BIG FROSTY Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 I stand corrected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 No it's warm...phased bomb too far west for us....wet snow in MS/Bama/W TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 So damn close! we are helpless without blocking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 GEFS will save us............................................... lol We just got 132 more runs till storm time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Boo, that run sucked!! We need rain tho! That storm looked waayyyy to strong, I mean unreasonably so!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Canadian is similar to GFS with first storm, but is much warmer than GFS thereafter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Just now, griteater said: Canadian is similar to GFS with first storm, but is much warmer than GFS thereafter That's bad from a model that has a cold bias!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 If it's any consolation, we're talking about the GFS outside of 200 hours. So we've got that going for us. At least it's showing a storm. But without any sort of blocking it looks like another thread the needle event. Barring a Greenland block showing up in the next 200 hours what needs to happen to hold that HP in place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, griteater said: Canadian is similar to GFS with first storm, but is much warmer than GFS thereafter Well, that's a great sign!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 That LP went from 1005 to 998 in the blink of an eye! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 I don't want to say toss the 0z, but that storm got going way too quickly in my mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Great! Back to Pacbackers torch I guess! We really suck at snow! With the NW trend, CHI will get 2' from this when all is said and done!:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 This will be a huge winter storm for much of the SE.... That's my prediction!! Feb-8-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Something's not right on that run with those 1032 HPs out there. Also hard to believe a wind-up like that with LP n MS. A cutter is almost more believable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Good news, the 0z is colder than the 18z after the storm on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, BIG FROSTY said: This will be a huge winter storm for much of the SE.... That's my prediction!! agree frosty. somebody is gonna win if there's a storm out there at 224. It will not be this warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Just now, CaryWx said: agree frosty. somebody is gonna win if there's a storm out there at 224. It will not be this warm Yep, that's how I feel. I think when push comes to shove and IF there is a storm as you said the cold will be close by to be tapped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 This thing is coming through in our climo wheelhouse! If it torches we have bigger issues in the coming years ahead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, WarmNose said: If it's any consolation, we're talking about the GFS outside of 200 hours. So we've got that going for us. At least it's showing a storm. But without any sort of blocking it looks like another thread the needle event. Barring a Greenland block showing up in the next 200 hours what needs to happen to hold that HP in place? This is so far out into the future, we are just throwing darts on a board right now...but for something to work without blocking it simply comes down to timing...storm wave in the southern stream has to kick out shortly after an arctic boundary has moved toward the gulf coast (northern stream setup over the Great Lakes and into the Northeast and SE Canada dictates the cold air setup - if the northern stream press stays too far north, it's too warm) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Euro looking colder than GFS @ 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Looks about the same as GFS @ 156 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 @162 it's going east and slams right into the wedge Wouldn't take much for this to work out, 33 @ Hickory, 34 Winston-Salem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 I don't have maps. Did it cut and torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, WarmNose said: I don't have maps. Did it cut and torch? Neither, see your PMs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, JoshM said: Neither, see your PMs Thanks. Looks like a dumpster fire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 minute ago, WarmNose said: Thanks. Looks like a dumpster fire Well... I don't see it slamming into the wedge like that, even if the CAD is weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Next system on the euro is all rain for southeast and mid-Atlantic. @216, near 60 degrees south of 85. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Perfect Miller A setup on the 8th on the 6z GFS and temps are way too warm for everybody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Yep, same monster storm at 240, but only wintry precip is tiny corner in SW VA! Time to just enjoy spring and not fight it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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