DopplerWx Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, Cary_Snow95 said: Because having it 24 hours out helped out so much last time..... seriously. and having every ens member shows 12"+ while it was raining lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Just now, griteater said: Early UKMet looks purdy good....wave tracking thru OK/AR...damming high...sfc low in NE gulf Was just looking at that...almost looks like the CMC, has initial weak wave with a follow up surface low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, Cary_Snow95 said: Because having it 24 hours out helped out so much last time..... 1 minute ago, DopplerWx said: seriously. and having every ens member shows 12"+ while it was raining lol. Man that was painful. Can't believe I am even looking at this threat...if that didn't there's no way a mid March threat is going to work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Just now, packbacker said: Was just looking at that...almost looks like the CMC, has initial weak wave with a follow up surface low? yeah agree, thought it looked like the CMC you posted....looked like to me it has a pretty nice, consolidated low in NE gulf at 144 with trough in MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 How many times has a surface low track along I26 delivered? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 I'll be at the beach tomorrow through Sunday, lock it in fellas! I've never missed a snowstorm due to being out of town in my life. If it will still looks good tonight, I may drive separately and head home Saturday night instead of Sunday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, griteater said: yeah agree, thought it looked like the CMC you posted....looked like to me it has a pretty nice, consolidated low in NE gulf at 144 with trough in MS Amazing how far south that piece of energy dives to get underneath us....concerning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 So, was that about a 30-mile dip over the 0Z run? Judging from the new ZR line, that's what it looks like down in the Sandhills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 13 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: How much snow does cold rain and Pack get? Pulling for you guys! 1/4 inch of sleet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, WeatherNC said: How many times has a surface low track along I26 delivered? Voice of reason..... This is not a classic set up. Be weary.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Just now, CAD_Wedge_NC said: Voice of reason..... This is not a classic set up. Be weary.... More often than an I40 track! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: Voice of reason..... This is not a classic set up. Be weary.... May we also be wary. But too much wariness will often produce weariness. Worry leads to anxiety leads to sleeplessness leads to... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 16 minutes ago, WeatherNC said: How many times has a surface low track along I26 delivered? Mar 9, 1960 would be one example. With a more northerly wave/sfc low track, the key is the damming high, and it supplying copious cold air. 540 thickness line is well south into N SC in this example. It's draped across N NC on the 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, griteater said: Mar 9, 1960 would be one example. With a more northerly wave/sfc low track, the key is the damming high, and it supplying copious cold air. 540 thickness line is well south into N SC in this example. It's draped across N NC on the 12z GFS I'm surprised nobody is saying anything about March 12th/13th 1993 storm of century. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 GFS looks gorgeous and we can all bask in the weenie snow maps, h5 be damned, until low level warm air advection starts to be picked up by the meso's inside 48hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 UKMet on Mon morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 UKMet tracks the wave from SE Wyoming to ARKLATEX hr96-120...south of GFS (better) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfever1988 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 hour ago, Northern Foothills Snowman said: Mar 9, 1960 would be one example. With a more northerly wave/sfc low track, the key is the damming high, and it supplying copious cold air. 540 thickness line is well south into N SC in this example. It's draped across N NC on the 12z GFS There is another difference with Wednesday, March 9, 1960 set up. Before the storm on that date there was already a substantial snow cover over much of NC and the northwestern part of SC, left over from a major winter storm on March 2, 1960 that was followed by a week of temperatures up to 25 degrees below normal. I was in the the 7th grade during that memorable March in the upstate of SC. The Wednesday, March 9th snow was followed closely by a third on Friday, March 11, 1960. This budding snow fanatic was in heaven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Canadian Sun Morning. Hard not to like the setup with 850mb -20C in central NY state and sfc high over the Lakes. Verbatim on the model, the cold air hangs a bit north. Looks like the wave track on the Canadian is similar to the UKMet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Gonna be able to practically smell the snow from NE GA... Come on southward trend!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 17 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: Gonna be able to practically smell the snow from NE GA... Come on southward trend!! Sadly, you won't even be able to smell the snow in CLT! This will be a MA special before its all said and done ! But the MA forum is epic right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Anyone have GEFS ensembles? Curious what the hit vs no hit counts are for NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Lol! MA has punted to the Tuesday storm!! I love those guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 8 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Lol! MA has punted to the Tuesday storm!! I love those guys! Not sure why they are punting...the ensemble mean still has it north of the Op. It's the MA, you know they won't miss this event, assuming there is one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 With the GEFS mean so far north into VA there must be lots of warm members with QPF max running down I-40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 12 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Lol! MA has punted to the Tuesday storm!! I love those guys! My God. How many storms are there ? Is this January ? I feel like we're going backwards ? Maybe by the time May gets here we'll be in the deep freeze ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, packbacker said: With the GEFS mean so far north into VA there must be lots of warm members with QPF max running down I-40. That should make Shetley happy at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Not bad...I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, packbacker said: Not bad...I think. Impressive. That should suppress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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