ajr Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 5:24 PM, packbacker said: Good...last thing we want past day 4 is models to show snow. SLP spread looks good day 5-6 though. Expand You're right - should have checked that! Still surprised to not have any members with snowfall given the favorable trends with LP placement. HP placement near WI is also coalescing with less variance. All good trends it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Trends look more positive now, just hope it continues that way. Still a ways to go. Maybe we will see that phase on the models as we get closer. Would be nice to have one more winter storm to track this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 If we get our best snows after a warm spell, then tomorrow and Sunday should help! and the thunder the other day, he'll this thing is a lock then! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Weren't we hoping the northern wave would slow down with the last storm, too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 5:31 PM, Brick Tamland said: Trends look more positive now, just hope it continues that way. Still a ways to go. Maybe we will see that phase on the models as we get closer. Would be nice to have one more winter storm to track this winter. Expand 6z GFS para has two other interesting looks after this one - maybe one of them will come through for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Latest UK: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 5:55 PM, mrdaddyman said: Latest UK: Expand Does it ride up the coast or OTS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 looks up the coast but cold air a challenge for NC/SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 5:55 PM, mrdaddyman said: Latest UK: Expand That looks more like the EURO to me with the lake lows. Can't tell how cold it is. Somebody wake me up when this thing phases.....around the delmarva.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Cmc looks similar to GFS, goes OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 6:12 PM, BornAgain13 said: Cmc looks similar to GFS, goes OTS Expand CMC is very close to a phase though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 6:12 PM, BornAgain13 said: Cmc looks similar to GFS, goes OTS Expand It's the coldest of models too, so far! It's our only hope , and it normally runs cold, so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 This board is going to explode if we can get the phase! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Euro is phasing this run pretty well, but doesn't have enough initial cold push....sfc low tracks from ATL thru E NC....snow in VA. Rain to snow in mtns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 big storm on Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 6:24 PM, griteater said: Euro is phasing this run pretty well, but doesn't have enough initial cold push....sfc low tracks from ATL thru E NC....snow in VA. Rain to snow in mtns Expand It looked ominous at day 5.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 6:24 PM, griteater said: Euro is phasing this run pretty well, but doesn't have enough initial cold push....sfc low tracks from ATL thru E NC....snow in VA. Rain to snow in mtns Expand So it's further South than previously! A cave to GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Nice storm on the Euro,touch too warm here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 6:25 PM, griteater said: big storm on Euro Expand Rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Question is...how do we get the Euro back south/suppressed...LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Isn't euro supposedly phase happy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 6:25 PM, griteater said: big storm on Euro Expand Yep...everybody wants a phase, but I don't think we know what we're really asking for. A phase is nice and all, but it usually happens a little too far west for most to enjoy snow. We need a phase over NE FL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Euro brings the cutoff low out the quickest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Euro trended west with the northern stream diving down...but southern wave was farther north. We need northern stream not only west, but south as well (colder)...and need southern wave south and strong. Blend of all 12z runs is decent...gives us a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 6:25 PM, griteater said: big storm on Euro Expand Yep, it phased! I spoke to soon. This is what that looks like. Why do I do this to myself? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 6:29 PM, Cold Rain said: Yep...everybody wants a phase, but I don't think we know what we're really asking for. A phase is nice and all, but it usually happens a little too far west for most to enjoy snow. We need a phase over NE FL! Expand Yeah...if it's a big phased up beast storm then we are screwed. But mountains up through MA to NE would like... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 6:29 PM, griteater said: Euro trended west with the northern stream diving down...but southern wave was farther north. We need northern stream not only west, but south as well (colder)...and need southern wave south and strong. Blend of all 12z runs is decent...gives us a chance Expand How does the euro look for southern va? Rain to Snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 On 2/10/2017 at 6:29 PM, Cold Rain said: Yep...everybody wants a phase, but I don't think we know what we're really asking for. A phase is nice and all, but it usually happens a little too far west for most to enjoy snow. We need a phase over NE FL! Expand Sadly I think you will be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 Phasing begins to occur roughly in TN....we need it in Bama Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted February 10, 2017 Share Posted February 10, 2017 That's a monster at day 6,someone would get hammered by that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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