mackerel_sky Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Boom! @ 144 lots more precip this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Strong wedge, and mix ! If the first wave is the smallest , we gonna do really well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Weenie Run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Mamacita!!! That depiction would send crippling ice down to Columbia/Macon/Atanta, heck maybe even Birmingham,AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Ugh. Power outage city on the GFS. Not cold enough yet. Need to get rid of this Miller B slop fest crap and get a Miller A coming through the deep south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 RaleighWx tweeted out a bunch of stuff today. Too lazy to post here but go check it out. Mostly wait and see like we have all been saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just now, burrel2 said: Mamacita!!! That depiction would send crippling ice down to Columbia/Macon/Atanta, heck maybe even Birmingham,AL. And temps probably underdone, in a CAD like that!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Don't think I could take this run if there's another storm a few days later!!! May pass out! But pinch myself cause it's 18z GFS ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: And temps probably underdone, in a CAD like that!!!!!! Thickness supporting snow support reaches almost to the NC/VA border and sleet down to the NC/SC border, going to be a hell of a CAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1046 mb high for the wedge and 1058 mb driving down after the storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 The more amped this is the more rain it will bring, correct? Looks like mostly rain for everyone outside of the mountains and piedmont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 minute ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: The more amped this is the more rain it will bring, correct? Looks like mostly rain for everyone outside of the mountains and piedmont. What you talkin bout Willis? Going to be a crippling ice storm for Piedmont NC and upstate SC, as modeled. Probably North Georgia down to Atlanta, if the CAD is that strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just now, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: The more amped this is the more rain it will bring, correct? Looks like mostly rain for everyone outside of the mountains and piedmont. This run would be mostly frozen for East Central NC all the way to the mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just a little ridging out of ahead of the energy allows it to really get going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Clown Map... keep in mind, it's ice. So I'm sure that's 3/4 to 1 inch for most of the CAD areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 4 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: The more amped this is the more rain it will bring, correct? Looks like mostly rain for everyone outside of the mountains and piedmont. Trolls already at 5-6 days out! Lol You know something big is afoot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 12 minutes ago, JoshM said: Weenie Run I’m right on the 32 degree line... that is going to give me ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 What causes this to be Ice (as of now)? Is there something in the mid level atmosphere that’s warmer? Or something else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 crush job. Doubt it turns back to rain as precip kicks out. It would be a good old fashioned tree trunk snapping ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 minute ago, JoshM said: Clown Map... keep in mind, it's ice. So I'm sure that's 3/4 inch for most of the CAD areas. I'll take my 7" (3" sleet) giddy up!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: Trolls already at 5-6 days out! Lol You know something big is afoot I am not a troll. I want it to snow lol. I am just saying that GFS run is not snow, and looks to change to rain for almost everyone in the SE outside of the mountains and piedmont. The colors on models are at least showing this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 minute ago, Tar Heel Snow said: What causes this to be Ice (as of now)? Is there something in the mid level atmosphere that’s warmer? Or something else? The high over SE Canada is pumping in low level cold. So you have sub freezing temps near the ground and warm temps above as the LP pushes up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 minute ago, Tar Heel Snow said: What causes this to be Ice (as of now)? Is there something in the mid level atmosphere that’s warmer? Or something else? Yes upper levels are warm over the low level cold! Depending on thickness of warm layer, decides weather it's sleet vs freezing rain! Thicker warm layer = freezing rain. Shallower= sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 minute ago, Tar Heel Snow said: What causes this to be Ice (as of now)? Is there something in the mid level atmosphere that’s warmer? Or something else? The GFS is a hybrid miller B storm. It transfers the primary low to the coast, which allows warming aloft. The low level cold air stays put while this happens, making a recipe for a nasty ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just now, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: I am not a troll. I want it to snow lol. I am just saying that GFS run is not snow, and looks to change to rain for almost everyone in the SE outside of the mountains and piedmont. The colors on models are at least showing this. CAD regions would not flip in this scenario as models always erode the wedge to quickly. This would be a major ice storm for Central and Western NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: I'll take my 7" (3" sleet) giddy up!! it keeps getting pushed further and further south, good news for me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Cue WOW and or Grit and or Lookout, and or Snowgoose, to be voices of reason or join the celebration! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 5 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: I'll take my 7" (3" sleet) giddy up!! It's ice, weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 And don't forget the vodka cold afterwards! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 6 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: I'll take my 7" (3" sleet) giddy up!! Almost everything south of the VA/NC border is all pure ice, outside of the NW NC mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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