BigWeather Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Cary checking in, fully expecting a bust like the one a year or two back when we got rain and a little sleet instead of a jackpot. I think we're still atoning for jackpots in 2000 and 2002. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 7 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Should I start worrying about sleet yet? It seems lke climo tends to favor a sneaky warm nose, but I guess the NAM track or north of that isn't especially likely. You should always worry about sleet. I've had more sleet than snow the last 5 years. And I'm not talking liquid equivalent either. Actual ground measurements. 2 days ago I saw a model with snow at Disney World and now the NW Piedmont of NC is close enough to smell the sleet on the NAM. You're never safe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 22 minutes ago, packbacker said: The 4km NAM is all sleet and no snow. If these NAM's are correct then I give up...this would be a tough pill to swallow. I do think we taint a good bit but to get no snow with what the other 18 models are showing... What's wrong with 4" of taint? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 5 minutes ago, packbacker said: The 4km NAM is all sleet and no snow. If these NAM's are correct then I give up...this would be a tough pill to swallow. I do think we taint a good bit but to get no snow with what the other 18 models are showing... It sure would be. I absolutely love living in Raleigh and wouldn't want to live anywhere else but I am so sick of getting screwed by the stupid winter weather. I hate getting my hopes up even though I know I shouldn't. Of course our kiddos have been talking about snow all week because their classmates have been and they are going to be crushed when we end up with 2 inches of rain. Stupid NW shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 ILM gets a huge amount........................................................................................................................of ice and rain :+( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Well, that's disappointing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 There will be fisticuffs in the main event thread soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 RGEM now showing ZR here tomorrow night, that's a nice change. Could be around lunchtime on Saturday before we have a sub zero column. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 +1 for the ICON. Consistently showed a stronger s/w compared to the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I'm still concerned about the warmth here in Chapel Hill. As of right now, all models give me a good dose of snow/sleet, but if this thing trends NW any more, I'll have the same problems those in Wake County are having. I still thing the Greensboro to Petersburg jackpot seems likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 19 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Well, that's disappointing. Pack needs rain to water in his pre emergent! Bermuda grass loves those -10 kind of temps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Pack needs rain to water in his pre emergent! Bermuda grass loves those -10 kind of temps! Haha true! Time for a GFS fail now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarheel17 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 21 minutes ago, lookingnorth said: I'm still concerned about the warmth here in Chapel Hill. As of right now, all models give me a good dose of snow/sleet, but if this thing trends NW any more, I'll have the same problems those in Wake County are having. I still thing the Greensboro to Petersburg jackpot seems likely. Same view. Hopefully the models will nudge back southeast ever so slightly right before the storm, which I know is a possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 It's all fun and games until the next Euro run. I don't think I'm staying up for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Sooooooooo... No one in the GSP area is concerned it's been 44, for like 6hrs straight!!!!???? wait, rates overcome all! The big fat flakes will drag down the colder air! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I am going to go out on a limb and say that I will not get more than an inch of snow. Congrats north and western Wake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 PGV's tapped out, expecting no less than 9hrs of pingers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sacredgrooves Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: I am going to go out on a limb and say that I will not get more than an inch of snow. Congrats north and western Wake. Visions of last years bust....(Holly Springs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: I am going to go out on a limb and say that I will not get more than an inch of snow. Congrats north and western Wake. We are 30 miles from a cold rain and 30 miles from all snow. Right now we are in sitting in QPF max with a mix bag of junk. The heavy snow is like 50-75 miles wide. I will be happy, very happy with 3-4" of sn/ip mix. I have given up on the all snow, I just hope to avoid rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, packbacker said: We are 30 miles from a cold rain and 30 miles from all snow. Right now we are in sitting in QPF max with a mix bag of junk. The heavy snow is like 50-75 miles wide. I will be happy, very happy with 3-4" of sn/ip mix. I have given up on the all snow, I just hope to avoid rain. I think we avoid rain but the snow ain't coming back. It never does. I've lost the Canadian now. Euro up next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: I think we avoid rain but the snow ain't coming back. It never does. I've lost the Canadian now. Euro up next. That's the thing the CMC/RGEM/GFS we all jack because we are toeing the line. I could literally seeing a NW shift and we get slop and end up with 1-2" or we get 5-6" of concrete. I don't know what to think... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I said I was going to ride the RGEM and Euro...RGEM was pretty good, Euro in 90 mins. UK comes out in 10 but don't put to much faith in it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 7 minutes ago, packbacker said: We are 30 miles from a cold rain and 30 miles from all snow. Right now we are in sitting in QPF max with a mix bag of junk. The heavy snow is like 50-75 miles wide. I will be happy, very happy with 3-4" of sn/ip mix. I have given up on the all snow, I just hope to avoid rain. You gotta be able to smell the rain, to get the big snows! It's a razors edge!Fear the NW trend, it's fo real! im expecting only rain, so my bar is set low! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, packbacker said: That's the thing the CMC/RGEM/GFS we all jack because we are toeing the line. I could literally seeing a NW shift and we get slop and end up with 1-2" or we get 5-6" of concrete. I don't know what to think... Just a small 30 mile shift SE. Peanuts. Just once!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: You gotta be able to smell the rain, to get the big snows! It's a razors edge!Fear the NW trend, it's fo real! im expecting only rain, so my bar is set low! lol, Believe that!! Why would sit on here all week and expect rain............ Good one!! lololol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I'd love to see 5''-6'' of sleet/concrete. That stuff would last for almost 2 weeks. No power outages. Epic sledding potential. As long as it's not plain ol' rain, then I say bring it on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 I wonder sometimes what the guys at RAH are smoking. They have Greensboro under a Winter Storm Warming while calling for 2" to 4". Meanwhile, they have Goldsboro under a Winter Storm Watch while calling for 3" to 7". In what universe does that make sense? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nancy Drew Mysteries Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Smell the rain to get the snow! Exactly! 5 miles SW of Athens GA. Always on the line. Have won some (huge I think maybe March 1, 2009, we got 5-6-7+ inches when a band set up over us, and 20 miles south of us had almost nothing) lost some (most recently 2015). While I do love the watch and anticipation, and really love anything I get frozen, I do live in the south, so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timothy Clyde Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 4 hours ago, magpiemaniac said: I wonder sometimes what the guys at RAH are smoking. They have Greensboro under a Winter Storm Warming while calling for 2" to 4". Meanwhile, they have Goldsboro under a Winter Storm Watch while calling for 3" to 7". In what universe does that make sense? That's an easy one, mixing probability concerns. Greensboro has a much higher chance of all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 1 hour ago, Timothy Clyde said: When I read GSP's AFD for winter storms they are always so giddy like they have never seen snow before. I thought about emailing the east coast headquarters in Maryland about their lack of professionalism. It's like a long children's book. You're now entering the NO FUN ZONE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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