tramadoc Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, CentralNC said: Of course a map like that will not verify this far out. Typical GFS goofiness. See my last post in regards to the GFS being like a bipolar ex girlfriend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 2 hours ago, packbacker said: GFS just drew a line in the sand...your play Euro. If this verified, we would enter a new ice age. All it would take after that groundwork was laid was a little 1034 HP parked over central Georgia and we might be able to get the Bahamas in the game for some wintry precipitation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 2 hours ago, packbacker said: GFS just drew a line in the sand...your play Euro. I want this for Christmas!! I only get 31", we toss! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Paging CR!! Paging CR Heres your ice storm you were wanting!! Big things are happening, first the NAM shaft, now this!! The end is near Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 3 hours ago, NCSNOW said: Actually It did. Watch my dates but 2013 and 2014 it saved the day and gave us a good 6 weekish run. Beleive it was 2013 we went well into March with those marginal events. It was all thanks to the EPO and thats what he was referring to. Had 0 help from the Atlantic, but it became the signal that drove the pattern and both times if I remember correctly occured after Holidays. Where I was 2013-14 was pretty good, but not spectacular. I got about 8" in 2013-14 and 2014-15, which is only slightly above normal. The last winter with >150% normal snowfall for the Raleigh area was 2003-04, and that was also the last time Raleigh had a top 40 (out of 130) winter as far as snowfall goes.. 2009-10 had one great snowstorm and a few marginal events, but I wouldn't call that a spectacular winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 What happened to this site? Did it crash? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Just now, CaryWx said: What happened to this site? Did it crash? Had a bot attack I believe... Got it resolved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 6 minutes ago, Wow said: Had a bot attack I believe... Got it resolved Bot attack aka "weenies crashed the site after the 18z ran" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Remember folks this is the same GFS that was touting an Hawaiian Christmas for the SE just yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Just now, CaryWx said: Remember folks this is the same GFS that was touting an Hawaiian Christmas for the SE just yesterday We toss warm runs and bear hug once in a lifetime model runs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 The ice storm risk is definitely growing though...quickly plotted some SE ice storms and lot of check marks.... Trough in the west, SER, WSW flow, +NAO, -EPO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 No ice storm at Christmas please. A festival-of-sleet I can live with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 I hope something ridiculous verifies. We've had all of these "1,000 year" rain events. Why can't we get a "1,000 year" snow/ice/sleet event? Bring it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 If the 00z run keeps the trend, I thing we might need to start stocking up just in case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 I think the fact that NO mets are on the topic now, should be telling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Wouldn't bite on any of this right now until after 0z comes out for euro. It's either in the ballpark somewhere or GFS is in la-la land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 42 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Paging CR!! Paging CR Heres your ice storm you were wanting!! Big things are happening, first the NAM shaft, now this!! The end is near It’ll be back to 59 and sunny tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 16 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: I think the fact that NO mets are on the topic now, should be telling! Well it is 240+ hours out.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 SE ridge keeps getting pushed further and further back. May be the opposite of most of our winters where we watch cold air show up at the end of every model run only for it to get pushed back every week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, snowlover91 said: Well it is 240+ hours out.... Closer than 384! ... And it's not 70s, but might be by 12z ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 49 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Remember folks this is the same GFS that was touting an Hawaiian Christmas for the SE just yesterday Yeah the same GFS that was horrible during this last storm also..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 I would not bite on anything before Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Lol.. weenies and long range op runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Everyone needs to get a grip. Beginning 12/17, the torch is on. Disc golf Christmas is a go. EPS looks awful past D10, GEFS looks awful past D10. Guess we can hug the GEPS as it plunges the entire country into the freezer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 13 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Lol.. weenies and long range op runs. Weenies galore! I'm still enjoying my snow on the ground... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nam0806 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 28 minutes ago, Jonathan said: Everyone needs to get a grip. Beginning 12/17, the torch is on. Disc golf Christmas is a go. EPS looks awful past D10, GEFS looks awful past D10. Guess we can hug the GEPS as it plunges the entire country into the freezer. To say this in absolute terms is ridiculous. With model to model discrepancy and the changes from run to run, I wouldn’t be so sure, at least yet. Id have to see a little more consistency and a little more consensus before speaking in such absolute terms. Im not saying I agree with you or disagree, just let’s wait a bit before making such declarations, especially with less than ideal consensus. Remember, this is still days away, and things can (and inevitably) will change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 Jon's trolling a bit there nam I suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nam0806 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Jon's trolling a bit there nam I suspect. I don’t pick up on sarcasm well, especially on the Internet. Still valid points regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 1 hour ago, CaryWx said: No ice storm at Christmas please. A festival-of-sleet I can live with. I love this quote for some reason. Here's hoping it has at least a slight chance of coming true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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