mrdaddyman Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 4 minutes ago, packbacker said: Anything with the day 6 low off the coast? Nope, OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Curious to see if DT trashes the Euro...looks like previous GFS runs. GFS wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Why is so much moisture on these long term models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 HP too far east early. Doesn't move in tandem and doesn't keep the wave suppressed. We toss. Ensambles will save us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 2 minutes ago, packbacker said: Curious to see if DT trashes the Euro...looks like previous GFS runs. GFS wins We gain the GFS today and lose the Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Euro is a big ice storm for NC it looks like... it's nothing like the previous GFS runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Welp. Another round of models to watch for any consensus or break to the other's progg sounding like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: We gain the GFS today and lose the Euro! Not the model I want on my side... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Euro is a mess. Has a parade of Pac waves. One gives us ice then next one is amped in the SW, probably warm for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 10 minutes ago, packbacker said: Crud..Euro a big cutter. Good night. What you smokin!? That waves coming down the Rockies, not going towards the lakes! Lol, you so cray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, packbacker said: Not the model I want on my side... This is nothing like the previous GFS runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 The storm signal is there though so I'm good with 7+ days out right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: What you smokin!? That waves coming down the Rockies, not going towards the lakes! Lol, you so cray LOL...not going to last the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 2 minutes ago, CaryWx said: The storm signal is there though so I'm good with 7+ days out right now. Euro still has a storm, that's the big picture. The finer details are going to keep going back and forth the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 So Euro is the only model showing a cutter now? #dethroned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Anyway, seasonal bias of drier will likely continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: Euro still has a storm, that's the big picture. The finer details are going to keep going back and forth the next few days. Who's this newbee? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 We have a Brick sighting...Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: So Euro is the only model showing a cutter now? #dethroned Oh it is not the model it once was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 EPS is really the only thing I want to see. Is the ridging over greenland still decent? Is the PV still south and east? Is the high pressure still strong? If so, we're probably going to have good confluence and therefore not getting a cutter, it'll be suppressed. Individual runs for some reason are all just a joke at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: So Euro is the only model showing a cutter now? #dethroned Euro is not a cutter. It has an ice storm for the CAD regions of NC and looks like a Miller B transfer off the NC coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Euro looked like it wanted to cut early then NOPE. That HP was wayyy east early then it suppressed it like nobody's business. I feel like we have some wiggle room for his one. 50/50 is really doing a number Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 3 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: So Euro is the only model showing a cutter now? #dethroned That’s not what the verification scores show, fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Nice little winter storm on the euro op. Hook,nook or cranny even though 7 days out , models will waffle around no doubt. I still say we see 2 frozen events 1 before and 1 right after next weekend. Really confident in ICE in the triad, gonna need some good timing for all snow. Doable but jury is out on that wish/hope. No way in the heart of the cad region to avoid frozen at a minimum the begining with the exception of over bearing suppression or no moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, snowlover91 said: Euro is not a cutter. It has an ice storm for the CAD regions of NC and looks like a Miller B transfer off the NC coast. Correct, though the next bigger system cuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 I feel pretty confident, even this far out, on this not being an all snow event for almost everybody. It’s going to be a game of how long each individual ptype can last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 3 minutes ago, snowlover91 said: Euro is not a cutter. It has an ice storm for the CAD regions of NC and looks like a Miller B transfer off the NC coast. Ummm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Just now, griteater said: Correct, though the next bigger system cuts Not worried about the second system though, it is too far out in time and will be influenced in part by what the first wave does. Main takeaway is all 3 models now show at least an ice threat for the CAD regions of NC. The details will become clearer with time but for now it appears a major ice event is possible for favored CAD areas, and possibly more depending on HP strength and position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 2 minutes ago, packbacker said: Ummm... That's the second system... First system DOES NOT CUT. See below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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