NCSNOW Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 I remember Macks Fav. Was in college and down east when storm came through. Driest, fluffiest snow ever seen. Small dendrites, but numerous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Dallas may never recover from this runRight. 2 days of ice dumping for DFW. I don't believe it. This might just be a bogus run. Is it support by anything else?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 43 minutes ago, griteater said: Cold air hangs around on the GFS and there's another southern stream wave and gulf low in early Jan...excellent run Agreed. Beautiful run. Southern slider then on the heels of that there's a system firing up in the gulf and a nice little 1036 moving in tandem. Lots of potential right now. Can't remember the last time late December was this active model wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vwgrrc Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Agreed. Beautiful run. Southern slider then on the heels of that there's a system firing up in the gulf and a nice little 1036 moving in tandem. Lots of potential right now. Can't remember the last time late December was this active model wise IMO. This 12z looks kinda of weird comparing to previous runs. I don't think it gonna happen.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 47 minutes ago, vwgrrc said: IMO. This 12z looks kinda of weird comparing to previous runs. I don't think it gonna happen... . 00z? Yeah we don't take it as gospel but these storm signals in the LR are indicative of a favorable pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 LR on the 00z Euro looks favorable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Fwiw, negative NAO signal starting to show up (click to animate)[/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Allan seems interested in the post Christmas pattern as well: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 6Z GFS shows rain changing to snow for central NC on Christmas. Cold chasing precip.... RAH is still leaning towards the slower Euro, but is leaving the door open for the faster colder GFS solution. GO GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 The 6z takes away the 88 redux! Still has a little wedgy ice storm around the 29th, but I guess biggest takeaway is, cold is there , storms floating around, and not in total voo doo land timeframe! If most on the board don't see Frozen precip between Christmas and 5th of January, I'd be shocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 4 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: The 6z takes away the 88 redux! Still has a little wedgy ice storm around the 29th, but I guess biggest takeaway is, cold is there , storms floating around, and not in total voo doo land timeframe! If most on the board don't see Frozen precip between Christmas and 5th of January, I'd be shocked I think you have it. There will be cold and precip around and something could develop. Models will be very little help (outside 7 days) but to show overall pattern setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Does anyone for sh*ts and giggles have the GFS snowfall clown maps around the hours of 132-156? I can't seem to find it and the 0 degree line literally hovers over me while a good slug of moisture is overhead for Xmas Day and into the day after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 4 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Does anyone for sh*ts and giggles have the GFS snowfall clown maps around the hours of 132-156? I can't seem to find it and the 0 degree line literally hovers over me while a good slug of moisture is overhead for Xmas Day and into the day after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Just now, packfan98 said: Thank you Pack! Eh, it's a work in progress haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 24 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: The 6z takes away the 88 redux! Still has a little wedgy ice storm around the 29th, but I guess biggest takeaway is, cold is there , storms floating around, and not in total voo doo land timeframe! If most on the board don't see Frozen precip between Christmas and 5th of January, I'd be shocked even where I am at I might see some the evening of the 25th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 I think the 6Z GFS was a bad run. A lot of the frame-to-frame transitions around the 25/26 time period don't make sense... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Euro and 06z GFS fumbled and turned the ball over, yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 How can I see the 2m temps from Euro ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 4 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: How can I see the 2m temps from Euro ? https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/north-carolina/temperature-f/20171219-1500z.html Not sure about 2M temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 5 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: How can I see the 2m temps from Euro ? http://wx.graphics/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 17 minutes ago, griteater said: Euro and 06z GFS fumbled and turned the ball over, yuck To quote one of our great posters " players are still on the field" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shack Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 2 hours ago, packfan98 said: 1.7inches for Macon !!! Looks good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Where's Pack and CR to tell us the upcoming pattern sucks and nobody south of DC is gonna see snow through mid January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 hour ago, mackerel_sky said: To quote one of our great posters " players are still on the field" Yeah but now we are playing defense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 9 hours ago, WarmNose said: Agreed. Beautiful run. Southern slider then on the heels of that there's a system firing up in the gulf and a nice little 1036 moving in tandem. Lots of potential right now. Can't remember the last time late December was this active model wise yeah...i'd be pretty surprised if we don't see at least one frozen/freezing precip event over the next few weeks. Pretty wild to see so much cold from coast to coast. But speaking of wild....how about the canadian showing a 1070mb high on last night's run. Obviously this is likely well over done with the gfs/euro not supportive of such an extreme number. That said, the 18z gfs had the high up to 1066mb and the 0z run had it at around 1060. The 06z was back down to 1051mb. the euro in general has been in the 1045 to 1050mb range. Still pretty crazy to see any model show pressures that high...which would be a lower 48 US record...the current record is 1064mb recorded in montanta in 1983...and pushing the overall us record of 1078 set in alaska and the north american record of 1079mb set in canada in 1989. https://www.wunderground.com/blog/weatherhistorian/world-and-us-anticyclonic-high-barometric-pressure-records.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 2 hours ago, packfan98 said: If this map verifies, my guess would be backend spotty flurries anywhere in the southeast that sets up east of the front. Minus those shielded by the mountains i.e. Mine and Mack's backyard. Any chance for a lee side trough with this set up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 21 minutes ago, WarmNose said: 3 hours ago, packfan98 said: If this map verifies, my guess would be backend spotty flurries anywhere in the southeast that sets up east of the front. Minus those shielded by the mountains i.e. Mine and Mack's backyard. Any chance for a lee side trough with this set up? with this set up and every single run being different... nothing is off the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 2 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: Where's Pack and CR to tell us the upcoming pattern sucks and nobody south of DC is gonna see snow through mid January I'm still onboard with the period from Christmas through the first few days of Jan. We'll get something during that time. Other than that, the pattern sucks! Bet this GFS run reverses last night's 0z and goes warm again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 There is absolutely no way anyone outside of the mountains sees a flake in that setup, unless the front somehow speeds up by a day and the precip slows down by a day and that aint happening. It's cold chasing precip thats going to dry out anyway from downsloping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thor Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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