BristowWx Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 its awful...the 6z op today, the EPS taking away the higher heights around Greenland, the SER flexing again...yesterday was a tiny break from the constant beat down of this wretched winter season. absolutely nothing to be enthused about this morning. nothing to track and nothing even in fantasy land on the 6z...nada, zilch, zero,....its a giant terd show and we are the stars. like finally getting to WalleyWorld and seeing the "closed for repairs" sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 First time enso 3.4 is positive since spring I would guess, granted this is what SV thinks per daily reading so it may bounce back a little negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Maybe we are at the "loses it at day five, but bring it back in the next few runs" phase!!?? Nevermind, it's never been inside of 10days , the last 5 days! SMH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 5 minutes ago, BristowWx said: its awful...the 6z op today, the EPS taking away the higher heights around Greenland, the SER flexing again...yesterday was a tiny break from the constant beat down of this wretched winter season. absolutely nothing to be enthused about this morning. nothing to track and nothing even in fantasy land on the 6z...nada, zilch, zero,....its a giant terd show and we are the stars. like finally getting to WalleyWorld and seeing the "closed for repairs" sign. But are we gonna kidnap the cop and go on the rides anyway? Maybe we can hijack the pattern sonehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just now, AsheCounty48 said: But are we gonna kidnap the cop and go on the rides anyway? Maybe we can hijack the pattern sonehow. we can try I guess. The EPS was a big blow. Losing that means losing hope. I know it will get chilly on some days coming up. but if there is no threat of winter weather then its just wasted time and this is the type pattern that gives cutters and cold fronts. not even CAD really with no blocking. HP just slides away. we will see what 12z brings but few could argue the 0z runs were a step back in to a deep hole. we have been talking about what might be in 10 days for the last 10 days and now its 10 more days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 9 minutes ago, BristowWx said: we can try I guess. The EPS was a big blow. Losing that means losing hope. I know it will get chilly on some days coming up. but if there is no threat of winter weather then its just wasted time and this is the type pattern that gives cutters and cold fronts. not even CAD really with no blocking. HP just slides away. we will see what 12z brings but few could argue the 0z runs were a step back in to a deep hole. we have been talking about what might be in 10 days for the last 10 days and now its 10 more days. But in the pattern thread, things are looking great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: But in the pattern thread, things are looking great. Lol! Exactly! Like pick a model that suits your likes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 EPS wasn't as good as 12z but we can still make lemonade with this. Though we may have to sacrifice something for luck...like a chicken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Looks like I was right don't it. Jan is done. Have to wait until Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Well, like grandpa use to say: can't make chicken salad out of chicken sh!t! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 I want to throw up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just now, jshetley said: Looks like I was right don't it. Jan is done. Have to wait until Feb. If only you were right about the rain , ever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Well, JB is back on the Twitter and the Facebook, touting super-cold east, down into FL!! Prepare for glory.....torch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 12 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Lol! Exactly! Like pick a model that suits your likes! So over the past week or so, we've seen really good model runs for a couple of cycles and then a back-off to a less favorable pattern, followed by a couple of cycles with even better patterns. Each subsequent "back-off" cycle has been less bad and each subsequent "back-on" cycle has shown an even better set of solutions. I'm inclined to give some credence to this, which moves me to believe (i.e. hope) we'll see a back-off that's not so bad through probably 12Z tomorrow, at which point we should start to see some dynamite runs again. I expect today's data to be moderately ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 11 minutes ago, jshetley said: Looks like I was right don't it. Jan is done. Have to wait until Feb. You should come back in Feb and take a huge victory lap...unless you run out of gas on the last lap! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 5 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: You should come back in Feb and take a huge victory lap...unless you run out of gas on the last lap! You know by post count in the morning, if there is only 2 or 3 after the 0z runs, it's no Bueno Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 20 minutes ago, jshetley said: Looks like I was right don't it. Jan is done. Have to wait until Feb. days getting longer, soil temps are scorching, sun angle is getting worse. feb is done too. good thing i saved the receipt for my sled and snow shovel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Webber says no bueno!! Not enough snowcover to our North, blah, blah, blah! He just don't see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 we are due for a really awful model suite...like one where everyone says "well that was fun...see you next winter" and "what happened to the AK ridge...holy crap its gone" 0z and 6z was the warning shot across the bow....now settle in boys for some real incoming fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bhamwx205 Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Webber says no bueno!! Not enough snowcover to our North, blah, blah, blah! He just don't see itthat's actually not what he said Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 15 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Webber says no bueno!! Not enough snowcover to our North, blah, blah, blah! He just don't see it Where does he hide out these days anyway? I follow him on twitter. Dude is money. Is he on another board? (This is the only board I'm on so I don't know what else goes on in the online wx world aside from twitter) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 8 minutes ago, Jonathan said: Where does he hide out these days anyway? I follow him on twitter. Dude is money. Is he on another board? (This is the only board I'm on so I don't know what else goes on in the online wx world aside from twitter) He posts some on the other board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 13 minutes ago, bhamwx205 said: that's actually not what he said Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk He didn't seem very positive about a wintry threat to me, from what I read in his post! Maybe I read it wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 18 minutes ago, Jonathan said: Where does he hide out these days anyway? I follow him on twitter. Dude is money. Is he on another board? (This is the only board I'm on so I don't know what else goes on in the online wx world aside from twitter) He's on another board. I also just registered and am posting on that board.People were way too fast to run away webber on this board, lots of insight and he's going to be one of the most recognized distinguished mets of his time - that's a fact. I can't imagine where he will end up in 20 years...probably some climate forecaster with a million twitter followers. Ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just now, Jon said: He's on another board. I also just registered and am posting on that board. You can tell webber isn't biased because he has a warm winter forecast, but is buying into the cold - at least transient, while others here only preach warmth. It's a good control. People were way too fast to run away webber on this board, lots of insight and he's going to be one of the most recognized distinguished mets of his time - that's a fact. I can't imagine where he will end up in 20 years...probably some climate forecaster with a million twitter followers. Ha. Yes! I loved having him over here. He is truly brilliant. And I love his winter analysis the most, because he's more interested in the TROPICAL side of weather, so he doesn't really have his feelings wrapped up in winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 If Dec is our coldest winter month... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 12 minutes ago, Jon said: He's on another board. I also just registered and am posting on that board.People were way too fast to run away webber on this board, lots of insight and he's going to be one of the most recognized distinguished mets of his time - that's a fact. I can't imagine where he will end up in 20 years...probably some climate forecaster with a million twitter followers. Ha. ^this. People try to read his stuff and get confused I guess. you can learn a lot from his stuff if you combine his text with google though. Instead of saying "no snow" he actually uses science on why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 33 minutes ago, Shawn said: ^this. People try to read his stuff and get confused I guess. you can learn a lot from his stuff if you combine his text with google though. Instead of saying "no snow" he actually uses science on why. He is brilliant but you need your thinking cap on to read his stuff. It is not a snipit where he says yes or no. I got permabanned from that board for an anchorman gif. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just now, No snow for you said: He is brilliant but you need your thinking cap on to read his stuff. It is not a snipit where he says yes or no. I got permabanned from that board for an anchorman gif. recently? ill msg you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 2 hours ago, Cold Rain said: You should come back in Feb and take a huge victory lap...unless you run out of gas on the last lap! If I'm right we will like Feb though, especially in NC and SC. I think the CAD areas get nailed around mid Feb with an icestorm that could rival the Dec 2002 and Dec 2005 icestorms. One of the really cold, cold snaps could reach us too in early Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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