mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 12:54 AM, Cold Rain said: Sounds like a song! Expand Give it time, and it will be April, and an off the charts -NAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/28/2017 at 11:38 PM, WarmNose said: It's like a funeral in here! I heard the GFS was very active in the LR. Things are looking up! After the King comes back more suppressed and tics 200 miles further to the south tonight I'll start the thread for our little event on the 5th/6th! Expand I think a lot of us learned our lesson from the last system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 12:54 AM, Cold Rain said: Sounds like a song! Expand Actually - Comes a time when the blind man takes your hand Says, "Don't you see? Gotta make it somehow on the dreams you still believe Don't give it up, you got an empty cup... From day to day just letting it ride You get so far away from how it feels inside You can't let go 'cause you're afraid to fall But the day may come when you can't feel at all Comes a time when the blind man takes your hand Says, "Don't you see? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 12:50 AM, Cold Rain said: 2 days ago the SE was torching the rest of the winter. Now we're "slightly cool". I'd say that's a step in the right direction. Expand It's not as fun posting near normal temps as it is posting torch temps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 12:56 AM, mackerel_sky said: Give it time, and it will be April, and an off the charts -NAO Expand Lol always! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Might be the first time all winter where the EPS is colder then the GEFS over any 5 day period. GFS/GEFS really wants no part of a SE winter storm next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 2:59 AM, packbacker said: Might be the first time all winter where the EPS is colder then the GEFS over any 5 day period. GFS/GEFS really wants no part of a SE winter storm next weekend. Expand Some impressive cold in Canada anyway especially on the GEFS. By the way, where do you obtain these maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 12:56 AM, mackerel_sky said: Give it time, and it will be April, and an off the charts -NAO Expand I have heard that joke before. If memory serves, there were a couple of years recently where I remember someone noting a very negative NAO in April. Is that actually the case or am I imaging things. I have read that the biggest NAO impact on sensible weather is in winter. Did those big -NAO april's lead to cooler than normal temops? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 3:53 AM, cbmclean said: I have heard that joke before. If memory serves, there were a couple of years recently where I remember someone noting a very negative NAO in April. Is that actually the case or am I imaging things. I have read that the biggest NAO impact on sensible weather is in winter. Did those big -NAO april's lead to cooler than normal temops? Expand Yes there were quite a few damp days with highs in 40s and 50s! The 0z GFS clipper looks robust and gets some rain showers to NGa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Off topic but do you Upstate guys remember this event. I remember it coming out of nowhere. It seems like the mets were calling for a NW flow event for the mountains but somehow convective bands with thundersnow made it southeast of the apps and we ended up with a 2-3" surprise midday snow here in the upstate. The thundersnow was awesome. It was like 40 degrees during the entire event..perfect example of rates overtaking 2m temps If anyone could explain why this event happened and unfolded the way it did I would appreciate the input. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Larry Cosgrove 1 hr · https://groups.google.com/forum/#!forum/weatheramerica In the WEATHERAmerica Newsletter, cold air settles into the U.S. and may stick around a while. Still, parts of the West Coast and southern tier states may stay out of the Arctic air. Important winter storm threats February 4 - 7 Ozark Plateau to Mid-Atlantic states), and again February 10 - 12 (Deep South, Appalachia, Eastern Seaboard). 9 minutes ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 4:05 AM, WarmNose said: Off topic but do you Upstate guys remember this event. I remember it coming out of nowhere. It seems like the mets were calling for a NW flow event for the mountains but somehow convective bands with thundersnow made it southeast of the apps and we ended up with a 2-3" surprise midday snow here in the upstate. The thundersnow was awesome. It was like 40 degrees during the entire event..perfect example of rates overtaking 2m temps If anyone could explain why this event happened and unfolded the way it did I would appreciate the input. Thanks Expand That was a lee trough event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 2:53 AM, Met1985 said: It's not as fun posting near normal temps as it is posting torch temps! Expand Although we all focus on conditions which lead to snow , I would love to learn more about how below normal temperatures occur in the SE regardless of snow. There seem to be multiple mechanisms for cold, with their own features. Some are short-lived but strong. Some are long-term but comparatively weak etc. I know that blocking has a lot to do with how transient or not it is. I know that magnitude is affected by source region and whether the shot is direct or glancing etc. I would love to hear an expert discourse on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 GFS bringing the funk on Sunday again on the 0z! Good icy storm for a lot !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Big storm on GFS! Things just got real! Looks like the rain storm on 3/4 th , sets up the cold confluence for us and cold is a plenty by 6th, great CAD! Jon, take the bet!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Southern slider Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 4:36 AM, mackerel_sky said: Big storm on GFS! Things just got real! Looks like the rain storm on 3/4 th , sets up the cold confluence for us and cold is a plenty by 6th, great CAD! Jon, take the bet!! Expand Get your Ice skates out Mack- Per GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 4:33 AM, mackerel_sky said: GFS bringing the funk on Sunday again on the 0z! Good icy storm for a lot !!We got the cold reinforcement shortwave running thru the Great Lakes with cold damming high coming in behind it in time for the storm. Nice run. CMC on the other hand cuts the storm west of the Apps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 4:39 AM, BIG FROSTY said: Get your Ice skates out Mack- Per GFS Expand Looks good man! Let's reel in one more!!? But JB said no snow in the SE yesterday!!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Here comes the ice again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Must not be a very strong CAD. Looks like it shows mostly rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 4:41 AM, mackerel_sky said: Looks good man! Let's reel in one more!!? But JB said no snow in the SE yesterday!!? Expand Yep, says snow/ice stays north of the SE!! OV- redevelop off Va. coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Miller B again too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 4:43 AM, CaryWx said: Miller B again too? Expand No, just moves from S AL/GA to off CHS! Need it to be a little more south, but still nice run, verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 verbatim it comes in during the night so we have that going for us. fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 GFS drops the hammer! This will be our coldest rain of the season south of I-85! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 A 1015 LP off CHS? I'll take my chances with that track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Freezing rain all the way down to Columbia, SC. Love to see that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 On 1/29/2017 at 4:48 AM, WarmNose said: GFS drops the hammer! This will be our coldest rain of the season south of I-85! Expand No the coldest rain will be the next system on the 8th! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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