BornAgain13 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Either way you slice it, most of the members show at least something.... this is going to be an awesome storm to track, with times of pulling your hair out to! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: Either way you slice it, most of the members show at least something.... this is going to be an awesome storm to track, with times of pulling your hair out to! Starting at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormLookout Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 First one is Dec 21-Dec 31. Second one is Dec 21-Jan 6Exciting times ahead for sure! Some of those members look so good. Sent from my SM-J327T1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 hour ago, Jonathan said: Wow, that's actually a pretty decent look when you mesh them all together. You can clearly see similarities. What's the link to look back on old setups? Thanks pack! https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/composites/day/ this is a another one for surface http://meteocentre.com/reanalyses/get_reanalyses.php?mod=ncep&yyyy=2014&mm=02&dd=10&run=18&lang=en&area=na Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 GFS coming in more suppressed and much different 5H look through 132. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 00z CMC misses with weak slider on Dec28 (like 12z Euro). Then has a second system on Dec 30-31 with a wintry mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 3 minutes ago, snowlover91 said: GFS coming in more suppressed and much different 5H look through 132. It's getting more amped now out to 156, but some cold out front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, griteater said: It's getting more amped now out to 156, but some cold out front Much less SE ridge again, more like the Euro and CMC. I think the GFS has been too amped and a weaker, further south solution like the cmc and Euro is more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 I’m going to MaddaMesquite lake in NC (not sure of the spelling) never been there or duck hunting for that matter, Jan. 7-9 So if there’s going to be a winter storm in my neck of the woods I fully expect it then!! I think it’s close to Washington NC? So my date for winter storm here is Jan. 7-9 lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Solid CAD look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Big storm on GFS. Strong damming. Amped wave again in 4 corners with strong ridge behind it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 2 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: I’m going to MaddaMesquite lake in NC (not sure of the spelling) never been there or duck hunting for that matter, Jan. 7-9 So if there’s going to be a winter storm in my neck of the woods I fully expect it then!! I think it’s close to Washington NC? So my date for winter storm here is Jan. 7-9 lol . cancel trip. Its for the birds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 GFS is Ice I-40 north. Snow in mid-atl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just now, griteater said: Big storm on GFS. Strong damming. Amped wave again in 4 corners with strong ridge behind it Classic. A 1048 HP like this will have much stronger CAD than modeled, guaranteed. Would be a crippling ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shahroz98 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Atlanta's out on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Wow. If this run verifies, I may have power by Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 From MA board... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 GFS is still weird... Ice Storm + CAD + Apps Runner = Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 3 minutes ago, griteater said: GFS is Ice I-40 north. Snow in mid-atl Yippee! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 3 minutes ago, shahroz98 said: Atlanta's out on this one Huh? GFS is giving atlanta a crippling ice-storm on this run. Don't look at GFS surface temps in a classic Damming situation like what's being depicted, they'll be WAYYY off. Secondly, The GFS is basically the most amped model for the storm... so if we're talking a further south weaker track.... then that opens the door for more wintery weather further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 minute ago, JoshM said: GFS is still weird... Ice Storm + CAD + Apps Runner = GFS = wierd always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: Yippee! I will take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 3 minutes ago, shahroz98 said: Atlanta's out on this one Ya, if you're talking about the electrical grid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broken024 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 For CLT do we just need that hp to push south more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shahroz98 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just now, burrel2 said: Huh? GFS is giving atlanta a crippling ice-storm on this run. Don't look at GFS surface temps in a classic Damming situation like what's being depicted, they'll be WAYYY off. Im new to tracking the whole CAD thing. I can't really tell how far the extent of wintry precip is unless i see the pinkish stuff on the modeled runs. Newbie (: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just now, broken024 said: For CLT do we just need that hp to push south more? It's a solid CAD as modeled for the Piedmont of NC, and upstate SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 The high position being depicted here is very similar to a huge CAD bust I remember back in college in the Early 2000's. No forecast had ice for the upstate or GA the day before and it wound up being a crippling storm. I wish I could remember the date so I could look it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Loving my 34 degree puking rain storm. At least I'll have power to charge my phone so I can get on AmericanWx to track the next storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Only 9 days away, please get prepared and hook your generators up!! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 SER a tad weaker on 0z run as well. Overall trend on the GFS minus the 18z is still in our favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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