jburns Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 11 hours ago, thess said: Sorry, lurker non-met and I usually keep my posts to a minimum. However, tonight's posts are more cryptic than usual but tone seems pretty negative. Did we lose the storm for now? (Figured this would be okay in cliff diver thread.) Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk This is not the cliff diving thread. This is the Realistic Expectations Based on Climo thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarheel17 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 IF the Euro comes in showing something remotely similar I'll feel good. Until that time, I'm just waiting for the other shoe to drop and we get zilch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, jburns said: This is not the cliff diving thread. This is the Realistic Expectations Based on Climo thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Yeah we need the Euro to come on board. If it does and shows amounts like the GFS does, this board will go nuts in about 2-2.5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 9 minutes ago, jburns said: Not it wouldn't and no. Ok fine. I will take my 20 inches of fantasy snow then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 The GFS was a pretty decent hit for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: The GFS was a pretty decent hit for some. Very true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 7 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Very true It needs to come south just a tad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Someone is gonna get their heart broke with this storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherheels Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 I would feel on top of the world if I lived in NOVA right now. Perfect position to be in at this point. I think we've all seen how this one plays out too many times before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 39 minutes ago, jshetley said: Well if the 12z GFS comes even close to verifying I'm going to look a fool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 14 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: It needs to come south just a tad! a lot! FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Welp I just ginxed it. Just ordered a couple bags of ice melt from Lowe's to pick up. I've got 4 days to do so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 it's funny that these days local stations/mets can no longer totally ignore threats in the long range because of social media. Which already has caused one of the local mets in atlanta to acknowledging the possible threat a little while ago. But i had to laugh when she said knew people would be seeing all kinds of scary maps from "dubious sources"....like um..actual model progs? I like her, she's a good met and realize it's smart to lower expectations (joanne feldman) but that was a bit much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillT Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 4 minutes ago, Lookout said: it's funny that these days local stations/mets can no longer totally ignore threats in the long range because of social media. Which already has caused one of the local mets in atlanta to acknowledging the possible threat a little while ago. But i had to laugh when she said knew people would be seeing all kinds of scary maps from "dubious sources"....like um..actual model progs? I like her, she's a good met (joanne feldman) but that was a bit much. this is something i dont understand.....a snow event would impact a very wide area and everybody that lives there yet they hesitate to even mention snow 3 or 4 days out, BUT a potential tornado event if it verifies only impacts a very small portion of the area and most of the people in the area have no impact, but they will harp on them a week in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 8 minutes ago, Wow said: Welp I just ginxed it. Just ordered a couple bags of ice melt from Lowe's to pick up. I've got 4 days to do so. Congrats D.C.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 rooting for you guys. can I have your sloppy seconds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 This is truly a vent. Here it is January 2nd and my azaleas are blooming; trees I've never seen bud out before late February, even in the mildest of winters, are going for it; my 30 blueberry bushes are setting flowers. Oh well ... 2016 - a year to remember .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, BillT said: this is something i dont understand.....a snow event would impact a very wide area and everybody that lives there yet they hesitate to even mention snow 3 or 4 days out, BUT a potential tornado event if it verifies only impacts a very small portion of the area and most of the people in the area have no impact, but they will harp on them a week in advance. and if it doesn't materialize it's not considered a huge bust and people don't throw fits. Same goes for heavy rain. I understand the tax payer money issue..where if a storm is forecast a lot is spent on roads, services, etc and you don't want to forecast a huge storm and end up wasting money but what situation would you rather have your viewers/public in...caught out in the middle of a big snow/ice event and bad roads because the forecast wasn't bullish enough... Or people being caught out in the rain or dry weather? Of course a lot of this is because the public blows up in anger if a storm isn't as bad as advertised yet isn't nearly as negative when they are caught out in it. It's all backwards honestly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Prayers to the mods. The next 4 days are going to be a mess around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, Thrasher Fan said: Prayers to the mods. The next 4 days are going to be a mess around here. Yep, let a good Euro run show up in a bit, and it will be 10 new pages in like 15 minutes!! The sanitarium thread is a great help!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 I hate waiting because I think of a million things that can go wrong between now and then and more often than not some little minor detail ends up throwing everything off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 11 minutes ago, Thrasher Fan said: Prayers to the mods. The next 4 days are going to be a mess around here. lol..thanks. It'll be ok if the models hold on and we all get blasted but if it starts to trend in a negative direction...that's when it goes down hill quick. 6 minutes ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: I hate waiting because I think of a million things that can go wrong between now and then and more often than not some little minor detail ends up throwing everything off. One of the things that i find most bothersome is just how exhausted i am by the time it gets here because it becomes so time consuming. If there is a legit threat, it's hard to do anything else but read the board, refresh models, compare them to previous runs and each other, etc...etc. Nothing else gets done or seems to matter....we are all sick lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 ECMWF: The best model out there -- until it crushes all the weenie's dreams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 My heart is with the GFS but my brain is with the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Dr No delivers again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Maybe the final result will be something in between the Euro and GFS ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 2, 2017 Author Share Posted January 2, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 It ain't real till the Euro says so! Hoping gfs scores the coup.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 2, 2017 Author Share Posted January 2, 2017 WPC laughing at anyone even remotely thinking the GFS has a shot...lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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