PackGrad05 Posted March 3, 2017 Share Posted March 3, 2017 So is there any frozen stuff anywhere in the models? even long range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 3, 2017 Share Posted March 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: So is there any frozen stuff anywhere in the models? even long range? Not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 3, 2017 Share Posted March 3, 2017 I guess that's a rap then.... At least I got 1-2 inches of something back in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 3, 2017 Share Posted March 3, 2017 37 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: I guess that's a rap then.... At least I got 1-2 inches of something back in January. That's what she said! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 3, 2017 Share Posted March 3, 2017 Euro looks cold around the 10th and 11th! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted March 3, 2017 Share Posted March 3, 2017 3 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: Euro looks cold around the 10th and 11th! Cold for March 10-11 would be highs in the 50s ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted March 4, 2017 Share Posted March 4, 2017 7 hours ago, Cold Rain said: Not even close. ++++++++++ 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted March 4, 2017 Share Posted March 4, 2017 12 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: They issued it because of the fact of the overall warm winter and record warm February , the growing season has already started! Does anyone know if RDU broke the record for warmest February? I know we were in competition with 1931 or something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted March 4, 2017 Share Posted March 4, 2017 Well, the 00z Euro has a 975mb bomb off of Jersey, blanketing DCA to Maine in ~20-30" snow....on Kuchera ratios it's 20-50" widespread, would be a HECS.....hahaha. If that happens, this winter would go down as the greatest winter for the NE of all time (no brutal cold, overwhelming warm temps DJF, and historic east coast snow mid-March) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 4, 2017 Share Posted March 4, 2017 17 hours ago, Cold Rain said: Not even close. Can't believe there isn't a fantasy snow at least for the Mtns. I guess winter is over for everyone, thought we would see a fantasy map at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 4, 2017 Share Posted March 4, 2017 10 hours ago, cbmclean said: Does anyone know if RDU broke the record for warmest February? I know we were in competition with 1931 or something like that. US National Weather Service Raleigh NC February 28 at 5:57pm · February comes is as the warmest of the period of record at both Greensboro and Raleigh breaking records set in 1927 and 1890 respectively. More details below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2017 Share Posted March 5, 2017 You will like the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted March 5, 2017 Share Posted March 5, 2017 Would like to see the euro snow map for next Saturday. Mid Atlantic forum really talking up the euro snowstorm for nc and s VA. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted March 5, 2017 Share Posted March 5, 2017 Anyone have any 12Z Euro Clown Maps? Seen on other forums it crushes northern nc and southern va next weekend. Would really like to at least have a hope map lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 5, 2017 Share Posted March 5, 2017 1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said: Anyone have any 12Z Euro Clown Maps? Seen on other forums it crushes northern nc and southern va next weekend. Would really like to at least have a hope map lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted March 5, 2017 Share Posted March 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, colonel717 said: The usual northward movement should put it directly over the Tug Plateau by Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 5, 2017 Share Posted March 5, 2017 28 minutes ago, jburns said: The usual northward movement should put it directly over the Tug Plateau by Saturday. Somebody start the thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 From Greg Fishel: " It would be terribly ironic if I am the first to post this, but even if I hadn't, you would have heard it from someone in the next 12 hours I feel quite certain. So the European deterministic model is forecasting 6" of snow at RDU next weekend. There is next to no ensemble support for this, either from the European or American(GFS) sides. The European model and it's ensembles are run twice a day, while the GFS and its ensembles are run 4 times a day. As best I can, I will update the forecasts from all verifying next weekend from 7am Saturday to 8am Monday(notice the hour jump with DST). The intent of this exercise is to demonstrate the value of ensemble forecasting versus using deterministic models. Of course, if we end up with a big snowstorm next weekend, my face will be red, but that's what will make this fun! So here are the forecasts from 7am this morning for next weekend: European Deterministic Model: Total Snow: 6" European Ensemble Mean: Total Snow: .4" GFS Deterministic Model Total Snow: 0" GFS Ensemble Mean: Total Snow: 0" Now here are the GFS numbers from 1pm this afternoon: GFS Deterministic Model: Total Snow: 0" GFS Ensemble Mean: Total Snow: 0" The European model and it's ensembles come out in the middle of the night, so if I'm smart, I'll get some sleep and update in the am :-)"" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 On 3/4/2017 at 11:01 AM, Solak said: US National Weather Service Raleigh NC February 28 at 5:57pm · February comes is as the warmest of the period of record at both Greensboro and Raleigh breaking records set in 1927 and 1890 respectively. More details below. Well at least we (RDU) didn't it crush it too bad. Given the much warmer background state of today's climate, I would say that the 1890 year was a more anomalous event. Of course we have set records for December and February in successive winters. January 2018, here's looking to you!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 On 3/4/2017 at 11:01 AM, Solak said: US National Weather Service Raleigh NC February 28 at 5:57pm · February comes is as the warmest of the period of record at both Greensboro and Raleigh breaking records set in 1927 and 1890 respectively. More details below. Something that puzzles me is 1939 shows up at #4 for Raleigh but doesn't even make the top 10 for Greensboro, which means that it was less than 46.1. So somehow that year Greensboro was at least 5 F cooler than Raleigh. That seems odd for two locations so close together and with only minor topographical differences between them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 What's amazing is that with all the screaming about Global Warming, only 2 out of the top 10 have occurred since 1950. Maybe there's a reason the warmanistas only go back to the 50's or so to "prove" the warming trend. If they went back to the early 1900's, it might give a different perspective. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 GFS says no snow while CMC and Euro hint at it. Go with climo and GFS solution imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 1 hour ago, cbmclean said: Something that puzzles me is 1939 shows up at #4 for Raleigh but doesn't even make the top 10 for Greensboro, which means that it was less than 46.1. So somehow that year Greensboro was at least 5 F cooler than Raleigh. That seems odd for two locations so close together and with only minor topographical differences between them. I just noticed that 1976 was on the list. January 1977 was the coldest month in RDU history, so maybe if we squint hard enough, there is hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 I thinks it's gonna snow in NC next weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 11 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: I thinks it's gonna snow in NC next weekend! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 35 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: I thinks it's gonna snow in NC next weekend! 24 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Lol Wanna bet. ;-) These 1960 comparisons will be right one of these setups...right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 12z GFS is getting closer; but still not there: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 1 hour ago, packbacker said: Wanna bet. ;-) These 1960 comparisons will be right one of these setups...right? If I was in Roxboro, id be excited by 12z GFS ! SE trend for the win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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