FallsLake Posted June 22, 2017 Share Posted June 22, 2017 Lordy lordy, dew points in the 40s. 12z GFS for ~day 6: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted June 22, 2017 Share Posted June 22, 2017 2 hours ago, FallsLake said: Lordy lordy, dew points in the 40s. 12z GFS for ~day 6: Looks awesome! Can't ask for much more in late June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted June 22, 2017 Share Posted June 22, 2017 30 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Looks awesome! Can't ask for much more in late June. Can you make that 132 area a little smaller. only one person wants that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 22, 2017 Share Posted June 22, 2017 5 hours ago, FallsLake said: Lordy lordy, dew points in the 40s. 12z GFS for ~day 6: Translates to low 50s for lows here in mby. For the last few days of June that might just be pushing record territory for some folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 19 hours ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Not only that, but 1995 was when Jerry came through and broke 24 hour and total storm records at GSP and other places. Over 15 inches total storm. Even if he's right, he'll be wrong. The tropical system can be called a fluke though. July was very dry and August was too until Jerry showed up. If it does not come our way, all of August would have been just as dry and hot as July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 6 hours ago, No snow for you said: Can you make that 132 area a little smaller. only one person wants that. Haha the map is the map. It'll probably be sunny, with no clouds or rain to speak of! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 15 hours ago, Cold Rain said: Looks awesome! Can't ask for much more in late June. Lol... you should add some flames to that to show all the "out of control " wildfires In Jonesville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 The HRRR says rain incoming.... Oh wait Shetley lives there. nevermind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 20 minutes ago, No snow for you said: The HRRR says rain incoming.... Oh wait Shetley lives there. nevermind Falls apart as it gets to GSP as usual! Wont see more than .25 of inch of rain until we get a tropical system. The drought is real! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 This morning's disco calls for a wet Saturday PM for central/eastern NC. Have to see what the afternoon package comes up with. PW`s of 2 inches, very high dew points in the 70s, and heating into the upper 80s to lower 90s will lead to some very heavy showers and possibly a few strong to locally severe storms across the Sandhills and Coastal Plain mainly between 200 PM lingering well into the evening. 1 to 2 inches of rain should drench these areas. POP of 20 in the NW, 30-40 central and 70+ will be forecast in the FAY to GSB to RWI areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 23, 2017 Share Posted June 23, 2017 No mention of frog-strangling rains in the afternoon AFD. Convection allowing models suggest scattered convection will develop within the pre-frontal trough in vicinity of the I-77 corridor by mid/late afternoon (19-20Z), then quickly grow upscale into a SW-NE oriented line that progresses E/SE through central NC between 21-00Z (roughly). 12Z GFS - 0.05" for RDU this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted June 24, 2017 Share Posted June 24, 2017 5 hours ago, Solak said: No mention of frog-strangling rains in the afternoon AFD. Convection allowing models suggest scattered convection will develop within the pre-frontal trough in vicinity of the I-77 corridor by mid/late afternoon (19-20Z), then quickly grow upscale into a SW-NE oriented line that progresses E/SE through central NC between 21-00Z (roughly). 12Z GFS - 0.05" for RDU this weekend. 18z would only have ~.50 for the next two weeks. But there are still some cool days showing up. Just a couple of days back it depicted a couple of inches, so who knows what it will show tomorrow. Just shows the models are as bad in summer as winter; but we just don't care as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted June 24, 2017 Share Posted June 24, 2017 10 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: Falls apart as it gets to GSP as usual! Wont see more than .25 of inch of rain until we get a tropical system. The drought is real! No, no, no; you've got it all wrong... THAT is what happens in the winter time when snow is moving in. It's usually the opposite when it's rain, unless of course you're Mack or Shetley. Are you guys one in the same? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted June 24, 2017 Share Posted June 24, 2017 Well 12z GFS shows 70s and 80s for highs for many of us first week of July. 18z shows 90s and 100s! LOL I'll pull for the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted June 24, 2017 Share Posted June 24, 2017 8 hours ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Well 12z GFS shows 70s and 80s for highs for many of us first week of July. 18z shows 90s and 100s! LOL I'll pull for the 12z. We toss the 18z. It's known for being wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 24, 2017 Share Posted June 24, 2017 Looks like we will return to seasonable to above normal temp wise as we get into July but then again highs in the low to mid 90's with a few days pushing 100 isnt exactly unheard of in July either lol. It also looks like the models still push the troughs into the SE though so that will mean breaks in the heat and not wall to wall dry and hot ( sorry Jshetley) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 24, 2017 Share Posted June 24, 2017 3 hours ago, No snow for you said: We toss the 18z. It's known for being wrong. I miss weenie tags. The weather next week is about as good as it gets for late June in the Deep South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted June 24, 2017 Share Posted June 24, 2017 2 hours ago, downeastnc said: Looks like we will return to seasonable to above normal temp wise as we get into July but then again highs in the low to mid 90's with a few days pushing 100 isnt exactly unheard of in July either lol. It also looks like the models still push the troughs into the SE though so that will mean breaks in the heat and not wall to wall dry and hot ( sorry Jshetley) This is pretty much what we have been seeing recently. I'll take this all summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 24, 2017 Share Posted June 24, 2017 6 hours ago, downeastnc said: Looks like we will return to seasonable to above normal temp wise as we get into July but then again highs in the low to mid 90's with a few days pushing 100 isnt exactly unheard of in July either lol. It also looks like the models still push the troughs into the SE though so that will mean breaks in the heat and not wall to wall dry and hot ( sorry Jshetley) His call was a titanic bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted June 24, 2017 Share Posted June 24, 2017 3 hours ago, LithiaWx said: His call was a titanic bust. Worse. Titanic got halfway across. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 For KJNX (Smithfield, NC) 06Z GFS 6/25/17 252Wed 07/05 18Z 101° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 1 hour ago, Solak said: For KJNX (Smithfield, NC) 06Z GFS 6/25/17 252Wed 07/05 18Z 101° 252 hours out on the Shetley model! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 2 hours ago, Solak said: For KJNX (Smithfield, NC) 06Z GFS 6/25/17 252Wed 07/05 18Z 101° The west has passed the baton to us! awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted June 25, 2017 Share Posted June 25, 2017 not gonna happen ... just sayin' .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted June 26, 2017 Share Posted June 26, 2017 So for the last couple of weeks, I've noticed that in most cases, it looks like both the GFS and the Paranormal GFS show more total precip over the SE through 384 on the 0z run than the 6z run. This happens almost every day. I've only started watching this over the past two or three weeks. I could totally see how it could randomly vary between runs. But it seems like it's almost always the case that the 0z run shows more (and sometimes significantly more) precip than the 6z. I do not have any opinion on other run cycles. Any thoughts as to why this might be the case? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted June 28, 2017 Share Posted June 28, 2017 On 6/22/2017 at 8:42 AM, NCSNOW said: The Shet is getting wet this a.m. per radar. Greensboro pti is gonna make it atleast until July 1st without hitting 90. Looking ahead next week its gonna be nice after the rain threats shut down throughout the day Saturday. Highs in the low 80s and lows in the low 60s for the last week of June is as good as it can get. And we should stay dry most of the week. wondering what the latest date Greensboro took to hit 90? July 18 (in 1972) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 28, 2017 Share Posted June 28, 2017 A period of pretty hot weather looks to be on the way. 90s pushing 100 in spots over the SE looks very possible in the next 10-15 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whamby Posted June 28, 2017 Share Posted June 28, 2017 Jalepeno July, mo fos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 28, 2017 Share Posted June 28, 2017 2 hours ago, whamby said: Jalepeno July, mo fos. Yeah. Everything in me says we are going to pay for the mild start to summer. Somebody has to pay the pied piper. Maybe we get the year with no summer one time. The end of the 12z goes ape **** with a 597dm death ridge over mby. Translates to 100s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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