mackerel_sky Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 16 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said: if these 2 lows would combine it would be pretty. Pretty rainy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: Pretty rainy! if the cold air to the north can beat the lp in the south it could be a good now storm its the one the gfs is playing around with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 6 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said: if the cold air to the north can beat the lp in the south it could be a good now storm its the one the gfs is playing around with. Yeah, everything seems to be aligning on this one,if you believe the indicies and that's a big if! But being inside of 10 days, I think grit said this could easily shift South in the next few days of runs! CR- awesome gifs, as usual! Hopefully they stay positive and we don't have to replace any with the train crashing into the side of the mountain or atom bomb , or dumpster fire gifs!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 RC, Webber said no snow for you! Unless you can get it to snow in June!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 GFS is impressive for the MA/NE, negatively tilted trough, should be big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 6 minutes ago, packbacker said: GFS is impressive for the MA/NE, negatively tilted trough, should be big. Sounds awesome! They wait all winter, now back to back big storms! Good for them! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 39 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: RC, Webber said no snow for you! Unless you can get it to snow in June!? Setting the table for next winter, my man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Lol @ JB !! Sounds like him and Pack are in cahoots! With the crazy maps of cold and indicies talk today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Ensemble is finally getting somewhere at the end of the run now: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Ensemble is finally getting somewhere at the end of the run now: Always at the end!! I don't think I've seen so many goods on one of your maps! That's a lot of goods to get rain! Side note: JB is about to lose his load because NYC is going to get a good snow ! 4-10"! They will finally pass Portland OR, for seasonal snowfall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 16 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Lol @ JB !! Sounds like him and Pack are in cahoots! With the crazy maps of cold and indicies talk today! LOL...now that I can't see the EPS all I can go off is the GEFS, looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 14 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Ensemble is finally getting somewhere at the end of the run now: Yep...the 8-12 day period sure has trended so much better then it's old 12-16 day period. Been a while that has happened, usually it's the other way around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just to add onto what CR said...looking at the 12-16 5h mean is impressive at this lead. (-EPO/-AO/-NAO) When was the last time we had something like that. Come on Mack, JB isn't always wrong, PH8/strat will lead us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 8 minutes ago, packbacker said: Just to add onto what CR said...looking at the 12-16 5h mean is impressive at this lead. (-EPO/-AO/-NAO) When was the last time we had something like that. Come on Mack, JB isn't always wrong, PH8/strat will lead us. I'm all in! What else do we have to look forward , spring?? It's already here! I'm just ready for them to actually verify or bring more than 2 days of cold! Everybody says its the " fast flow" that's messing us up, among other things, we need blocking! Well here's the blocking, supposedly, now show me the money! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Hope the GEFS is the shinning star you boys make it out to be. I can't buy it . Always has smelled like a lemon to me, but to each his own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 37 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Hope the GEFS is the shinning star you boys make it out to be. I can't buy it . Always has smelled like a lemon to me, but to each his own. Only game in town right now, so you either gotta play it or go pick daisies, I guess. I hope the EPS comes around! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 euro is looking good for the 16th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said: euro is looking good for the 16th That's rain with temps in the 40's. Of course not enough cold air to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Just a little difference in the day 10 op runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 14 minutes ago, mrdaddyman said: That's rain with temps in the 40's. Of course not enough cold air to work with. That's a bad track, even if it was in the 20s! Would just be sleet or ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, packbacker said: Just a little difference in the day 10 op runs... Go with the warmest one. It works out best this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: That's a bad track, even if it was in the 20s! Would just be sleet or ZR its a start tho least its not 70 and storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: Go with the warmest one. It works out best this year. Euro wants to push the ridge east quicker and thus the ULL in the SW comes out sooner and thus rain. We need the ridge to hold tight, allow the cold air to funnel in and then low to come out. I would go with the quicker ridge breakdown too, that's been then theme too. But, if this falls apart we are now looking closer to March for the next chance and let's face it, for places like ours that doesn't seem likely with our avg temps approaching 60F. For the mountains/elevation areas they have more time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 Let's see who wins....GEFS has a more stable PNA ridge that does connect to a -EPO and EPS wants a more progressive ridge and thus a crap setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 12 minutes ago, packbacker said: Let's see who wins....GEFS has a more stable PNA ridge that does connect to a -EPO and EPS wants a more progressive ridge and thus a crap setup. Looks like the EPS doesn't buy the blocking that the GEFS has, and the PV gets strung out as a result of this. Keep an eye on the indices as we approach verification time. The blocking in the Atlantic will determine how this pattern unfolds. It's time for the GEFS to get one right for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 18z says rain (and a lot of it) for the 16th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 7, 2017 Share Posted February 7, 2017 At least it feels more like a normal winter, with a good ole apps runner. Northeast cleans up pretty good with it. Cold air at our door step by day 10, seems to have been delayed some (shocking, I know). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 hours ago, JoshM said: At least it feels more like a normal winter, with a good ole apps runner. Northeast cleans up pretty good with it. Cold air at our door step by day 10, seems to have been delayed some (shocking, I know). Awesome ! All the planets and stars align,and we come out smelling like Uranus! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Awesome ! All the planets and stars align,and we come out smelling like Uranus! I don't trust this map for a minute but look Florida is cooler than NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 On the other board, the 18z was the best look all winter on the GFS , even with no snow!? What am I missing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.