WidreMann Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 00z last night backed off, then runs today moved west. 00z tonight backs off. Maybe tomorrow will trend the same. All the shortwaves should be onshore now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 When I wake up to 39 new posts since 2 AM, get excited, then see it just the NAM! Lol! Back to sleep! But TWC has me cloudy on Wednesday, with a high of 43!? Warmest day of the week, just in case a rogue shower break loose! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 usually I am sitting on the edge worrying if I am gonna get rain or snow and this time I am worrying if I am too far west. I hate winter storm threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Mack, for the life of me, I have no idea why you pay attention to TWC's forecast for you. Go to the NWS forecast.Sent from my Alcatel 6055U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, calculus1 said: Mack, for the life of me, I have no idea why you pay attention to TWC's forecast for you. Go to the NWS forecast. Sent from my Alcatel 6055U using Tapatalk In a hangover stooper, it's just easier to click on the TV! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Looks like it will be Mack and me in this thread soon. One day Mack. One day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Can't help but laugh....Raleigh's snow shield even works on fantasy NAM snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 19 minutes ago, No snow for you said: Looks like it will be Mack and me in this thread soon. One day Mack. One day. Yeah, everybody high fiving with the NAM runs! I even got excited for a moment, but then realized it was the NAM and a coastal storm , which equals 0 for us! Don't worry, we will get plenty of rain when the warm up hits! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, mackerel_sky said: Yeah, everybody high diving with the NAM runs! I even got excited for a moment, but then realized it was the NAM and a coastal storm , which equals 0 for us! Don't worry, we will get plenty of rain when the warm up hits! LOL...I know, we need another model to show this...besides the NAM's and it's cousins (SREF's). But, it's pretty to look at. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, packbacker said: Can't help but laugh....Raleigh's snow shield even works on fantasy NAM snow now. Why you mad, you know the sleet at you and CR's house, is still falling at this time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, mackerel_sky said: Why you mad, you know the sleet at you and CR's house, is still falling at this time! LOL...because it's sleet and we get snow holed. NAM has it pulling away at this time, nothing after. The 3km is nuts though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 7 minutes ago, packbacker said: LOL...because it's sleet and we get snow holed. NAM has it pulling away at this time, nothing after. The 3km is nuts though. About 30 minutes from being reversed NAM'd , or GFS'd , if you will 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, mackerel_sky said: About 30 minutes from being reversed NAM'd , or GFS'd , if you will Well RGEM is coming in with a later phase then the NAM's. But, it's closer then it's previous runs. Looks really close to the 6zGFS actually. But it's fractions away from the NAM's. NAM's at 48 is neutral almost negative and RGEM is neutral almost positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 18 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Yeah, everybody high fiving with the NAM runs! I even got excited for a moment, but then realized it was the NAM and a coastal storm , which equals 0 for us! Don't worry, we will get plenty of rain when the warm up hits! It’s painful to watch people starting off their 2018 hugging the NAM. It’s going to be a long year for some. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, No snow for you said: It’s painful to watch people starting off their 2018 hugging the NAM. It’s going to be a long year for some. Most would be and probably are, better off hugging the toilet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 So we've got the NAM and RGEMon our side, what could go wrong!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, mackerel_sky said: So we've got the NAM and RGEMon our side, what could go wrong!? I have to cherry pick what I can down here in the tropics. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 My friends, we’ve been NAM’ed yet again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmh90 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Without a doubt in my mind if there is a chance that this precip will fall as as ZR or Sleet then that is exactly what will happen. There is something about the Pamlico river that screws with the weather. I’m trying not to get my hopes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 54 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: So we've got the NAM and RGEMon our side, what could go wrong!? And the Canadian. And the GFS, as annoying as it is, is still further west than 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, cmh90 said: Without a doubt in my mind if there is a chance that this precip will fall as as ZR or Sleet then that is exactly what will happen. There is something about the Pamlico river that screws with the weather. I’m trying not to get my hopes up. Maybe all the cold we've had will keep water temps (and soil temps) down enough to help y'all out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 No way the Euro makes a big move. It has been steadfast in its suckiness. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: No way the Euro makes a big move. It has been steadfast in its suckiness. 1973 and 2000 years being thrown around! People must have had some really good stuff last night! i better go get a sled, it's coming waaaay west! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 3 hours ago, packbacker said: Can't help but laugh....Raleigh's snow shield even works on fantasy NAM snow now. Long time lurker but living in Raleigh is rough when it comes to winter. We seem to never be far enough west and now we’re not far enough east. I’m going to be super selfish here but if the coast gets more snow in one day than we have had in several years I’m going to lose it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Congrats to the east. Congrats to the west. Congrats to the south. Congrats to the north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 1, 2018 Author Share Posted January 1, 2018 inb4 "the EURO ain't what it used to be!" posts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 14 minutes ago, snowinnc said: Long time lurker but living in Raleigh is rough when it comes to winter. We seem to never be far enough west and now we’re not far enough east. I’m going to be super selfish here but if the coast gets more snow in one day than we have had in several years I’m going to lose it. You should just go off! You know how it’s gonna turn out already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 7 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: You should just go off! You know how it’s gonna turn out already. Yep...no way the Euro busts this bad. Well it did bust a few weeks ago and last January...both shifted way west inside 48. Guess we have to watch for another day. I hope the NAM’s are a whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, packbacker said: Yep...no way the Euro busts this bad. Well it did bust a few weeks ago and last January...both shifted way west inside 48. Guess we have to watch for another day. I hope the NAM’s are a whiff. Hmmmmmmm , who am I going to believe: Packbacker or Allan Huffman?? Tough call! SMDH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Glad my area is out of it. Y’all have fun model hugging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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