lilj4425 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Brick Tamland isn't posting enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 KK just said we would see snow and she feels moderately confident we will see over 2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 5 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Brick Tamland isn't posting enough. sup blu? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, No snow for you said: KK just said we would see snow and she feels moderately confident we will see over 2 inches. I hope it's snow and not a mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, Michael said: I hope it's snow and not a mix I have stated a couple of times my concern with the cold air getting over the mountains in time. We will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, No snow for you said: I have stated a couple of times my concern with the cold air getting over the mountains in time. We will see. She said it may start as a rain/snow/sleet mix, but quickly go to all snow! I've never seen her be this bullish!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 8 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Brick Tamland isn't posting enough. He posted too many Hammertime gifs at the other site! He broked it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 I'm already down to 36, if we stay at or below 51 degrees, our forecast high, it will help a lot moving forward! On another note, all the forecasts for Sunday and Monday lows are in the 7-10 degree range, TWC and accuweather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: I'm already down to 36, if we stay at or below 51 degrees, our forecast high, it will help a lot moving forward! On another note, all the forecasts for Sunday and Monday lows are in the 7-10 degree range, TWC and accuweather That 72hr+ below freezing period looking more and more possible. Glad I have plenty of ice melt, Walmart had none left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 18 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Brick Tamland isn't posting enough. Hard to get a word in with all the nervous nellies posting about everything that could go wrong. It's just snow. Enjoy the ride. Drink it in, man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 10 minutes ago, JoshM said: That 72hr+ below freezing period looking more and more possible. Glad I have plenty of ice melt, Walmart had none left. Did they have any pre emergent? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Doesn't matter how this storm goes, I seem to get 3-5 every run. I'll take it, and call it a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, JoshM said: Doesn't matter how this storm goes, I seem to get 3-5 every run. I'll take it, and call it a day. Bingo! The slight South shift on 0z GFS, is fine with me! As long as it's colder, I'd rather worry about qpf, instead of temps! But widre said everybody sucks at temps and will all melt on Saturday! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 It's hilarious how offended Brick gets when anyone brings up possible temp issues or precip issues or track issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: Bingo! The slight South shift on 0z GFS, is fine with me! As long as it's colder, I'd rather worry about qpf, instead of temps! But widre said everybody sucks at temps and will all melt on Saturday! LOL sun angle may kill accums too, along w/ground temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: Bingo! The slight South shift on 0z GFS, is fine with me! As long as it's colder, I'd rather worry about qpf, instead of temps! But widre said everybody sucks at temps and will all melt on Saturday! LOL I still think, even if it wasn't MBY, that this will tick back north a pinch. I think you and me could live with this moving NW a pinch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thess Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 It's hilarious how offended Brick gets when anyone brings up possible temp issues or precip issues or track issues.Legit question from the uninformed, does the "BL temps suck!" guy have a valid point? I can't tell (due to met ignorance) but my long-honed message board spidey sense says troll? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, JoshM said: I still think, even if it wasn't MBY, that this will tick back north a pinch. I think you and me could live with this moving NW a pinch One of many concerns, but one I can't shake, is that hole between ATL and GSP!!!! I think Lookout touched on it today, it's been a very recurring theme, on a lot of model runs! The Savannah river snow hole, is real Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: One of many concerns, but one I can't shake, is that hole between ATL and GSP!!!! I think Lookout touched on it today, it's been a very recurring theme, on a lot of model runs! The Savannah river snow hole, is real That has bit you in the ass before, but there's always something in the 11th hour that will get someone. These storms are like military operations, nothing ever goes according to plan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, thess said: Legit question from the uninformed, does the "BL temps suck!" guy have a valid point? I can't tell (due to met ignorance) but my long-honed message board spidey sense says troll? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk He's pretty knowledgeable, but tends to use his superpowers for evil! A snow killjoy! But could be a valid point! BL temps are surface temps, always a concern in South Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, thess said: Legit question from the uninformed, does the "BL temps suck!" guy have a valid point? I can't tell (due to met ignorance) but my long-honed message board spidey sense says troll? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Widre is the board pessimist when it comes to snow. New people and Brick don't like that, but he's right to be that way more than he's wrong. In this case, as long as this thing doesn't get in here too early and get too amped, I'm not worried about temps. It's a very cold air mass coming in. Snow is cold and will have no problem piling up with good rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: Widre is the board pessimist when it comes to snow. New people and Brick don't like that, but he's right to be that way more than he's wrong. In this case, as long as this thing doesn't get in here too early and get too amped, I'm not worried about temps. It's a very cold air mass coming in. Snow is cold and will have no problem piling up with good rates. I agree for y'all. I still think we have some temp concerns but we will see. Have you gone back back to work yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 I wouldn't think surface temps themselves will be an issue, but sneaky warm layers elsewhere could be - 925 mb, 750-800 mb. It seems these levels are most prone to screwing us over in the South, based on my limited experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, superjames1992 said: I wouldn't think surface temps themselves will be an issue, but sneaky warm layers elsewhere could be - 925 mb, 750-800 mb. It seems these levels are most prone to screwing us over in the South, based on my limited experience. In all my years of tracking winter weather in South Carolina, I have found there is always a warm nose. Always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, superjames1992 said: I wouldn't think surface temps themselves will be an issue, but sneaky warm layers elsewhere could be - 925 mb, 750-800 mb. It seems these levels are most prone to screwing us over in the South, based on my limited experience. The funny thing is that the NAM has 925 and 850 ESPECIALLY cold. It's surface temps that are way warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Widre is the board pessimist when it comes to snow. New people and Brick don't like that, but he's right to be that way more than he's wrong. In this case, as long as this thing doesn't get in here too early and get too amped, I'm not worried about temps. It's a very cold air mass coming in. Snow is cold and will have no problem piling up with good rates. "The BL Temps Suck Guy" -- LOVE IT! But seriously, we're gonna fight with them Friday evening. Precip always moves in faster than expected with these set ups, so we're gonna lose some precip to the rain monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, superjames1992 said: I wouldn't think surface temps themselves will be an issue, but sneaky warm layers elsewhere could be - 925 mb, 750-800 mb. It seems these levels are most prone to screwing us over in the South, based on my limited experience. Atleast on the GFS we are good here for the duration, about 25 miles to spare. The strength of the low and absence of a bonified 850 are keeping the warm punch in check. I would give caution though to folks using those stock 10:1 snow maps, the snow flag does not descrimnate between IP ZR or SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 5 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Widre is the board pessimist when it comes to snow. New people and Brick don't like that, but he's right to be that way more than he's wrong. In this case, as long as this thing doesn't get in here too early and get too amped, I'm not worried about temps. It's a very cold air mass coming in. Snow is cold and will have no problem piling up with good rates. Ground temps are a concern but will just make things worse as it will melt and then refreeze...assuming we get any snow. Which I am holding out until 12z runs tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 1 minute ago, packbacker said: Ground temps are a concern but will just make things worse as it will melt and then refreeze...assuming we get any snow. Which I am holding out until 12z runs tomorrow. Can you imagine the meltdown if we lost this storm now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 5, 2017 Share Posted January 5, 2017 Just now, No snow for you said: Can you imagine the meltdown if we lost this storm now. Ummmm....it would be Dec 2000 all over again. But, RAH is like 30-40 miles from 1" so a SE shift and yes it would suck. That's something that could change day of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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