mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 6:42 PM, franklin NCwx said: Suppressed and sheared out. Expand Does it atleast have precip on the coast, AL/GA now, or still in the gulf !? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 6:43 PM, mackerel_sky said: Does it atleast have precip on the coast, AL/GA now, or still in the gulf !? Expand I don't know, only have the free maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Got this from another board. 12z euro suppressed again lol. Looks nothing like the gfs and cmc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 It's all northern stream energy, we need a real PNA ridge with a trough in the east, it's just a jumbled mess like this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 6:45 PM, BIG FROSTY said: Got this from another board. 12z euro suppressed again lol. Looks nothing like the gfs and cmc Expand What are you doing over there?? Looking for JB!!??? LMAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 But wait a min...another low back in Tx with HP building in. LOL...always day 8+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 6:46 PM, packbacker said: It's all northern stream energy, we need a real PNA ridge with a trough in the east, it's just a jumbled mess like this winter. Expand That's a monster low up in Canada ! Shouldn't that be pressing cold or making confluence or something? Just grasping here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 6:47 PM, mackerel_sky said: What are you doing over there?? Looking for JB!!??? LMAO Expand No, I got a direct line to JB................. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shahroz98 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 I feel like there could be a chance for ATL in March if the PNA ridge verifies. Most of the heavy snow events happens in late Feb into March. 1983,1993,2009 were all 5+ inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 6:48 PM, packbacker said: But wait a min...another low back in Tx with HP building in. LOL...always day 8+ Expand Lol, just stop the madness! One crap storm at a time please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 6:49 PM, mackerel_sky said: That's a monster low up in Canada ! Shouldn't that be pressing cold or making confluence or something? Just grasping here! Expand You can see from that map the higher heights sprawling to the SE, we want a tall ridge in the west with low heights in the east, otherwise we will get all northern stream energy storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 6:49 PM, shahroz98 said: I feel like there could be a chance for ATL in March if the PNA ridge verifies. Most of the heavy snow events happens in late Feb into March. 1983,1993,2009 were all 5+ inches. Expand Larry made some great posts about how early Feb has hardly any good snowfalls for a lot of the SE! The majority, for whatever reason, seem to be after the 12th or so, in February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Looks like a parade of lows for the deep south on the Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 6:56 PM, packbacker said: Looks like a parade of lows for the deep south on the Euro Expand Just need some cold .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 6:56 PM, packbacker said: Looks like a parade of lows for the deep south on the Euro... Expand Just holy S__T!! That would be epic! That damn high is amazeballs!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 wonder if any show snow on the snow maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 7:00 PM, Mrwolf1972 said: wonder if any show snow on the snow maps Expand Verbatim it shows an ice storm across northern half of NC. Not a lot of cold air around with PV stretched from Maine to AK. Some low level cold thus the ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 My money is on GFS. Though Euro is still splitting 50/30mb strat day 8+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 6:59 PM, mackerel_sky said: Just holy S__T!! That would be epic! That damn high is amazeballs!!!! Expand I assumed with a monster high like that, it would be cold, silly me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 UK and Euro agree somewhat on day 6 of a flatter flow (no PNA ridge)....thus no day 8 winter storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shahroz98 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 6:52 PM, mackerel_sky said: Larry made some great posts about how early Feb has hardly any good snowfalls for a lot of the SE! The majority, for whatever reason, seem to be after the 12th or so, in February Expand I want to see that post. Do you have a link ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 So just building up all the posts over the last couple of pages, we generally either get a raining cutter, due to lack of cold air or a raining suppressed system, due to lack of cold air or a lot of nothing, along with a lack of cold air. Seems like a pretty easy diagnosis on our problem here. That about right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Hard to believe we torch when the 10-15 day looks like this, coupled with the weak strat. +PNA FTW, and is that s -AO I see? If this look verifies, we will have a chance or 3 the next 15 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 7:24 PM, Cold Rain said: So just building up all the posts over the last couple of pages, we generally either get a raining cutter, due to lack of cold air or a raining suppressed system, due to lack of cold air or a lot of nothing, along with a lack of cold air. Seems like a pretty easy diagnosis on our problem here. That about right? Expand Pretty much. Unless there is cold air. Pretty much. Don't see cold air .... and then Jon posts to give some much needed hope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 7:24 PM, Cold Rain said: So just building up all the posts over the last couple of pages, we generally either get a raining cutter, due to lack of cold air or a raining suppressed system, due to lack of cold air or a lot of nothing, along with a lack of cold air. Seems like a pretty easy diagnosis on our problem here. That about right? Expand That's why you are not a Dr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Still don't see enough agreement on the Euro/Ukie yet at day 6. Ukie has heigher heights in the SE while the Euro is colder and suppressed with the PV.Shortwave/low placement isn't that far off though. Something will give here in a few days I'd expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 7:14 PM, shahroz98 said: I want to see that post. Do you have a link ? Expand Go to the other weather board and look at the last few January pages and or first few Feb discussion pages! He goes by GaWx on there! Always makes great posts and full of knowledge and stats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 7:24 PM, Cold Rain said: So just building up all the posts over the last couple of pages, we generally either get a raining cutter, due to lack of cold air or a raining suppressed system, due to lack of cold air or a lot of nothing, along with a lack of cold air. Seems like a pretty easy diagnosis on our problem here. That about right? Expand Just looking at the GFS, there would be adequate cold air to our north. We just need to see stronger highs to help push in and hold more cold. Still possible to trend towards that, at this range, but again I'm not overly optimistic right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 8:02 PM, FallsLake said: Just looking at the GFS, there would be adequate cold air to our north. We just need to see stronger highs to help push in and hold more cold. Still possible to trend towards that, at this range, but again I'm not overly optimistic right now. Expand I think there is a good signal showing up for a possible storm 10 to 15 days out. Really reminds me of how the models usually pick up on storms this far out, with some being too far north like the GFS has and some.too far south like the Euro shows, and then often they shift as we get closer and meet in the middle. We are seeing some members of the GFS ensembles showing snow here. Just have to wait and see if the models shift this time like they have often done before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.