Cold Rain Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Check out the snow in southern SC and the HP over the top! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 At 150 CMC has it mid Mississippi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 This is EXACTLY what we want to see at this range. You might could take the paint brush and edit the features slightly to make it more optimal, but I assure you, you wouldn't be using a lot of paint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Mrwolf1972 said: At 150 CMC has it mid Mississippi CMC - still bringing the storm out quicker...looks like it may have a little wintry precip in N NC into VA. UKMet - looks a lot like the GFS at the end of its run at 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: This is EXACTLY what we want to see at this range. You might could take the paint brush and edit the features slightly to make it more optimal, but I assure you, you wouldn't be using a lot of paint. We are forecast to go 77 or maybe warmer on Sunday. I have seen many a snow storm come in behind a very warm day. We will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 You guys are right, this is where we want it right now, but I sure would love to see a good snow map for the southeast soon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just now, griteater said: CMC - still bringing the storm out quicker...looks like it may have a little wintry precip in N NC into VA. UKMet - looks a lot like the GFS at the end of its run at 144 CMC is junk way out here. UK is where we want the agreement. This will come north. I still question the amount of cold that will be available. We'll see.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: CMC is junk way out here. UK is where we want the agreement. This will come north. I still question the amount of cold that will be available. We'll see.... I had a dog and his name was...bingo! The lakes lows have disappeared and replaced with Highs so that's great. But that's with suppression. When this thing INEVITABLY comes north (less ridging in the west, northern trend of the vortex, etc) will the cold still be there? I doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Latest UK: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 The good thing we have going is all the models have a storm! Its just a matter of ironing out the details as the system approaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Really wouldn't be mad if it missed south,I'm tired of rain! Cold and dry would be great! By Sunday , it'll be slamming DC/NYC / BOS again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 There will be energy in the northern stream that eventually plays a role in the development and track of the surface storm. Where is the energy that will interact with it? We don't really know yet. How and when that happens will matter a great deal. Also of importance is the vortex in the NE. The GFS has that bombing out as energy gets fed into it from the west (red arrow). I've posted the UK map to show the unknowns in the northern stream as well as the potential for bombing of the NE storm. If that storm bombs, it stays put for a while. This is extremely important for locking in confluence, pressing the heights south, allowing HP to become stronger and build in, and keeping the system south. The additional energy in the northern stream, that we don't really have a good handle on yet, will influence the strength and track of the storm as well. Lots of potential here....IF we can get the vortex to bomb and stay in place. The trends are very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 IF this was to pan out it would be almost to the day that most of NC and SC got winter weather for the first time in 1989. And that came after a couple of VERY warm days with temps up close to 80 in some spots. I could be wrong of course, but I'd be feeling hopeful if I lived along I-95 and east in NC, up into SE Virginia, based on how the last half of Feb 1989 went. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 I haven't seen Cold Rain this pumped since Dec 2010. He's dying to throw out the Joe Namath G word! By the way, this happened in Philly with today's storm....sounds like how we roll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Lol... Yeah it was a huge bust in the philly area. Those guy's in NE are living in the golden age of snow for their region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, griteater said: I haven't seen Cold Rain this pumped since Dec 2010. He's dying to throw out the Joe Namath G word! By the way, this happened in Philly with today's storm....sounds like how we roll Haha no way, not with ULLs. I only Gword phase bombs. And lol at that tweet. That's exactly what we do here. I'm honestly probably a little overenthusiastic here given the lack of truly arctic air and snow pack to our NW. If we had those two elements present, I'd give us an 80% of a significant winter storm for much of the SE. As it stands right now, the storm has to come somewhat north to get appreciable precip in here. That brings warm air, warm noses, etc. There should be a narrow zone of snow somewhere though, if it comes far enough north. If we get a phase bomb, who knows. Someone should get plastered, but there just doesn't look to be enough cold air around for most to get wintry weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Guess the majority of members must be suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 This pattern would be interesting: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Navgem...540 line down in NC/SC border. Probably will be OTS though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 17 minutes ago, packbacker said: Navgem...540 line down in NC/SC border. Probably will be OTS though. How bout that " new " model we discovered before the last snow!? It did pretty well, just don't know how far it goes out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Back the pack! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 9 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: How bout that " new " model we discovered before the last snow!? It did pretty well, just don't know how far it goes out! I think you are referencing the German DWD ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Late in the GEFS run we lose the blocking but go back into a -EPO/+PNA pattern like in January. Blocking didn't last long, but still probably cold and possible for something last week in February perhaps. And I may be wrong but it looks like the STJ is active too. Can't quite give up on the long range yet. Unless EPS is right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: How bout that " new " model we discovered before the last snow!? It did pretty well, just don't know how far it goes out! German Model? I don't know where to find that and the French does not go out that far. Anyone seen the Brazilian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Just now, No snow for you said: German Model? I don't know where to find that and the French does not go out that far. Anyone seen the Brazilian? http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?mod=dwd_icon&map=na&run=&lang=en&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 12 minutes ago, Cary_Snow95 said: I think you are referencing the German DWD ICON Yeah, that's the one ! Actually did a good job, I think!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 What say the Europeans today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broken024 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 Maybe Mr Clyde was right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 The EURO looks good doesnt it?? Looks colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted February 9, 2017 Share Posted February 9, 2017 1 minute ago, NCSNOW said: What say the Europeans today? Step in the right direction. Slower with the system coming out of Texas. It's just not cold enough though. Rain for everyone outside of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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