packbacker Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 GEFS is trying... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 On 2/3/2017 at 11:10 PM, packbacker said: GEFS is trying... Expand Trying to rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 On 2/3/2017 at 11:07 PM, packbacker said: I am sure this won't verify but this would be fun... Expand Somehow, Cail is still cool! Patterns gonna patter.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 On 2/3/2017 at 11:12 PM, mackerel_sky said: Trying to rain! Expand Most aggressive yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 On 2/3/2017 at 11:07 PM, packbacker said: I am sure this won't verify but this would be fun... Expand Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 March 1960 , starting early! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 On 2/3/2017 at 11:10 PM, packbacker said: GEFS is trying... Expand Does look improved but hits on big 3 ens members have been pretty much non existent for this period. It's the only game in town though and with the impending torch, we are talking last week of Feb / first week of March before our chances really drop off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 Cosgrove should be an interesting read. "So for snowlovers in the east who are waiting for snow I say this...better luck next year"...this is what I imagine he says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 On 2/3/2017 at 11:18 PM, mackerel_sky said: March 1960 , starting early! Expand Atta boy Mack, Now you got the right idea..................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 On 2/3/2017 at 11:19 PM, WeatherNC said: Does look improved but hits on big 3 ens members have been pretty much non existent for this period. It's the only game in town though and with the impending torch, we are talking last week of Feb / first week of March before our chances really drop off. Expand Looks like there is roughly 6 members that have SLP off the coast. Was just thinking the GEFS needed atleast a handful of members showing promise to keep things interesting. Hopefully 0z can hang on...I would guess the EPS showed squat because nobody posted a thing on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 On 2/3/2017 at 10:41 PM, BIG FROSTY said: lol........ This looks good for fishing anyway!!! New euro weeklies are a blow torch Look at whats predicted for February 20th Expand sickening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 Hey, one member out of 51 on the EPS has southeast snow. THERE'S A CHANCE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 On 2/3/2017 at 11:39 PM, JoshM said: Hey, one member out of 51 on the EPS has southeast snow. THERE'S A CHANCE! Expand LOL...Euro does struggle in fast flow patterns but 1 member is bleak. Still, trailing waves aren't uncommon for SE snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 On 2/3/2017 at 11:34 PM, fritschy said: sickening. Expand Just noticed the date in left hand corner. It says 02/February 2017. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 On 2/3/2017 at 11:47 PM, Northern Foothills Snowman said: Just noticed the date in left hand corner. It says 02/February 2017. Expand IDK there Ugly from what I hear!!! Pray for a weather miracle!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted February 3, 2017 Share Posted February 3, 2017 On 2/3/2017 at 11:02 PM, BIG FROSTY said: I agree, they not been all that good lately. But the way this winter has been, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they turn out correct.... lol I got this off of FB some Met posted it Expand I know you subscribe to JB weatherbell and I watch his free videos daily. Back in December Joe was showing Europe temperatures for December from November and was forecasting a blowtorch. I think it was the CFSV2 model. They were showing the same thing we are seeing for February. Anyway Joe showed the temperatures for Europe and it was very cold and snowy there. Totally opposite of what was forecast by model. Joe said that the models may have a warm bias to them but they were way way off. Maybe that what s going on with our maps. The AO is going negative and PNA is forecast to go positive by mid month. . And of course phase 8 MJO. Just saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/3/2017 at 11:58 PM, Northern Foothills Snowman said: I know you subscribe to JB weatherbell and I watch his free videos daily. Back in December Joe was showing Europe temperatures for December from November and was forecasting a blowtorch. I think it was the CFSV2 model. They were showing the same thing we are seeing for February. Anyway Joe showed the temperatures for Europe and it was very cold and snowy there. Totally opposite of what was forecast by model. Joe said that the models may have a warm bias to them but they were way way off. Maybe that what s going on with our maps. The AO is going negative and PNA is forecast to go positive by mid month. . And of course phase 8 MJO. Just saying. Expand If all those indices show up in that fashion, I think we will still have a good snow before it's totally done. JMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/3/2017 at 11:58 PM, Northern Foothills Snowman said: Maybe that what s going on with our maps. The AO is going negative and PNA is forecast to go positive by mid month. . And of course phase 8 MJO. Just saying. Expand It's the EPO causing the problem IMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/3/2017 at 11:19 PM, BristowWx said: Cosgrove should be an interesting read. "So for snowlovers in the east who are waiting for snow I say this...better luck next year"...this is what I imagine he says. Expand His last weekly update called for a SE snow potential February 10-12th so there's that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Per CFS...July temps look neutral. If we go 12 months in a row AN... http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/htmls/usT2me3Mon.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 A little different look on the GFS so far. Don't know if much will change on down the line, but we are due a weenie run this weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/4/2017 at 4:14 AM, mackerel_sky said: A little different look on the GFS so far. Don't know if much will change on down the line, but we are due a weenie run this weekend! Expand Vorts in route at 126hrs, just east of ENC's ideal CONUS entry point which is Glacier National Park MT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 God bless the GFS, it keeps trying, but that NW flow fizzled it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/4/2017 at 4:20 AM, WeatherNC said: Vorts in route at 126hrs, just east of ENC's ideal CONUS entry point which is Glacier National Park MT. Expand Trough is east and north...looks like dog doo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 It's amazing just when you thought think it can't look any worse it takes it to the next level of suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/4/2017 at 4:00 AM, packbacker said: Per CFS...July temps look neutral. If we go 12 months in a row AN... http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/htmls/usT2me3Mon.html Expand That will put Atlanta at 17 straight months AN through June Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/4/2017 at 4:29 AM, BristowWx said: It's amazing just when you thought think it can't look any worse it takes it to the next level of suck Expand All the looks on the models suck. They all point to a torchy , suckfest, for all of the long range. We are really grasping at this " threat" due to the impending 2 week torch that gets us through mid Feb, with zilch! I think the writing is on the wall for this storm and winter. Phase 8 will save us ....NOT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/4/2017 at 4:00 AM, packbacker said: Per CFS...July temps look neutral. If we go 12 months in a row AN... http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/htmls/usT2me3Mon.html Expand I really hope it doesn't end in July! I'd really like it to carry over to 21 months in a row! That'll get us through March 2018, with no snow! Maybe we can get a side of 6-9 months of BN rainfall! So we can have a patty-melt plate, scattered covered smothered diced and topped, on two! Make one light! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/4/2017 at 4:00 AM, packbacker said: Per CFS...July temps look neutral. If we go 12 months in a row AN... http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/htmls/usT2me3Mon.html Expand I'm pretty sure Summer's featuring La Niña transiitoning to El Niño tend to be cool. I think we will see many places have a below normal month this summer if not even April or May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Probably grasping at straws but the 6z looks better than previous runs - some moisture (rain) is making it to the SC coast with a low re-developing. Plenty cold too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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