superjames1992 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 hours ago, westmc9th said: I'm pretty disappointed too. Thought we had our first real shot up here. Boone is never out of the game. A magical tongue of precip may find its way up there yet, a la Christmas Day 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Holy He*l people......keep the banter out of the discussion thread. If you see that your posts have been disappearing, it's probably a great idea to stop posting in it before you are on the outside looking in. Warnings and timeouts are incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 How often is it that we have to worry about suppression and a possible earlier phase (if that Michigan wave interacts too soon) all in the same storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just now, shaggy said: How often is it that we have to worry about suppression and a possible earlier phase (if that Michigan wave interacts too soon) all in the same storm. Some of the se crew needs suppression and a later phase It does appear that someone in the south will get to see the flakes fly(thank goodness)....the million dollar question is who Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Some of the se crew needs suppression and a later phase It does appear that someone in the south will get to see the flakes fly(thank goodness)....the million dollar question is who yeah im right there with ya being in eastern NC. Early phase and i'll likely see mixed bag or all rain. I need the models to stay south and strung out until a later phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, shaggy said: yeah im right there with ya being in eastern NC. Early phase and i'll likely see mixed bag or all rain. I need the models to stay south and strung out until a later phase. I'm just glad someone in the south will get to see flakes fly. Hopefully the general posting grumpyness of a crappy pattern will lessen just a touch for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 21 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: I'm just glad someone in the south will get to see flakes fly. Hopefully the general posting grumpyness of a crappy pattern will lessen just a touch for some Wouldn't it be great for a large area of Georgia, SC and NC to all get 3-6 inches. Then it could warm up to spring time temps and I wouldn't care Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, shaggy said: Wouldn't it be great for a large area of Georgia, SC and NC to all get 3-6 inches. Then it could warm up to spring time temps and I wouldn't care +1,000,000,000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 "(Insert model name here) is running." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 "(insert model here) is wrong, it just isn't possible because mby goes without" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 3, 2017 Author Share Posted January 3, 2017 All the NC peeps are in "NW trend" panic mode this morning. This one isn't coming north, boys. I don't have a dog in the fight at this point (I've already jumped) but I'll sit back and watch the 5 stages of grief set in for the RDU crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwlee7 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 10 minutes ago, Jonathan said: All the NC peeps are in "NW trend" panic mode this morning. This one isn't coming north, boys. I don't have a dog in the fight at this point (I've already jumped) but I'll sit back and watch the 5 stages of grief set in for the RDU crowd. No one is ever satisfied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 3, 2017 Author Share Posted January 3, 2017 9 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Euro, UK, and Canadian are better for here than the GFS, too. Maybe we're going to see the NW trend with the GFS like it does often a couple of days before the event unfolds. 31 minutes ago, fritschy said: starting to get into the time frame where this starts ticking NW a little at a time, from my experience. This will start a NW movement most likely, starting to get into that time frame. 31 minutes ago, beanskip said: Number of times in the years I've been on this board (and the old Wright Weather days) when the GFS showed a suppressed system that ended up trending north: Lots. Number of times in the years I've been on this board when the GFS showed a system too warm/north and it trended south: Never. People: this is where you want to be if you live in ATL/GSP/CLT/RDU. 31 minutes ago, RubiksDestroyer said: I like where the GFS is right now. It seems to me that it didn't shift any further south this run, unlike the past 4 runs, which is good news. If the other models hold this suite and the GFS starts trending NW over the next few runs, I'd be very happy. 30 minutes ago, Poimen said: Generally speaking, when the GFS has LP tracking across central FL at this lead, it usually turns out well for the NC crowd. We'll see, but I would expect it to eventually come north. viva la NW trend when things are looking bleak for yby! (It's ok fellas, I feel your pain too. Just trying to make light of the sitch.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 26 minutes ago, Jonathan said: All the NC peeps are in "NW trend" panic mode this morning. This one isn't coming north, boys. I don't have a dog in the fight at this point (I've already jumped) but I'll sit back and watch the 5 stages of grief set in for the RDU crowd. NOOOOOOOOOOOOOO! You take that back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 23 minutes ago, Jonathan said: viva la NW trend when things are looking bleak for yby! (It's ok fellas, I feel your pain too. Just trying to make light of the sitch.) Like I said, we'll see what happens. Given the UK/CM are both north of the GFS lends credence to the NW trend theory. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 All joking aside, here are some random thoughts FWIW: 1) Suppressed storms do tend to trend a little NW as we get to the event. 2) Everybody wants snow in their backyard, and some (not all) tend to be biased towards forecasts/solutions that deliver it. 3) It wouldn't be a bad thing for a storm to miss central/west NC and give GA/SC the goods. If I and others in my area complained/whined too much about those to our south getting snow, we'd be no better than those in the MA complaining when we get snow instead of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 3, 2017 Author Share Posted January 3, 2017 11 minutes ago, fountainguy97 said: I second this. Technically the euro swapped places with the gfs which means the gfs sniffed out a good NC snow first.. gfs has a suppression bias in this timeframe so no surprise it's suppressed. Look for it to tick back NW throughout the next several runs. To me GFS has had a great handle on this storm... euro not so much it tried to sell the suppressed looks for days while gfs insisted on a snowy look 4 minutes ago, fountainguy97 said: I'm curious to see how much of a shift we get once the energy comes ashore. The few runs after that is our normal time for the usual NW trend I like our chances though with the gfs showing it's typical suppression. This euro run will be very telling #AnotherOne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just now, Jonathan said: #AnotherOne I'm going to hashtag nw trend every post lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 3, 2017 Author Share Posted January 3, 2017 8 minutes ago, Met1985 said: I'm going to hashtag nw trend every post lol! Do it! I'm really trying to use reverse psychology here. I want that NW trend too. If the Ukie happened...my goodness... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 15 minutes ago, Met1985 said: I'm going to hashtag nw trend every post lol! #NWtrendFTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, YetAnotherRDUGuy said: #NWtrendFTW Lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, YetAnotherRDUGuy said: #NWtrendFTW Much more and you could be mixing too.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, WeatherNC said: Much more and you could be mixing too.. Nobody learns how to read maps anymore, they just go with whatever they think sounds like their way of thinking I miss the good old days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 I miss a good old fashioned warm punch centered around 900mb, 2-3C will check expectations quickly for those fortunate enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 15 minutes ago, WeatherNC said: I miss a good old fashioned warm punch centered around 900mb, 2-3C will check expectations quickly for those fortunate enough. For those of you that have trouble with weather terminology, in layman's terms that would be a punch to the nads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 24 minutes ago, WeatherNC said: Much more and you could be mixing too.. Sigh..ain't that the truth. And a good reminder a NW trend tends to be much more beneficial to those on the 'good' side of I-85 in SC/NC/VA than those of us on this side. I'd much rather miss this storm because it's supressed than being just outside of the transition zone and getting rain at 33. But nature doesn't care what I think. We'll just have to wait and see what she does. How about #slightNWtrendFTW ?? Would that work? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Euro about to go back to no storm again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Euro about to go back to no storm again. Surprise! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 9 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Surprise! Well, I guess we could all use a little more rain, amirite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 That was a satisfying 12z run suite!! Feel much more confident now about a solution more than ever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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