LithiaWx Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 1 hour ago, packbacker said: You know things are bleak when we are hoping volcanic eruptions lowers global temps. Though I hope it doesn’t erupt. I hate to say it but volcanic scientists think the eruption is very likely at any moment. The seismic activity is ridiculous right now around the volcano. I’ve read 100 times we don’t have the ability to predict eruptions but the odds are WAY up at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 There was concern several months ago about a couple of the volcanoes in Iceland going off, but I haven't heard much about them lately. Katla, I think it was? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 35 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: There was concern several months ago about a couple of the volcanoes in Iceland going off, but I haven't heard much about them lately. Katla, I think it was? Katla has been making noise for years. She fooled me a time or two. I was convinced she was going to erupt but never did. Agung - 50,000 people were ordered to evacuate the exclusion zone. Highest alert level issued. If she for some reason doesn’t blow she’s got a ton of folks fooled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted September 27, 2017 Share Posted September 27, 2017 4 hours ago, Cold Rain said: Haha that is so true. If we could just get one good deep impact from a giant asteroid....! And then people will be pissed cause it didn't hit their back yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 5 hours ago, LithiaWx said: .01-.04C is the number I keep hearing. Agung is capable of VEI 6. That’s plenty big enough to lower the globl temps. The last eruption of Agung in the 60s was a VEI 5. Again big enough to lower global temps a bit. It won't matter we'll be stuck under the SER while everyone else freezes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 8 hours ago, packbacker said: PDO is over rated...lates 50’s to the 80’s was predominantly negative and that our highest snowfall average ever. Also the mid-2000s were ****. We went our longest stretch with so little snow at RDU. Can't remember the stat but it was bad, like <3" over 3 or 4 winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 For all the west coast troughing and east coast ridging, the weather looks pretty dang good over the next week beginning tomorrow (highs in the 60's to low 80's from mtns to Columbia)......warming thereafter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 8 minutes ago, griteater said: For all the west coast troughing and east coast ridging, the weather looks pretty dang good over the next week beginning tomorrow (highs in the 60's to low 80's from mtns to Columbia)......warming thereafter Nice thing about this time of year; when it does get hot, it's not humid and the nights still cool off nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 3 hours ago, FallsLake said: Nice thing about this time of year; when it does get hot, it's not humid and the nights still cool off nicely. yesterday's 96 heat index wasn't humid? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 Yeah, our dew points are still in the 70's. That is humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 ^^I hear you guys (...it is hot right now). But, generally if it hits 90 in late September it's not the same as 90 in mid July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 15 minutes ago, FallsLake said: ^^I hear you guys (...it is hot right now). But, generally if it hits 90 in late September it's not the same as 90 in mid July. It's worse! Because it shouldn't be 90 in late September! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 will be much nicer tomorrow as DP's dip into the 40s-50s. cant wait for a nice fall-like weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 Let the dumpster fire begin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 32 minutes ago, WarmNose said: Let the dumpster fire begin It's going to be 6 fun months on the board. Buying bulk popcorn now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted September 28, 2017 Share Posted September 28, 2017 Fantasy cold/wedge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 1 hour ago, No snow for you said: It's going to be 6 fun months on the board. Buying bulk popcorn now. It's over before it even started! ;( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 14 minutes ago, JoshM said: Fantasy cold/wedge We should get a word bank in hand! Ill start! In situ CAD Nowcasting Sunspots Cloudy Bust Rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 17 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: It's over before it even started! ;( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 12z Euro looks relatively okay in the long range. The Arctic is **** and there's a lot of ridging and troughing in places where there shouldn't be, but it's not terrible over the US. Let's see if that holds. Seasonably warm is honestly the best we can hope for right now. La Nina fall after the mega-Nino torch madness of two years ago is really not favorable for a crisp fall. I'm just hoping we can see some rain. GFS only gives us rain from some random tropical system. This reminds me of October 2007 or 2000. Eventually the dry spell ended, and I'm sure it will here in November. In the meantime, ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 8 hours ago, WidreMann said: 12z Euro looks relatively okay in the long range. The Arctic is **** and there's a lot of ridging and troughing in places where there shouldn't be, but it's not terrible over the US. Let's see if that holds. Seasonably warm is honestly the best we can hope for right now. La Nina fall after the mega-Nino torch madness of two years ago is really not favorable for a crisp fall. I'm just hoping we can see some rain. GFS only gives us rain from some random tropical system. This reminds me of October 2007 or 2000. Eventually the dry spell ended, and I'm sure it will here in November. In the meantime, ugh. Man it is dry. Falls Lake (not me..ha ha) is starting to go down. We've done well in our region for the past few years (dealing with staying out of droughts). It'll be great if we can get out of this during the winter. As discussed in other post, our bad droughts tend to start in the fall/winter and climax the next spring/summer; which then hurt agricultural and water interest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 3 hours ago, FallsLake said: Man it is dry. Falls Lake (not me..ha ha) is starting to go down. We've done well in our region for the past few years (dealing with staying out of droughts). It'll be great if we can get out of this during the winter. As discussed in other post, our bad droughts tend to start in the fall/winter and climax the next spring/summer; which then hurt agricultural and water interest. Jordan is low too. Gone from being able to take my inboard deep into the Eagle sanctuary this spring to not even able to go under the bridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 1 hour ago, frazdaddy said: Jordan is low too. Gone from being able to take my inboard deep into the Eagle sanctuary this spring to not even able to go under the bridge. Hartwell is as low as I've ever seen, even after Irma! #DROUGHTISREAL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gman Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 Is there a possibility that we will get some decent moisture from the tropical system south of Miami? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted September 29, 2017 Share Posted September 29, 2017 Probably not. Models show multiple areas of LP forming along the trough drapped across FL and Bahamas. Some go East a couple go West. High pressure building in the SE from the NW pretty well blocks any moisture from getting further north of FL/GA line. Models don't really show much development as far as a Tropical/Sub Tropical development. Which atm makes sense by looking at the radar. No we'll defined LP... Just a board LP trough with smaller embedded LP vortices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted September 30, 2017 Share Posted September 30, 2017 The extended looks really dry boys and girls... As others have stated, every few runs of the GFS show high(er) precip amounts but that's from a tropical system that will probably not materialize. The latest GFS (18z) shows almost no rain (for most of the SE) for the next 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted September 30, 2017 Share Posted September 30, 2017 Crispy is the word this fall. Mowing today was painful for the lungs and eyes. Mask for sure next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted October 2, 2017 Share Posted October 2, 2017 Welp...its still a ways off but starting next weekend looks like rain is coming back.. enhanced by tropical moisture/system from the Gulf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted October 2, 2017 Share Posted October 2, 2017 I know I don't speak for all, but I'm still good with dry for a while. It's been wet enough in CLT. I'm enjoying the cool sunny days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 2, 2017 Share Posted October 2, 2017 58 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Welp...its still a ways off but starting next weekend looks like rain is coming back.. enhanced by tropical moisture/system from the Gulf She's a beaut Clark! Is the Euro onboard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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