Cold Rain Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 On 3/6/2017 at 9:15 PM, packbacker said: But it's fun watching how it unfolds. It's like watching some poor sap in the Freddie movies trying to not fall asleep....we know how it ends. Expand Agreed!! There have been lots of references to the 1960s. I'm going to refer to the 2010s, where we don't get March snows anymore. Hopefully, this one bucks the trend with the PV to the north and it stays south. The fact that there looks to be a -NAO in place should help in that regard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 ^ I say -NAO...not sure it qualifies as a technical -NAO in terms of how the index is calculated. But the ridging in Greenland seems to be producing an effective -NAO of sorts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 On 3/6/2017 at 8:30 PM, packbacker said: Hmmm...tweets about the EPS. Grit doesn't have EPS access nor do I. It's like living in the stone ages again. Expand Euro maps in 24 hour segments...it's fun, leaves more to the imagination, and low in stress......I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 On 3/6/2017 at 9:39 PM, griteater said: Euro maps in 24 hour segments...it's fun, leaves more to the imagination, and low in stress......I think. Expand I've imagined so much snowfall in the last few years. It's awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 18z looks colder than the 12z. We'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Thanks for the pbp everybody! I'm slightly interested in this now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 GFS way to far north low goes across TN and NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 18z GFS ever so slightly ticked south with the snow... amazing gradient... here in Danville about an inch, just north into lynchburg, over a foot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 I think this slides more south. Climo against this solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 On 3/6/2017 at 10:35 PM, SN_Lover said: I think this slides more south. Climo against this solution. Expand SN - what do you mean by climo in this case? I would think the opposite....i.e. very warm winter and 2nd week of March means everything better be just right for something to work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 On 3/6/2017 at 10:45 PM, griteater said: SN - what do you mean by climo in this case? I would think the opposite....i.e. very warm winter and 2nd week of March means everything better be just right for something to work Expand I think the ridge increases in the west and allows more high pressure in the lakes region and greater phasing and strength of the low off of VA Beach. Could be a springtime surprise or a coffin nailer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 I'll be back in North Carolina over spring break. It would be funny if it snows twice in the four weeks I spend in North Carolina this winter and zero times in the eleven weeks I spend in Oklahoma, considering both places average similar snowfall amounts. But it would be the first snow >1" after March 7 in the Triangle since 1983, so it's pretty unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 12z para FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 On 3/7/2017 at 3:34 AM, Cary_Snow95 said: 12z para FWIW Expand MMMM Cold Rain, perfect for March flowers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 On 3/7/2017 at 3:37 AM, Avdave said: MMMM Cold Rain, perfect for March flowers Expand All we need is a 100 mile south shift in 6 days. That too much to ask? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 0z GFS coming in further south! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Almost like the last winter storm we had here. Banana high, weaker and no -30C temps like the last winter storm, but you gotta work with what you have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Yep, looks like 25-50 miles south. Another 50-75 would be ideal. Trends on GFS definitely positive last few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Getting pretty darn close!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Beautiful! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 New GFS hits me with over a foot in southern VA.. might not happen but pretty to look at... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Baby steps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 And who doesn't want single digit lows after all these March blooms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 UKMet looks similar to GFS on the early crude maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarheel17 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Starting to pay attention to this one. If for no other reason than the start of spring break (and a planned trip to the mountains) that weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Any see the rest of the Canadian, it's a 2 part event. Sunday is the snow, then Tuesday, a potential ice storm for the CAD areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 No one mentioned the euro. Nice south trend compared to 12z, 30s into North GA, 540s are around 0 C all the way to I-40. Has some IP all the way into NC Piedmont, toward the NC/SC state line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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