ajr Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Re: phasing for this event, it seems the northern and southern stream are awfully close. Would that help or hurt us if they came together? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 11:39 PM, ajr said: Re: phasing for this event, it seems the northern and southern stream are awfully close. Would that help or hurt us if they came together? Expand IMHO - depends on how south you are - personally where I'd like to see them get married would require a Spanish Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 11:50 PM, pcbjr said: IMHO - depends on how south you are - personally where I'd like to see them get married would require a Spanish Mass Expand Haha +1! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 11:50 PM, pcbjr said: IMHO - depends on how south you are - personally where I'd like to see them get married would require a Spanish Mass Expand Even for CR and my area would require a locale with Spanish moss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 11:50 PM, pcbjr said: IMHO - depends on how south you are - personally where I'd like to see them get married would require a Spanish Mass Expand Haha, well said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 18Z NAVGEM, has more precip northward than GFS, but it would be rain, temps are too warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 JMA has low over New Orleans , then 24 hours later, 997mb low just off NYC! Only can see 24 hour panels! Looks too warm, but who knows! Waiting on the Icon model! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 12:59 AM, mackerel_sky said: JMA has low over New Orleans , then 24 hours later, 997mb low just off NYC! Only can see 24 hour panels! Looks too warm, but who knows! Waiting on the Icon model! Expand Yes, JMA is rain. So your continued posting is safe...at least according to the JMA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Feb 2015 had buried cutoff with PV low over the lakes. GFS was suppressed until inside day 4. Euro/UK caught on quicker. Feb 2015 had more cold air, better ridge placement, +NAO which argued for non supression. This day 5-6 potential has a progressive PAC ridge, -NAO, strong 50/50 which all argues for something off the coast. Will be interested to see UK because I expect GFS to be wide right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 I know its the 84 hr NAM, but it looks further North than GFS at 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 2:49 AM, BornAgain13 said: I know its the 84 hr NAM, but it looks further North than GFS at 84 Expand Please let's get all the models to follow the NE bomb solution tonight,so we won't waste anymore time and enjoy the 80s Sunday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 any update on 0z GFS. Suppression city still? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Looks similar to the last few runs. It is stronger with the trailing northern vort. Let's see if it phases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Very close to 18z. Maybe a hair colder and now drops a little moisture into nc. No where near the euro bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 The trend continues of a stronger southern wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Very strung out on the Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 System @ 210 on the Canadian is a beaut, no cold air, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 No big changes in the 6z for Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Dud = continued posting!! But the next storm on the 20th = $$$$, if you are a severe wx geek! (Packs converting) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 12:13 PM, mackerel_sky said: Dud = continued posting!! But the next storm on the 20th = $$$$, if you are a severe wx geek! (Packs converting) Expand I think we can hang this winter up, I've been holding off for at least a fantasy snow storm and we can't even get that plus it seems to always get warm right after a little cold snap, we just can't seem to get a chance for a snow storm kick started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 1:18 PM, fritschy said: I think we can hang this winter up, I've been holding off for at least a fantasy snow storm and we can't even get that plus it seems to always get warm right after a little cold snap, we just can't seem to get a chance for a snow storm kick started. Expand Don't lose hope!! The 26th storm is $$$$$$$$$! Don't worry about temps now, storm looks great! I don't lose hope until the GFS quits spitting out fantasy storms! We legitimately have 40 days left of snow chances! Give up on April 1!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 CMC is ohhhhhhh so close! Trended colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 1:46 PM, mackerel_sky said: CMC is ohhhhhhh so close! Trended colder Expand We'll start to see some snow show up by tomorrow at the latest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 12z NAM continues to be north of the GFS at hour 84. Still time for this system, but all we can do is keep watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDowell_Weather Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 My biggest concern is how are we going to get our cold air? I dont post much, i just hang back and try to learn. I noticed on the gfs there is a weak hp in the dakotas on the gfs and a pesky lake low. My question is what should we be rooting for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 1:53 PM, Cold Rain said: We'll start to see some snow show up by tomorrow at the latest. Expand How's it gonna snow at 45 degrees! We would need this to come in at night, and atleast a 1/2 moon or less, and maybe get some white rain! That February moon angle is a beast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 1:18 PM, fritschy said: I think we can hang this winter up, I've been holding off for at least a fantasy snow storm and we can't even get that plus it seems to always get warm right after a little cold snap, we just can't seem to get a chance for a snow storm kick started. Expand Fairly obvious after the 2-3 day cold shot next week we are going to be extremely warm to finish out Feb into March. Maybe another 1-2 day cold front that will be quickly driven out. Over/under on first 80F+ day for RDu is March 10th...we have a chance tomorrow but right now looking like mid/upper 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 Severe may be interesting for those that like tracking that stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 12:13 PM, mackerel_sky said: Dud = continued posting!! But the next storm on the 20th = $$$$, if you are a severe wx geek! (Packs converting) Expand I think your posting privileges may survive this pathetic ULL that will fizzle out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 On 2/11/2017 at 3:54 PM, packbacker said: Fairly obvious after the 2-3 day cold shot next week we are going to be extremely warm to finish out Feb into March. Maybe another 1-2 day cold front that will be quickly driven out. Over/under on first 80F+ day for RDu is March 10th...we have a chance tomorrow but right now looking like mid/upper 70's. Expand Who cares? I'll need the torch to melt my snowman from this Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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