WarmNose Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 12 minutes ago, Avdave said: If this happens, banana hammock wx for Christmas Day. That's pavement on I85 is going to be awfully hot! Bring it on! I've already had my dusting + 12" of fantasy snow/sleet/rain for the year. With that said, I believe these temps are overdone for a number of reasons and with that sharp temperature gradient it looks like the cold from that 1056 HP in Montana is on the move. #sloshthebathtub i beleieve that whatever "heat" shows up will be short lived Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 48 minutes ago, Avdave said: If this happens, banana hammock wx for Christmas Day. 30s in AR and 70s in AL. Maybe some severe weather ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Nice Stratosphere warming happening through Dec 21st. You may be surprised at what ends up verifying patternwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Its amazing at how good a start to winter we are having in light of what many ,self included thought might be a three-peat. Folks we have never had 90 striaight days of normal to BN temps. Winter down here has ebbs and flows. Sitting here halfway through December avg Below Normal temp and most of us above normal snowfall. Fact several have doubled ,even tripled their annual snowfall average. It's spitting snow in Wake County USA this evening for the 2cnd time in less than a week. I put less stock in the gfs and gefs than probably anyone on here. My choice, so be cautious with it and any model out past 10 days. Even if it's right, showed 60s Christmas day RDU at 12z, you can look and right across the wake county line it's in the 40s. Still can avoid the 500mb torch with all that llc around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 LOL at the Yo Yo model 0z. Guess all those in the dumps today will have a pick me up in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 16 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Its amazing at how good a start to winter we are having in light of what many ,self included thought might be a three-peat. Folks we have never had 90 striaight days of normal to BN temps. Winter down here has ebbs and flows. Sitting here halfway through December avg Below Normal temp and most of us above normal snowfall. Fact several have doubled ,even tripled their annual snowfall average. It's spitting snow in Wake County USA this evening for the 2cnd time in less than a week. I put less stock in the gfs and gefs than probably anyone on here. My choice, so be cautious with it and any model out past 10 days. Even if it's right, showed 60s Christmas day RDU at 12z, you can look and right across the wake county line it's in the 40s. Still can avoid the 500mb torch with all that llc around. Some areas have even had 5 times their annual average ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowJoMoJo Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: LOL at the Yo Yo model 0z. Guess all those in the dumps today will have a pick me up in the morning. Some have certainly had their tinsel in a tangle. 0z says Santa might need an ice scraper when he visits RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 0z GFS WELP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 2 hours ago, Jonathan said: 0z GFS WELP With the Euro at the end of it's run tonight this could make things interesting around Christmas or just after.... big push of arctic air dropping down with an active stream out west. Now can it just verify? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 1 hour ago, burgertime said: With the Euro at the end of it's run tonight this could make things interesting around Christmas or just after.... big push of arctic air dropping down with an active stream out west. Now can it just verify? Burger sighting! ....... what's up man. How have you been? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 10 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: JB says models are wrong , ignore them! The GFS is VERY persistent on this heat ridge! I hope consistantly wrong! It is at that range..... the 06z run, just makes more sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 59 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: Burger sighting! ....... what's up man. How have you been? Doing good. Made a few posts in the banter thread as we just had an unusual snow storm here in Amsterdam. Got a good 3 inches on the ground with heavy snow (this is a minor miracle here). The weather here actually reminds me a lot of the piedmont in the sense that most snow storms seem to be underwhelming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 56 minutes ago, burgertime said: Doing good. Made a few posts in the banter thread as we just had an unusual snow storm here in Amsterdam. Got a good 3 inches on the ground with heavy snow (this is a minor miracle here). The weather here actually reminds me a lot of the piedmont in the sense that most snow storms seem to be underwhelming BURGER!! Great to hear from you. Hope all is well. We sure miss your EPIC Euro pbp! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Wow! @ 6z GFS ! Tinsel Untangled! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 26 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Wow! @ 6z GFS ! Tinsel Untangled! Sleetmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 25 minutes ago, Isopycnic said: Sleetmas! I see the GFS has fallen off it's rocker this morning. LOL. Like that's going to verify. That rain/snow line will be in Ohio by that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 6 minutes ago, mrdaddyman said: I see the GFS has fallen off it's rocker this morning. LOL. Like that's going to verify. That rain/snow line will be in Ohio by that time. It was showing 60/70s for highs at the exact same time yesterday! GFS is good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Looks like WAA eventually overwhelming and scouring-out CAD in my area prior to a frontal passage. Sleet?...ok Ice?...please no Santa! It's Chrissthmass. Oh, and you can leave my tinsel out of this. What happens with my Christmas tree stays with my Christmas tree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: It was showing 60/70s for highs at the exact same time yesterday! GFS is good! And you believed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 1 minute ago, franklin NCwx said: And you believed it. One run, does not a trend make! Could go right back to 70s , at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Looks like WAA eventually overwhelming and scouring-out CAD in my area prior to a frontal passage. Sleet?...ok Ice?...please no Santa! It's Chrissthmass. Oh, and you can leave my tinsel out of this. What happens with my Christmas tree stays with my Christmas tree. Lol! We all know models scour out wedges too fast and often underestimate the strength of wedges in the first place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Just got a chance to look at the 6z GFS. Main thing to take away from it is the warm Christmas look is not a lock. We're getting close enough (model range) where we want to see a general cold pattern look. Of course the details (like the ice storm) need to be ignored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 So, the Low in California at the end of the 6z looks interesting as well, with a pretty strong HP moving with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: So, the Low in California at the end of the 6z looks interesting as well, with a pretty strong HP moving with it. We could be moving into an active period. One thing we know, there will be cold air and signs of a SE ridge. Where and when each win out will determine if the SE can score a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Joe Bastardi (@BigJoeBastardi) 12/13/17, 07:10 Likely coldest Christmas day for entire nation as a whole since 2000 core of cold will centered over the heartland but spread out west and east While snow less in west ,prospects for snow before Christmas extend to the gulf coast w of New Orleans east coast Carolinas north IMO pic.twitter.com/B3lWal19qY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 5 minutes ago, FallsLake said: We could be moving into an active period. One thing we know, there will be cold air and signs of a SE ridge. Where and when each win out will determine if the SE can score a storm. As modeled above, IF that high moved in just ahead of that low coming out, it could be fun times! Nice to see 1040 and 1050 highs being shown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: As modeled above, IF that high moved in just ahead of that low coming out, it could be fun times! Nice to see 1040 and 1050 highs being shown Knowing our luck, we'll still get the 70 degree Christmas and then an ice storm the next day. **with the modeled look that could happen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Looking at the euro, and it would indicate that we would not torch on Christmas. That's my number one weather wish. Of course second is a big winter storm. 23rd of December: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 40 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: So, the Low in California at the end of the 6z looks interesting as well, with a pretty strong HP moving with it. This is the kind of look I've been waiting for. Need L's and H's moving onto the west coast around the same time. That 1041 would be an epic CAD wedge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 10 hours ago, Avdave said: If this happens, banana hammock wx for Christmas Day. Pictures or it didn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.