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Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent


Jonathan
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7 minutes ago, packbacker said:

I will buy into the NAM's tonight if they show what they showed at 12z for the 12km NAM and at 12/18z on the 3km NAM.  

The 21z SREF's ticked east some.  The ARW members really backed off quite a bit...has 2-3" mean for RDU with 6"+ for NE NC.  The NMB member mean actually went up quite a bit but the spread increased....it has 7 big members and 5 complete whiffs for all the Carolina's.

What I still don't get is the GEFS/GEPS are very close in there member plot but GEPS has much more precip further west.   Shift these 50 more miles that would be a pretty good look with 980-990 SLP's.  

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_11.png

gem-ememb_lowlocs_us_11.png

 

You just know the Nam is going to cave.  You just know it.  It has to.

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1 minute ago, Cold Rain said:

Can’t wait to hear the following in a few:

1) Wave not digging quite as much.

2) Looks like a later phase incoming.

3) Not gonna cut it this run

4) I don’t understand why the precipitation isn’t farther west.

5) Nam caving to the GFS.

6) Oh well, on to the GFS.

wooohoo! At least we've got some entertaining football to watch.

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2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Can’t wait to hear the following in a few:

1) Wave not digging quite as much.

2) Looks like a later phase incoming.

3) Not gonna cut it this run

4) I don’t understand why the precipitation isn’t farther west.

5) Nam caving to the GFS.

6) Oh well, on to the GFS.

In other words same old same old. :)

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7 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Can’t wait to hear the following in a few:

1) Wave not digging quite as much.

2) Looks like a later phase incoming.

3) Not gonna cut it this run

4) I don’t understand why the precipitation isn’t farther west.

5) Nam caving to the GFS.

6) Oh well, on to the GFS.

Looking good so far.

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11 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Can’t wait to hear the following in a few:

1) Wave not digging quite as much.

2) Looks like a later phase incoming.

3) Not gonna cut it this run

4) I don’t understand why the precipitation isn’t farther west.

5) Nam caving to the GFS.

6) Oh well, on to the GFS.

You forgot:

1- it's east, but negligible!

2- convective feedback

3- it's the NAM

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Just now, packbacker said:

LOL...going to be a whiff it looks like.  All hail GFS/Euro.  It doesn’t snow in Raleigh...never will.  But I do think east of 95 gets a couple off inches when all said and done. 

Yeah...pretty sure it's never snowing here again, but mother nature will continue to throw us a bone just to keep us interested! :cliff:

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