BristowWx Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/4/2017 at 8:45 PM, pcbjr said: Not sure what "old" is (sort of a relative term - and I'm not talking about that uncle that shows up for Thanksgiving) - but speak for yourself LOL Expand I was talking about that uncle..mine is 87 and complains wears a sweater in July. Sorry...should have clarified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/4/2017 at 8:48 PM, BristowWx said: I was talking about that uncle..mine is 87 and complains wears a sweater in July. Sorry...should have clarified Expand No apology necessary! Just wonderin' since I refuse to acknowledge age as a factor .... seen too many young folks wither and too many "old" folks thrive .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/4/2017 at 9:05 PM, pcbjr said: No apology necessary! Just wonderin' since I refuse to acknowledge age as a factor .... seen too many young folks wither and too many "old" folks thrive .... Expand On 2/4/2017 at 9:05 PM, pcbjr said: No apology necessary! Just wonderin' since I refuse to acknowledge age as a factor .... seen too many young folks wither and too many "old" folks thrive .... Expand Thriving "old folks" is a blessing. One of my goals. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 The trend with the cutter system is undeniable, and so far it seems to be translating closer to a hit downstream. Let's see if the 18z GFS trends better too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 at 108 little slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Warmer run for sure, NC had margin on temps with the 0z run, now the 850 0c isotherm is having trouble getting south of the VA boarder at 120hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 at 120 looking better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Slower with a stronger vort digging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 temps are gonna kill us it dont get cold enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 1010mb SE of ILM at 132hrs, likely snow for a good bit of NC maybe even the upstate . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Liking the trends so far of a stronger wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 2m temps are dog poo though. Not worried at this point though. I like the track. Banana HPs from Okie to off NE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 All this work for a rainstorm! Lol ! Of course there's a better storm , now that temps are too warm! lets not worry about temps now, they will come around! Looks like CMC might be right on temps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 marginal temps then they warm up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 that cold looks bizarre on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 I wouldn't worry about surface temps here in Central NC. If we get a good-enough placed HP, CAD will cover that for us. 850's are cold enough, and at this point that's what counts: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Very good trend!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 850s are cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 You would think after the first storm, enough cold dry air would work in so that we'd be ok for the second storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 This run pops an 850 tracking from Augusta to Wilmington. 500mb is pretty close to pinching off also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/4/2017 at 10:24 PM, Mrwolf1972 said: 850s are cold Expand Yep, but you can see we will be fighting temps regardless with all the warm temps to the south. But, should make for a more spry wave, just need the strong HP the previous couple of runs had with the stronger wave. It does cut off just a little late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 HP out west seems farther west each run. I'd like to see it move more NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 At this point it's best to look at the overall synoptics and ignore the fine details. Once under 84 hours we can start looking at NAM to give an idea of warm noses, it has a way of finding those long before any other model does. At this point if we get a LP off the coast and a decent amount of cold before the storm I'll worry about the rest later. Cold will probably be marginal as it usually is in SE snow/ice storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Here's the snow map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 Should be some weenie Ens members incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 ^^I agree that the cold would be better with the low and high setup. Just have to wait a few more days to see how the details emerge (or not). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 I know for me inside 84 hours I'll be paying close attention to the NAM and any hints for a warm nose. It nailed our last system when everything else was too cold aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/4/2017 at 10:25 PM, Cold Rain said: You would think after the first storm, enough cold dry air would work in so that we'd be ok for the second storm. Expand Nothing is normal anymore ! The rules have changed! Waiting on the NAM! Until I see it on the NAM, I'm out! So not tracking until Tuesday ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/4/2017 at 10:30 PM, Cold Rain said: Should be some weenie Ens members incoming. Expand My knowledge is not as great as some, but this seems to be an either rain or snow event , and not much rain!? Maybe mid/upper 30's paste job to a lucky few!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2017 Share Posted February 4, 2017 On 2/4/2017 at 10:30 PM, FallsLake said: Here's the snow map: Expand Road trip to Cashiers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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