rawlee Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 RDU just checked in with 0.4" of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwlee7 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Just now, rawlee said: RDU just checked in with 0.4" of sleet. LOL. And just now Brian Mims doing a remote from about a mile from my house says "There will be no sledding in Rocky Mount!!". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 I got a slight dusting. And it's sleeting lightly. Can't even snow on the backside in crashing temps from a Miller A in an Arctic air mass. SMH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 This was a first for me honestly. Haven't seen a bust like this in years, maybe never. This isn't a situation when modeling trended our way within the last 24 hours and we ended up not getting it (which happens often with NW jogging, etc), it's a situation where the Euro hits on 8"+ for days leading up to the storm and only the Nam 4km and HRRR starts talking differently. Warm SST's might have been the silent killer, moisture was simply too warm even with plenty of cold air and the TEXTBOOK and I mean TEXTBOOK track for Central NC. Good god this is bad. Can't ask for more, so when are we going to get another look at 12"+ for Wake? It will be a few years. Shame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 It's been over 14 years since Raleigh had an official 8" plus storm, 2002 I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 13 minutes ago, Jon said: This was a first for me honestly. Haven't seen a bust like this in years, maybe never. This isn't a situation when modeling trended our way within the last 24 hours and we ended up not getting it (which happens often with NW jogging, etc), it's a situation where the Euro hits on 8"+ for days leading up to the storm and only the Nam 4km and HRRR starts talking differently. Warm SST's might have been the silent killer, moisture was simply too warm even with plenty of cold air and the TEXTBOOK and I mean TEXTBOOK track for Central NC. Good god this is bad. Can't ask for more, so when are we going to get another look at 12"+ for Wake? It will be a few years. Shame. Yeah learning moment for me. Tracked this thing for 10 days, it got better and better. Never going to trust a storm unless I study the HRRR and see where the snow line is coming and I have to see I'm 20 miles north of it. Also, surface temps have to be at freezing or below for the majority of the event. Terrible bust for many. And it was a stinking Miller A !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 17 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: I got a slight dusting. And it's sleeting lightly. Can't even snow on the backside in crashing temps from a Miller A in an Arctic air mass. SMH 10 minutes ago, Jon said: This was a first for me honestly. Haven't seen a bust like this in years, maybe never. This isn't a situation when modeling trended our way within the last 24 hours and we ended up not getting it (which happens often with NW jogging, etc), it's a situation where the Euro hits on 8"+ for days leading up to the storm and only the Nam 4km and HRRR starts talking differently. Warm SST's might have been the silent killer, moisture was simply too warm even with plenty of cold air and the TEXTBOOK and I mean TEXTBOOK track for Central NC. Good god this is bad. Can't ask for more, so when are we going to get another look at 12"+ for Wake? It will be a few years. Shame. I don't know what to say either...this is a new low for Raleigh, worse than the Dec 2000 bust. Raleigh is at it's lowest 15/20/30 year snowfall average in 130+ years, our 10 year is just ahead of where it was in 1999. You just can't help but laugh. I had low expectations for this winter to begin with and then I got sucked in with this storm and thought we had a chance at a 4-6" event. That won't happen again. Luckily my kids could care less, they just laughed and went outside and are skating around on the 0.5" of sleet. Congrats to everyone that got snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spidyr2k Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Well, without the prodigious snowpack, one wonders how low the temps in central NC can get tonight and Sunday night? Still single digits? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 TWC has Reynolds Wolf and Scott Newell in Raleigh and Mike Seidel in Charlotte. Great job, guys! Greensboro? Where's that? Our weather pros have never heard of it. Haha! Fools. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 17 minutes ago, SnowNiner said: Yeah learning moment for me. Tracked this thing for 10 days, it got better and better. Never going to trust a storm unless I study the HRRR and see where the snow line is coming and I have to see I'm 20 miles north of it. Also, surface temps have to be at freezing or below for the majority of the event. Terrible bust for many. And it was a stinking Miller A !!! If this had just been 12 hours slower we'd have a different story. The cold air is finally coming down in CAD fashion somewhat and changing precip over, but it is too late. One final band came through here just in the last 1.5 hours and gave us a very nice dusting here in Jonesville so the shutout is done. Hopefully this band gave Mac a dusting too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 For those of you who like to bash Bastardi he said early this week that this thing would be closer to the coast when NO model was showing that. Hats off to JB!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Nothing trended right here. Shetley's point about the early arrival of the storm is very valid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: Nothing trended right here. Shetley's point about the early arrival of the storm is very valid. Shetley was right? Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 I created this thread and plan to bump it before every forecasted snowstorm going forward! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Just now, No snow for you said: Shetley was right? Wow Partially. Hold please... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 On 12/28/2016 at 7:00 PM, jshetley said: The 18z GFS is well on its way to coming back to reality with both precip and temps. When day 16 on this model actually arrives, no one outside of the mountains will have had significant winter weather here in the southeast. Temps will not go below 25 either outside of the mountains and 1 inch or less total precip will have fallen. Reality will be 60-70 or warmer for highs and around 50 for lows. Just no. Absolutely and categorically not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Everyone enjoy your cold rain and sleet? Now you know what it feels like to live in the Wilmington, NC area during winter. ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Just no. Absolutely and categorically not even close. He was worse than the models I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thess Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 12 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said: TWC has Reynolds Wolf and Scott Newell in Raleigh and Mike Seidel in Charlotte. Great job, guys! Greensboro? Where's that? Our weather pros have never heard of it. Haha! Fools. I don't know anything about how television weather networks work, but I assume in edge cases like this they prioritize large viewership metros over anything else. Whatever it takes to keep the most people watching. But maybe I am overly cynical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, thess said: I don't know anything about how television weather networks work, but I assume in edge cases like this they prioritize large viewership metros over anything else. Whatever it takes to keep the most people watching. But maybe I am overly cynical. You'd think they'd want the most dramatic images and stories. They should've done their homework. We should have warned them about the legendary northwest trend. That's how it works in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 6 minutes ago, thess said: I don't know anything about how television weather networks work, but I assume in edge cases like this they prioritize large viewership metros over anything else. Whatever it takes to keep the most people watching. But maybe I am overly cynical. The Greensboro/High Point /Winston-Salem CSA isn't all that much smaller than the Raleigh or Charlotte CSAs, though (2.5 vs 2.1 vs 1.7 million). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 10 minutes ago, No snow for you said: Shetley was right? Wow I believe your area got about what was forecast though. i'm hearing that anywhere from 2-5 inches fell in the northern half of the GSP metro from this. It from Atlanta to Athens up through the southern upstate into Charlotte and into Raleigh that busted badly. I pretty much knew after that Thursday evening NAM run that this was over for that zone and did get that right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thess Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 10 minutes ago, superjames1992 said: The Greensboro/High Point /Winston-Salem CSA isn't all that much smaller than the Raleigh or Charlotte CSAs, though (2.5 vs 2.1 vs 1.7 million). My bad. I'm a transplant (although going on 11 years now), but Greensboro still tends to be "that one little town that gets the good stadium rock concerts" to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, thess said: My bad. I'm a transplant (although going on 11 years now), but Greensboro still tends to be "that one little town that gets the good stadium rock concerts" to me. Haha! True. The little metro with only 1.7 million people. Of the three metros in the NC Piedmont, never bet against the Triad to win the snow contest. It will win 3 out of 4 times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 6 minutes ago, thess said: My bad. I'm a transplant (although going on 11 years now), but Greensboro still tends to be "that one little town that gets the good stadium rock concerts" to me. Don't get me wrong, it's definitely smaller than Charlotte and Raleigh, but it is a sizable metro area its own right these days, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSU_Pi Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 1 hour ago, SnowNiner said: Yeah learning moment for me. Tracked this thing for 10 days, it got better and better. Never going to trust a storm unless I study the HRRR and see where the snow line is coming and I have to see I'm 20 miles north of it. Also, surface temps have to be at freezing or below for the majority of the event. Terrible bust for many. And it was a stinking Miller A !!! More like Miller A-Hole, amirite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 Yeah, I scored a dusting! But a big letdown! Some of the northern parts of the county, probably got 6-8", so that should get us 1 or 2 snow days next week at school, with all the cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 So done with all this SH!T! Will never track another storm again, Mack . Out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 7 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: So done with all this SH!T! Will never track another storm again, Mack . Out Quote saved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 7, 2017 Share Posted January 7, 2017 8 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: So done with all this SH!T! Will never track another storm again, Mack . Out Well....bye.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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