SN_Lover Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 29 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Pack getting all crazy and calling people names! LOL! Pot meet kettle! Those windshield wipers are blinding @packbacker 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, SN_Lover said: Those windshield wipers are blinding @packbacker Your stupidity is just sad. LOL. Keep hugging the NAM, see where that gets you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 LOL! Pack gonna be making sweet love to the 18z GFS! Nowhere near the NAM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, mackerel_sky said: LOL! Pack gonna be making sweet love to the 18z GFS! Nowhere near the NAM! Shocking. I do think the GFS is to far SE but the 3km NAM ain’t happening. The UK/CMC blend is in the middle of all models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 And we got digimon back in our corner. Right with the JMA and Navgem. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I'm getting my hopes up for wintry weather and I live in Florida. This is going to end well. Ugh. What's weird is that I need a bit of a NW trend (or just take the NAM/RGEM). Unfortunately, I can't just say "next" down here since the next legitimate threat might not happen again for years...not that I'll necessarily live here that long. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Begin vent.....I swear these main event threads are almost unreadable. So many weenies / newbies that post uneducated rubbish and keep those of us trying to learn spending more time blocking them than reading well thought out posts from our mets on the board. C'mon folks....banter and obs threads....post away!! Main threads, ask thoughtful questions, contribute with facts or please just stop posting and learn!! Venting over. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 8 minutes ago, superjames1992 said: I'm getting my hopes up for wintry weather and I live in Florida. This is going to end well. Ugh. What's weird is that I need a bit of a NW trend (or just take the NAM/RGEM). Unfortunately, I can't just say "next" down here since the next legitimate threat might not happen again for years...not that I'll necessarily live here that long. Enjoy your time in Tallahassee - the FL Panhandle is great - you are <90 min from the best beaches in the country (IMO much better than any beaches in NC/SC) - drive a little further west and you will reach my retirement spot, 30-A! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I would think the highest snowfall potential of the whole North America is here. Georgia-SC-NC (I guess Florida, that would be cool.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 The devil lives in Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherheels Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 hours ago, packbacker said: Flurries sounds good to me. Or this might work out too...LOL. If I get 2" out of this I will tattoo Mack rocks on my forehead. Man, that cutoff in Forsyth County is eerily similar to the Carolina Crusher. If I recall correctly, we got around 6" in Kernersville, and people in Clemmons got a an inch, and then people in Yadkin just saw some token flakes, making that map above pretty close, just need to shift west about 25 more miles and it'd be almost spot on. Add in central east parts of SC catches a beating with this one, and it'd be one for the record books. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 59 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: The devil lives in Texas. Did DT move? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 I really want to believe the Nam is onto it, but seriously, how many times have we seen this from that model? If some other real/legit models came in line, I’d be more inclined to buy in. How did the 18z Navgem and CMC and JMA turn out? Anyone know? And we haven’t heard anything from the Swiss. Are they still with us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 No way the 0z NAM duplicates its 18z run. Going to be east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: No way the 0z NAM duplicates its 18z run. Going to be east. Thanks Pack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Thanks Pack No problemo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 9 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: No way the 0z NAM duplicates its 18z run. Going to be east. Yep, there's that positive vibe I was hoping for... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: Yep, there's that positive vibe I was hoping for... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Well with tonight's runs supposedly being properly sampled it may lead to some major changes, good or bad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 ^ Bad changes. Coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 I can't unsee any of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Warm nose is coming. It is going to catch most of us, just watch. Especially in SE NC and SC coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 so the 0z gfs will contain the onshore shmampling (ROAB) right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 30 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: I really want to believe the Nam is onto it, but seriously, how many times have we seen this from that model? If some other real/legit models came in line, I’d be more inclined to buy in. How did the 18z Navgem and CMC and JMA turn out? Anyone know? And we haven’t heard anything from the Swiss. Are they still with us? When have we had a well-organized storm not trend NW? How many times have we watched a snow band that was supposed be over or even east of the Triangle end up well to the NW? Too many times. The times we end up with way SE are when we have a weak, strung-out storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, CaryWx said: so the 0z gfs will contain the onshore shmampling (ROAB) right? Sampling shmampling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, WidreMann said: When have we had a well-organized storm not trend NW? How many times have we watched a snow band that was supposed be over or even east of the Triangle end up well to the NW? Too many times. The times we end up with way SE are when we have a weak, strung-out storm. I hear you. And I’m with you in theory. Now, let’s see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 What's the over/under on the next SREF mean for RDU? BY the way...pulling for you guys in the Triangle. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 6 minutes ago, Poimen said: What's the over/under on the next SREF mean for RDU? BY the way...pulling for you guys in the Triangle. I will go with 3.6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 38 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: No way the 0z NAM duplicates its 18z run. Going to be east. I will buy into the NAM's tonight if they show what they showed at 12z for the 12km NAM and at 12/18z on the 3km NAM. The 21z SREF's ticked east some. The ARW members really backed off quite a bit...has 2-3" mean for RDU with 6"+ for NE NC. The NMB member mean actually went up quite a bit but the spread increased....it has 7 big members and 5 complete whiffs for all the Carolina's. What I still don't get is the GEFS/GEPS are very close in there member plot but GEPS has much more precip further west. Shift these 50 more miles that would be a pretty good look with 980-990 SLP's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 6 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I will go with 3.6 Def under. When’s the new release? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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