franklin NCwx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 5 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Yeah! Can't wait for my .5" of slush. I'll take 8" of powder again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 12z EPS looks good, a stronger storm signal than the 00z. I suspect individual members showing a bit more support. The control will be a huge snowstorm for NC. Ridging is better this run, and the confluence is more south and stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Definitely an improved look on the eps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broken024 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Pics or it didn't happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 anyone got the snow ensembles from the eps ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 14 of the 51 Euro Ens members have at least 2 inches in various locales outside of the mtns. We need to see more shifts south unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, griteater said: 14 of the 51 Euro Ens members have at least 2 inches in various locales outside of the mtns. We need to see more shifts south unfortunately. Grit can you post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Grit can you post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Thanks grit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Qpf 6 hour mean with 2m temps. First EPS run that has 2m temps BN with this system. Like Grit said...still need some work, but when don't we. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Pack. One thing for sure that is some mean cold in the Dakotas looking to swing down afterwards. Not sure if It will but it is in a pivot position looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 18z GFS is way too warm, close to an apps runner. So we've had, Great Lakes, Gulf of Mexico, upstate new york. Anyone wanna take bets on where it'll be next? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 gfs in the 60's and storms low in Kentucky and in Tennessee does not look good. low pressure goes due west straight across Tennessee then nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 This is why you don't look at op runs that far in advance. 0z will change again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Way too many runs with cutters and warm. I doubt this trends south over time. Hopefully I'll be surprised. Eps and Euro are better. But still not south enough. Kicking the can down the road to mid February myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 32 minutes ago, JoshM said: 18z GFS is way too warm, close to an apps runner. So we've had, Great Lakes, Gulf of Mexico, upstate new york. Anyone wanna take bets on where it'll be next? One of the runs either yesterday or Wednesday took the storm straight north of texas, turned right at Nebraska and went across the Ohio Valley lol. I think this storm has a decent chance to be pretty for the mountains, but we're gonna need a lot of love with the perfect track and timing to keep the storm south for it to be good east of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 It's like a funeral in here! I heard the GFS was very active in the LR. Things are looking up! After the King comes back more suppressed and tics 200 miles further to the south tonight I'll start the thread for our little event on the 5th/6th! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, WarmNose said: It's like a funeral in here! I heard the GFS was very active in the LR. Things are looking up! After the King comes back more suppressed and tics 200 miles further to the south tonight I'll start the thread for our little event on the 5th/6th! Yea the Euro was suppressed so you would think there would be more optimism at this stage and given the timing that we have between now and the storm. And Jon has dibs on the storm thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Lack of serious cold on the models is a concern at this stage, IMO. Marginal cold rarely cuts it around these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 1 minute ago, Poimen said: Lack of serious cold on the models is a concern at this stage, IMO. Marginal cold rarely cuts it around these parts. Kind, to say the least! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 5 minutes ago, Poimen said: Lack of serious cold on the models is a concern at this stage, IMO. Marginal cold rarely cuts it around these parts. Maybe in GA and SC, but you're practically in VA ! You're golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 6 minutes ago, Poimen said: Lack of serious cold on the models is a concern at this stage, IMO. Marginal cold rarely cuts it around these parts. Yep, the ma thread is happy as a clam, but down here it just doesn't look cold enough. They seemed really stoked about the whole pattern coming up the next 2 weeks. Amazing how different things can be south of Virginia line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 Fun storm signal showing up out in La La land on the 18z GFS. Verbatim: Not fun..with a little imagination: blockbuster storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 1 minute ago, SnowNiner said: Yep, the ma thread is happy as a clam, but down here it just doesn't look cold enough. They seemed really stoked about the whole pattern coming up the next 2 weeks. Amazing how different things can be south of Virginia line. It's also amazing how different things can be 2 miles south of I-85 in Greenville County. That black top has crushed my dreams many times throughout my life! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 6 minutes ago, SnowNiner said: Yep, the ma thread is happy as a clam, but down here it just doesn't look cold enough. They seemed really stoked about the whole pattern coming up the next 2 weeks. Amazing how different things can be south of Virginia line. We say the same thing about the MD line..and the PA line for the MD folks...sometimes you can't be far enough north..until you are and then the southern slider comes along and you get fringe job. Many of you have had more snow than us right now...and it may end that way. Who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 8 minutes ago, WarmNose said: Fun storm signal showing up out in La La land on the 18z GFS. Verbatim: Not fun..with a little imagination: blockbuster storm! Yeah, the GEFS has blocking in Greenland like the whole run! And we can't muster anything more than slightly cool in the SE throughout. This where the the NE and ma cash in the next 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, SnowNiner said: Yeah, the GEFS has blocking in Greenland like the whole run! And we can't muster anything more than slightly cool in the SE throughout. This where the the NE and ma cash in the next 2 weeks. Give it time .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 2 days ago the SE was torching the rest of the winter. Now we're "slightly cool". I'd say that's a step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: 2 days ago the SE was torching the rest of the winter. Now we're "slightly cool". I'd say that's a step in the right direction. Give it time .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 29, 2017 Share Posted January 29, 2017 1 minute ago, pcbjr said: Give it time .... Sounds like a song! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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