odds that the Triad sees an inch of snow in next 2 weeks? 6 inches? Pull the trigger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 haha... wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 So jealous of you folks in SE for this system! I remember some say it normally snows in SE when it snows in Texas (where I am now). I guess not this time . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 1 hour ago, Orangeburgwx said: haha... wow Keep in mind the mean and 90% percentile is a more useful metric than the one rogue member showing 12” or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 18z GFS has no 4-5 storm really, it just disappears in TX, then a warm Rainer 2-3 days later! God I hope GFS op is not leading the way!? It's not impossible! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 18z GEFS drier kinda similar to OP... hopefully this is not a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 hour ago, mackerel_sky said: 18z GFS has no 4-5 storm really, it just disappears in TX, then a warm Rainer 2-3 days later! God I hope GFS op is not leading the way!? It's not impossible! It's been dr no for a few years now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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