mackerel_sky Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 19 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Mods need to bump this post from QC with the link and pin it up top. Thanks for sharing. All I can say is holy cow! No way this stays free for the next 3 months. I was just playing around to get euro forecasted temp at 9:00 pm for my county tonight. Unbeleivable what all you can do with this site, user friendly to say the least. I can zoom right in to just my county alone. gonna play some more with it , but when looking for wetbulb lines etc this will be awesome instead of hunting interstate markers way zoomed out etc. Edit: Oh yea you can zero in on 850 temps,500mb , rh in snow growth area etc from every model out there and really see pin point. Get a whole lot better idea of a models depicted sounding for your back yard without having to rely on a closest airport sounding. Isn't this thanks to JBs breakup with that guy from weatherbell?? He said he was going to post all the good maps for free!?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 11 hours ago, JoshM said: NAM just keeps getting colder each run for Sunday afternoon in the CAD areas. Going to feel like a January afternoon, year of the CAD ftw. North GA looks like they will get the first real CAD event coming down off the apps. ATL is situated in just the right place for all of that cool and dry air to funnel right down into N. GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 No SE death ridge and Canada stays in the icebox on the day 7 EURO,not a bad look for mid November.Any of that comes down and it will continue to get colder. Euro and Ukie going for it looks like a decent storm after day 6/7,lot of energy coming into the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 Today's Euro, not going " well diggers ass" cold anymore! Hopefully a hiccup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 40 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Today's Euro, not going " well diggers ass" cold anymore! Hopefully a hiccup Actually its colder than last nights run and well below average at day 10 and possibly beyond the way the pattern is setting up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 18z NAM is extra happy with a little frozen precip Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 54 minutes ago, JoshM said: 18z NAM is extra happy with a little frozen precip Sunday. Looking forward to my first of many, cold rain events! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 The Euro and the GFS look a lot different in the medium ranges. With all the blocking being advertised the GFS is very lackluster on the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 Yeah the 18z is not happy hour at all. The pattern actually looks to go zonal in the long ranges with little to no cold in our region besides maybe some normal temp readings. Funny we are having some big swings from run the run. I'm still very suspect about blocking actually happening. You can see the indices today start to break down the blocking pretty quick and shoot back up. Maybe a sign or just one set for today. I think this blocking will be short lived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 Calm down weenies... the slowing of the pacific jet and blockiness looks pretty likely and that's all I need to know right now to say that this is not looking at all like a warm pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, Wow said: Calm down weenies... the slowing of the pacific jet and blockiness looks pretty likely and that's all I need to know right now to say that this is not looking at all like a warm pattern. You calling me a weenie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 31 minutes ago, Met1985 said: You calling me a weenie? If the bun fits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 Most are weenies here, but that's life. Most mets have moved on to other social media platforms and that's all we've got now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 Lol just joking guys. All in all I think the 18z is off. No way the PNA goes positive and we have some blocking that we go zonal. I do think the Euro has a better handle on things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 Leaving out next Friday for a week in Wisconsin. Rooting for a cutter while I'm there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 26 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: If the bun fits Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 30 minutes ago, Wow said: Most are weenies here, but that's life. Most mets have moved on to other social media platforms and that's all we've got now. Everybody has a little weather weenie in them, or they wouldn't be here! Who cares if all the mets have moved on, with all this open access to great free weather models( thanks Ryan) I'll just wait on Bricks analysis or look on FB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 35 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Leaving out next Friday for a week in Wisconsin. Rooting for a cutter while I'm there! Nope.... My weather crystal ball says cold and dry in your future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 2 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: Everybody has a little weather weenie in them, or they wouldn't be here! Who cares if all the mets have moved on, with all this open access to great free weather models( thanks Ryan) I'll just wait on Bricks analysis or look on FB I'm with you on that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 For people worried about the models backing off the giant bowling balls...I say good riddance. The runs showing that also showed way too much ridging over Canada, and that cuts off the cold air supply and eats away at snowpack. I'm liking the less amped up runs that have a broader but more inclusive trough that goes from Canada down into the US, with more appropriate ridging east of Greenland and also along the west coast. That's really what we need, and I'm willing to wait longer to get there. Also, at no point do the models show torching here. We'll still be around or slightly below normal for the most part. We just won't have highs in the 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 I'm a weather weenie, and darn proud of it. Don't admit to knowing as much as a lot of folk on here, but I know enough . Anytime we're not torching I'm a happy camper. Last year we torched big time on Thanksgiving, with nothing good in sight. This year, the fantasy range has hinted at snow possibilities, probably won't pan out but it's better than sitting here cursing the heavens and models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 7 hours ago, JoshM said: I'm a weather weenie, and darn proud of it. Don't admit to knowing as much as a lot of folk on here, but I know enough . Anytime we're not torching I'm a happy camper. Last year we torched big time on Thanksgiving, with nothing good in sight. This year, the fantasy range has hinted at snow possibilities, probably won't pan out but it's better than sitting here cursing the heavens and models. Weenie on Josh, Weenie on!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 12z Euro still dropping a vortex over SE Canada at 192 hrs. Cold, but dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 You didn't show the next two frames where it builds a Pac Jet into Alaska and moves the ridge into the center of the US. Looks like the 12z GFS was sniffing something out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 Wasn't up yet but the N Pac setup is totally different from the GFS by 240hrs. GFS has a big PV south of AK while the Euro is building in a ridge. Still way too early to know, but SE Canada lobe by 192hrs is looking like a good possibility. Pattern's going to get blocky, the jet will slow over the Pacific and not going to get much consistency with the models at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 The GFS and euro are miles apart. It will be interesting to see who wins the battle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 GFS op leaves slot to be desired, if you want cold. A little chilly the weekend before Thanksgiving, but at or above normal after that! Guess it's GFS vs Euro on the cold and blocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 14 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: GFS op leaves slot to be desired, if you want cold. A little chilly the weekend before Thanksgiving, but at or above normal after that! Guess it's GFS vs Euro on the cold and blocking Check out day 12/13. Eastern NC folks would love it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 The one consistent part here is that there looks to be serious mean trough over the east around T-giving. Whatever kind of blocking will be in place is a big question mark as to what will become of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 12, 2017 Share Posted November 12, 2017 The 12z Euro goes the way of the GFS this last run. Trough not as deep. Brief cold shot then the pattern goes Zonal. Are the models missing the blocking or is the blocking really not that strong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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